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BTC 从 9 月底高点突破下降趋势线,关键支撑位为 62,000 美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) price action on Monday in the Asia session showed a strong possibility that the steep upward move that began at around $54,000 in early September is about to resume.
周一亚洲时段的比特币 (BTC) 价格走势表明,自 9 月初开始的 54,000 美元左右的大幅上涨行情很可能即将恢复。
BTC rose over 2% to $64,300 in Asia, blasting past a trendline resistance off late Sept. 27 and Oct. 7 highs. The trendline marked a pullback characterized by a stimulus-led sharp upswing in oversold Chinese stocks and the strength in the dollar index.
BTC 在亚洲上涨超过 2%,至 64,300 美元,突破了 9 月 27 日末和 10 月 7 日高点的趋势线阻力位。该趋势线标志着回调,其特点是刺激措施导致超卖的中国股市大幅上涨以及美元指数走强。
The trendline breakout, therefore, indicates the mini price swoon has ended and the upswing from September lows under $54,000 has resumed.
因此,趋势线突破表明价格小幅下跌已经结束,并且从 9 月份 54,000 美元以下的低点开始上涨已经恢复。
Immediate resistance is seen at $64,461, from where prices turned lower on Oct. 7, followed by the late September high above $66,500. A major piece of resistance would be around $70,000, where the battle between bulls and bears has been most intense since March, with bulls constantly failing to secure a foothold.
直接阻力位为 64,461 美元,10 月 7 日价格从该位置开始走低,随后在 9 月底触及 66,500 美元上方的高点。主要阻力位在 70,000 美元附近,这是自 3 月份以来多头和空头之间的战斗最为激烈的地方,多头不断未能站稳脚跟。
Note that re-test of breakout points is a common phenomenon, meaning prices could revisit the $62,000-$63,000 range before continuing to move higher. That said, a move below $62,000 would negate the bullish view, potentially bringing deeper losses below $60,000.
请注意,重新测试突破点是一种常见现象,这意味着价格可能会重新回到 62,000 美元至 63,000 美元的区间,然后继续走高。也就是说,跌破 62,000 美元将否定看涨观点,可能导致跌破 60,000 美元进一步下跌。
The dollar index’s rise has stalled near 103.00, supports the case for a move higher in risk assets, including BTC. The DXY formed a doji candle on Thursday, signaling indecision among traders. The dollar has held well within Thursday's trading range, teasing a potential end to the rally from late September lows near 100.
美元指数的上涨已在 103.00 附近停滞,这支持了包括 BTC 在内的风险资产走高的理由。美元指数周四形成十字星蜡烛,表明交易者犹豫不决。美元在周四的交易区间内保持良好,从 9 月底接近 100 的低点开始的反弹可能会结束。
A doji candle forms when an asset moves in both directions only to end the period on a flat note, indicating a lack of willingness among bulls and bears to lead the price action. The indecision after a notable upswing can represent potential trend reversal.
当资产双向波动但最终以平淡结束时,就会形成十字星蜡烛,表明多头和空头缺乏引领价格走势的意愿。显着上涨后的犹豫不决可能代表潜在的趋势逆转。
"The momentum indicators have been stretched by the greenback's strong recovery this month. We are anticipating technical evidence to suggest the dollar is peaking," Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex and author of “Making Sense of the Dollar, said in a market update.
Bannockburn Global Forex 首席市场策略师、《解读美元》一书的作者 Marc Chandler 在市场更新。
Ether stuck in a triangle
以太卡在三角形中
Ether (ETH) bounced off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) early today but continues to trade within the confines of a triangular consolidation pattern, identified by trendlines connecting Aug. 24 and Sept. 27 highs and Aug. 5 and Sept. 6 lows.
以太币 (ETH) 今天早些时候从 200 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 反弹,但继续在三角形盘整格局的范围内交易,该格局由连接 8 月 24 日和 9 月 27 日高点以及 8 月 5 日和 9 月 27 日高点的趋势线确定。 6个低点。
With BTC teasing a bull move, ether could look to break out of the triangle, exposing the next resistance at $2,770, the April 13 low from where prices surged back to nearly $4,000.
随着 BTC 酝酿牛市走势,以太坊可能会突破三角形,暴露下一个阻力位 2,770 美元,这是 4 月 13 日的低点,价格从那时飙升至近 4,000 美元。
Omkar Godbole is a Co-Managing Editor on CoinDesk's Markets team.
Omkar Godbole 是 CoinDesk 市场团队的联合总编辑。
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