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比特币(BTC)再次引起人们的注意,因为它的交易约为96,000美元,历史模式暗示了潜在的突破。
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading close to $96,000, not far from its January high of $108,824. The leading cryptocurrency reached an all-time high earlier this year, and analysts believe it could surpass that level soon.
比特币(BTC)的交易近96,000美元,距1.824美元的高点不远。今年早些时候,领先的加密货币达到了历史最高水平,分析师认为它可能很快就会超过该水平。
Historical data shows Bitcoin tends to perform well between March and May. According to CryptoRank, BTC has averaged +11.8% in March, +34.7% in April, and +20% in May. Even the usually slow months of June and July have recorded modest gains.
历史数据表明,比特币在3月至5月之间往往表现良好。根据Cryptorank的数据,BTC在3月平均 +11.8%,四月 +34.7%,五月 +20%。即使是通常的六月和七月,也记录了适度的收益。
Market sentiment remains bullish despite recent volatility. Implied volatility has dropped to near-record lows, with Glassnode reporting that Bitcoin’s one-week realized volatility hit 23.42%, a level only seen a few times in the past four years. Analysts suggest that similar volatility compressions have led to major price moves.
尽管最近动荡,但市场情绪仍然看涨。隐含的波动率已下降到近记录的低点,玻璃节报告称,比特币的一周意识到波动率达到23.42%,在过去四年中只有几次水平。分析师认为,类似的波动性压缩导致了重大价格转移。
Meanwhile, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong. MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor hinted at increasing BTC exposure, fueling speculation about another large acquisition by the company. If institutional demand persists, Bitcoin’s supply dynamics could drive prices higher.
同时,对比特币的机构兴趣仍然很强。 MicroStrategy首席执行官Michael Saylor暗示增加了BTC的曝光率,这激发了人们对该公司另一次大型收购的猜测。如果机构需求仍然存在,那么比特币的供应动态可能会推动价格更高。
Dogecoin (DOGE) has struggled in recent weeks, with declining network activity raising concerns. The number of whale transactions over $1 million has fallen sharply, and daily active addresses are now below 60,000—levels last seen in Oct. 2024.
Dogecoin(Doge)最近几周一直在挣扎,网络活动的下降引起了人们的关注。超过100万美元的鲸鱼交易数量急剧下降,每天的活跃地址现在低于60,000,级别升至2024年10月。
Analysts highlight that a break below this range could push DOGE down to $0.22. Technical indicators reinforce the bearish outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 35.34, signaling oversold conditions. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains negative, suggesting downward momentum.
分析师强调,低于此范围的休息可能会降至0.22美元。技术指标加强了看跌前景,相对强度指数(RSI)为35.34,信号超出了售出条件。同时,移动平均收敛差异(MACD)指标仍然为负,表明向下动量。
Despite the bearish sentiment, some analysts believe Dogecoin could recover if trading activity increases. Binance US recently resumed USD services, leading to a rise in DOGE trading volume. Additionally, optimism around a potential Dogecoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) continues to grow, with Polymarket suggesting a 75% chance of approval by the end of 2025.
尽管有看跌的情绪,但一些分析人士认为,如果交易活动增加,Dogecoin可以恢复。 Binance我们最近恢复了USD服务,导致了Doge交易量的增加。此外,围绕潜在的狗霉素交换基金(ETF)的乐观情绪不断增长,多聚市场表明到2025年底,批准的机会有75%。
Long-term price cycles suggest Dogecoin could enter a recovery phase, with some analysts forecasting a breakout toward $1.30 if market conditions improve. Elliott Wave analysis even points to a potential surge to $6.08, though such projections depend on broader market trends.
长期价格周期表明,Dogecoin可以进入恢复阶段,一些分析师预测,如果市场条件改善,则会针对1.30美元进行突破。埃利奥特(Elliott)波浪分析甚至指出了潜在的激增至6.08美元,尽管这些预测取决于更广泛的市场趋势。
Shiba Inu’s at $0.00001522, down 2.5% today and 24% over the month, riding the broader market’s ups and downs—like the Bybit hack fallout. Analyst Ali Martinez says SHIB’s lost a key support between $0.000019 and $0.00002, warning it could slide to $0.000011 or $0.00008—that’s a 30% or 50% drop. Ouch.
Shiba Inu的价格为0.00001522美元,今天下降了2.5%,在本月中下降了24%,乘坐更广泛的市场起伏,例如Bybit Hack Ballout。分析师阿里·马丁内斯(Ali Martinez)表示,施希布(Shib)失去了0.000019至0.00002美元之间的关键支持,警告说,它可能会滑到0.000011美元或0.00008美元,这是30%或50%的下降。哎哟。
Javon Marks sees an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, suggesting SHIB could climb to $0.000081—a 420% jump.
Javon Marks看到了一个逆头和股模式,这表明Shib可以攀升至0.000081美元,增长了420%。
According to Shibburn data, 128 million SHIB tokens were burned in the past week, contributing to a 120.3% increase in the weekly burn rate. So far, over 410.72 trillion SHIB tokens have been removed from circulation, reducing supply and potentially increasing price stability.
根据什本的数据,过去一周烧毁了1.28亿芯片令牌,每周燃烧率提高了120.3%。到目前为止,已经从流通中删除了超过410.72万亿的铲子令牌,减少了供应并可能提高价格稳定性。
Shibburn says 128.22 million SHIB got torched last week, a 120.3% jump in the burn rate, with 410.72 trillion burned total out of 584.30 trillion circulating. That’s bullish for supply dynamics. Shiba Inu analysis agrees, forecasting a 300% breakout if SHIB clears $0.0000326, backed by more active addresses, whale moves, and an MVRV ratio in the “opportunity zone.” Past similar setups delivered a 55% pump, but traders know history is no guarantee.
施本说,上周有1.2822亿Shib被烧毁,燃烧率增长了120.3%,在584.30万亿循环中,燃烧了410.72万亿美元。这是对供应动态的看涨。 Shiba INU分析同意,如果Shib清除了$ 0.0000326,则预测300%的突破,并在“机会区”中获得更活跃的地址,鲸鱼移动和MVRV比率的支持。过去的类似设置提供了55%的泵,但交易者知道历史并不能保证。
The Bybit hack sparked $403 million in outflows and $305.80 million in liquidations, hitting Bitcoin ($84.68 million) and Ethereum ($76.16 million) hardest. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s tight grip on interest rates keeps safe bets like Treasury bonds attractive, leaving crypto on the sidelines. A rate cut could flip that script, but it’s not on the horizon yet.
Bybit Hack引发了4.03亿美元的外流和3.058亿美元的清算,击中了比特币(8468万美元)和以太坊(7616万美元)的最艰难。美国美联储对利率的紧密控制使诸如国库券债券之类的安全赌注具有吸引力,而加密货币则在场上。削减速度可以翻转该脚本,但尚未到来。
Trump’s talk of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve could ignite BTC’s next rally, while Dogecoin’s ETF buzz and Shiba Inu’s burns hint at staying power for meme coins.
特朗普谈论的美国比特币储备可能会激发BTC的下一次集会,而Dogecoin的ETF Buzz和Shiba Inu的Burns则暗示了Meme Coins的持久力。
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