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黄金和政府债券等避险资产在不确定时期受到青睐,在经济预测黯淡时提供安全港。
Bitcoin’s classification within the financial landscape has been a subject of ongoing debate, with some regarding it as a stable haven and others viewing it as a risky asset. However, Robbie Mitchnick, head of digital assets at BlackRock Inc., recently shared his perspective, arguing that Bitcoin is fundamentally a risk-off asset.
比特币在金融领域的分类一直是争论的焦点,一些人将其视为稳定的避风港,而另一些人则将其视为风险资产。然而,贝莱德公司数字资产主管罗比·米奇尼克最近分享了他的观点,认为比特币从根本上来说是一种避险资产。
In an interview with CNBC, Mitchnick explained that risk-off assets, such as gold and government bonds, tend to perform well during periods of economic uncertainty, offering a safe haven when the outlook appears bleak. On the other hand, risk-on assets, like stocks, typically thrive in times of high investor confidence.
米奇尼克在接受 CNBC 采访时解释说,黄金和政府债券等避险资产往往在经济不确定时期表现良好,在前景黯淡时提供避险资产。另一方面,股票等风险资产通常在投资者信心高涨时蓬勃发展。
Despite observing occasional correlations between Bitcoin and the stock market, Mitchnick highlighted that the cryptocurrency ultimately exhibits a distinct behavior over the long term.
尽管偶尔观察到比特币和股市之间的相关性,但米奇尼克强调,从长远来看,加密货币最终会表现出独特的行为。
“There’s been periods where Bitcoin’s correlation with equities has spiked and there’ve been periods where it’s gone negative. Actually gold shows a lot of the same patterns where you have these temporary periods where it spikes, but long term, close to zero,” Mitchnick stated.
“比特币与股票的相关性曾一度飙升,也曾一度呈负相关。事实上,黄金表现出许多相同的模式,其中有暂时飙升的时期,但长期来看,接近于零,”米奇尼克表示。
BlackRock executive highlights Bitcoin’s fundamentals
贝莱德高管强调比特币的基本面
Elaborating on Bitcoin’s unique attributes, Mitchnick pointed out its global, decentralized, and non-sovereign nature, arguing that it’s not subject to the economic health or policies of any single country. Additionally, he emphasized Bitcoin’s scarcity, which makes it inherently immune to the typical risks associated with fiat currencies, such as currency debasement and political turmoil.
米奇尼克在阐述比特币的独特属性时指出了其全球性、去中心化和非主权的性质,认为它不受任何单一国家的经济健康状况或政策的影响。此外,他还强调了比特币的稀缺性,这使得它本质上不受与法定货币相关的典型风险的影响,例如货币贬值和政治动荡。
According to Mitchnick, these characteristics collectively render Bitcoin an appealing option when traditional currencies falter, highlighting its potential as a risk-off asset.
米奇尼克表示,当传统货币下跌时,这些特征共同使比特币成为一个有吸引力的选择,凸显了其作为避险资产的潜力。
BlackRock’s extensive involvement in Bitcoin further underscores this perspective. The firm's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) currently holds close to $23 billion in assets, and this significant management could indicate a strong institutional and retail conviction in Bitcoin’s stability during turbulent times.
贝莱德对比特币的广泛参与进一步强调了这一观点。该公司的 iShares 比特币信托 (IBIT) 目前持有近 230 亿美元的资产,这一重要的管理层可能表明机构和散户对比特币在动荡时期的稳定性抱有坚定的信念。
This shifting outlook is also evident beyond BlackRock. At the recent Barron's Advisor 100 Summit, a palpable change was observed among the top financial advisors in the United States.
这种前景的转变在贝莱德之外也很明显。在最近举行的《巴伦周刊》顾问 100 强峰会上,美国顶级财务顾问发生了明显的变化。
As Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, noted during the summit, about 70% of attendees now personally own cryptocurrencies, which marks a substantial increase compared to just a few years ago. This trend mirrors a broader industryの流れ where advisors’ personal investments precede their recommendations to clients.
正如 Bitwise 首席投资官 Matt Hougan 在峰会上指出的那样,目前约有 70% 的与会者个人拥有加密货币,这与几年前相比大幅增加。这种趋势反映了更广泛的行业の流れ,其中顾问的个人投资先于向客户的推荐。
As these barriers continue to erode, the integration of Bitcoin into diverse portfolios may become increasingly common, further solidifying its role as a risk-off asset.
随着这些障碍的不断消除,比特币融入多元化投资组合可能会变得越来越普遍,进一步巩固其作为避险资产的作用。
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