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正如这位分析师所解释的那样,Bitfinex 鲸鱼的走势一直是比特币本身价格走势的可靠指标。

A group of cryptocurrency investors known as “Bitfinex whales” have shown a remarkable ability to predict the movements in the price of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) over the last few years, according to an analyst.
一位分析师表示,过去几年,一群被称为“Bitfinex 鲸鱼”的加密货币投资者表现出了惊人的预测比特币(CRYPTO:BTC)价格变动的能力。
Analyst James Van Straten highlighted the trend in long Bitcoin positions present on the cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex in a recent post on Medium.
分析师 James Van Straten 在 Medium 上最近发表的一篇文章中强调了加密货币交易所 Bitfinex 上比特币多头头寸的趋势。
Here is the chart shared by the analyst:
这是分析师分享的图表:
As can be seen in the above graph, the Bitfinex long positions have shown some interesting changes with respect to the BTC price during the last few years. It would appear that the movements on the platform have generally come ahead of price action in the asset.
从上图中可以看出,在过去几年中,Bitfinex 多头头寸相对于 BTC 价格出现了一些有趣的变化。平台上的走势似乎通常先于资产的价格走势。
“Bitfinex whales have been a great indicator of BTC price movements,” notes Van Straten. During the 2022 bear market, the large investors on the platform opened massive bullish positions and sat tight on them until 2024 rolled around.
Van Straten 指出:“Bitfinex 鲸鱼一直是 BTC 价格走势的重要指标。” 2022年熊市期间,平台上的大投资者开设了大量看涨头寸,并一直持有,直到2024年到来。
These investors then closed a notable amount of positions during the rally that took place in the first quarter of the year and what followed this trend was a downturn in the asset’s price.
随后,这些投资者在今年第一季度的反弹期间平仓了大量头寸,随之而来的是资产价格的下跌。
During the consolidation phase, the Bitfinex whales gradually opened up fresh long positions. Once the recent leg of the bull run came, these humongous entities again showed smart money behavior as they realized their profit.
在盘整阶段,Bitfinex 鲸鱼逐渐开设新的多头头寸。一旦最近的牛市到来,这些庞大的实体在实现利润时再次表现出聪明的资金行为。
Since this profit-taking event has come from this cohort, the Bitcoin price has once more been showing signs of bearish momentum. So far, the Bitfinex long positions haven’t reversed their downtrend, implying the whales don’t think the current market conditions are right for setting up new bullish bets.
由于这次获利了结事件来自这一群体,比特币价格再次显示出看跌势头的迹象。到目前为止,Bitfinex 多头头寸尚未扭转下降趋势,这意味着鲸鱼认为当前的市场状况不适合建立新的看涨押注。
Naturally, it’s possible that the Bitfinex whales could turn out to be wrong about the cryptocurrency this time around, but considering that they have tended to be right about the market’s direction, a surge in their long positions may have to take place if BTC has to restart its run.
当然,Bitfinex 鲸鱼这次对加密货币的看法可能是错误的,但考虑到他们对市场方向的判断往往是正确的,如果 BTC 必须这样做,他们的多头头寸可能不得不大幅增加。重新启动其运行。
Speaking of cryptocurrency exchanges, the total Exchange Reserve, a measure of the amount of Bitcoin held by the wallets of all centralized platforms, has registered an increase recently, as an analyst has pointed out in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post.
说到加密货币交易,正如一位分析师在 CryptoQuant Quicktake 帖子中指出的那样,总交易储备(衡量所有中心化平台钱包持有的比特币数量的指标)最近有所增加。
Here is the chart shared by the analyst:
这是分析师分享的图表:
As can be seen in the above graph, the Exchange Reserve has shown some interesting changes with respect to the BTC price during the last few years. It would appear that the movements on the platform have generally come ahead of price action in the asset.
从上图中可以看出,在过去几年里,交易所储备金在 BTC 价格方面出现了一些有趣的变化。平台上的走势似乎通常先于资产的价格走势。
“Generally, one of the main reasons why investors use exchanges is for selling-related purposes, so a large amount of deposits don’t tend to be good news for the crypto’s price,” the analyst notes.
“一般来说,投资者使用交易所的主要原因之一是出于与销售相关的目的,因此大量存款对于加密货币的价格来说往往不是好消息,”分析师指出。
During the latest Exchange Reserve jump, the various platforms have received a total of 20,000 BTC in inflows. This could prove to be another obstacle in Bitcoin’s attempt at restarting bullish momentum.
在最近一次交易所储备跳跃期间,各个平台总共收到了 20,000 BTC 的流入。这可能会成为比特币试图重启看涨势头的另一个障碍。
BTC Price
比特币价格
Bitcoin has overall shown sideways movement during the past week as its price is still trading around the $96,000 mark.
过去一周,比特币总体呈现横盘走势,其价格仍在 96,000 美元大关附近交易。
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