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包括比特币和以太坊在内的主要加密货币周一晚间出现下跌,标志着 2022 年第二季度的负面开局。比特币暴跌超过 5%,而以太坊和狗狗币也出现了大幅下跌。比特币的市场波动性仍然很高,超过以太坊近10个百分点。即将到来的 4 月 21 日比特币奖励减半将使矿工收入减少一半,可能会进一步加剧市场波动。
Volatility Surges in Cryptocurrency Market as Bitcoin Faces Halving Event
比特币面临减半事件,加密货币市场波动加剧
The cryptocurrency market faced a downturn on Monday, marking a negative start to the second quarter of 2023. Bitcoin (BTC), the flagship cryptocurrency, experienced a significant drop of over 5%, leading other major cryptocurrencies lower.
周一,加密货币市场遭遇低迷,标志着 2023 年第二季度的开局不利。旗舰加密货币比特币 (BTC) 大幅下跌超过 5%,引领其他主要加密货币走低。
Bitcoin's Volatility Surpasses Ethereum
比特币的波动性超越以太坊
Notably, Bitcoin's volatility has surged in recent weeks, surpassing that of Ethereum (ETH). The annualized 30-day historical volatility for Bitcoin spiked to almost 60% last week, marking a significant difference from ETH's 30-day realized volatility. This disparity in volatility is the widest it has been in at least a year, according to data from Kaiko. Historical volatility measures the level of price fluctuations observed over a specific period.
值得注意的是,最近几周比特币的波动性飙升,超过了以太坊(ETH)。比特币的年化 30 天历史波动率上周飙升至近 60%,与 ETH 的 30 天实际波动率存在显着差异。根据 Kaiko 的数据,这种波动性差异是至少一年来最大的。历史波动率衡量特定时期内观察到的价格波动水平。
Bitcoin Halving Approaches
比特币减半临近
A key factor contributing to Bitcoin's heightened volatility is the upcoming halving event. Scheduled for April 21, this event occurs every four years and reduces the rate of Bitcoin emission per block by 50%. The halving effectively cuts miners' revenue in half, potentially leading to increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market.
导致比特币波动加剧的一个关键因素是即将到来的减半事件。该事件定于 4 月 21 日举行,每四年发生一次,并将每个区块的比特币排放率降低 50%。减半实际上使矿工的收入减少了一半,可能导致加密货币市场的波动加剧。
Top Gainers and Market Overview
涨幅最大者和市场概览
Despite the overall market downturn, several altcoins experienced notable gains. Core (CORE) surged by 38.48%, Bittensor (TAO) gained 4.35%, and Bitget Token (BGB) rose by 1.62% over the past 24 hours.
尽管整体市场低迷,但几种山寨币仍取得了显着的涨幅。过去24小时,Core(CORE)飙升38.48%,Bittensor(TAO)上涨4.35%,Bitget Token(BGB)上涨1.62%。
The global cryptocurrency market capitalization currently stands at $2.69 trillion, indicating a moderate increase of 1.63% in the past 24 hours.
目前全球加密货币市值为2.69万亿美元,过去24小时小幅上涨1.63%。
Stock Markets and Economic Indicators
股票市场和经济指标
In traditional markets, the S&P 500 closed lower by 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained slightly by 0.11%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also dipped at the beginning of the second quarter.
传统市场方面,标普500指数收跌0.2%,纳斯达克综合指数小幅上涨0.11%。道琼斯工业平均指数也在第二季度初下跌。
Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's approach to interest rate cuts and inflation. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently stated that the economy is robust and inflation remains above the target. Following Powell's comments and a crucial inflation indicator, Treasury yields increased on Monday.
投资者正在密切关注美联储的降息和通胀政策。美联储主席鲍威尔近日表示,经济强劲,通胀仍高于目标。在鲍威尔发表评论和关键通胀指标之后,美国国债收益率周一上涨。
Analyst Notes
分析师笔记
Cryptocurrency analyst Michael Van de Poppe suggests that Bitcoin is currently consolidating. He identifies $67,000 as a crucial support level and $71,700 as a potential breakout point. Van de Poppe anticipates a final test of the all-time high before the halving event.
加密货币分析师 Michael Van de Poppe 表示,比特币目前正在整合。他将 67,000 美元确定为关键支撑位,将 71,700 美元确定为潜在突破点。 Van de Poppe 预计在减半事件之前将最终测试历史最高点。
Analyst Keith Alan highlights the increasing bid liquidity towards $60,000. While BTC has achieved seven consecutive green monthly closes, Alan emphasizes that there is no guarantee of a continuous upward trend.
分析师 Keith Alan 强调投标流动性不断增加,接近 60,000 美元。尽管BTC已连续七个月收盘呈绿色,但艾伦强调,并不能保证持续上涨趋势。
Analyst and economist Alex Krüger predicts that Bitcoin could reach new all-time highs soon. Based on the bullish trends in the crypto daily charts, Krüger anticipates an imminent surge for Bitcoin.
分析师兼经济学家 Alex Krüger 预测,比特币可能很快就会达到历史新高。根据加密货币日线图的看涨趋势,克鲁格预计比特币即将飙升。
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