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在壮观的潮流和令人惊叹的滴落之间,加密蛋糕的女王正在塑造罕见残酷的投资者的心态。
Bitcoin is currently passing through a turbulent phase, juggling spectacular surges and dizzying drops. This chaotic dance has pushed the queen of crypto to the forefront, shaping the mindset of investors with rare brutality. In recent days, the market has witnessed an intense sequence marked by massive sales of Bitcoin spot ETFs and growing pressure on futures contracts.
比特币目前正在经历动荡的阶段,杂耍了壮观的潮流和令人眼花drop乱的滴水。这种混乱的舞蹈将加密货币的女王推向了前沿,以罕见的残酷行为塑造了投资者的心态。最近几天,该市场见证了一个强烈的序列,其标志是比特币现场ETF的大量销售以及对期货合约的压力日益增长的序列。
This phenomenon is anything but trivial. It highlights a lasting climate of doubt, where the extreme volatility of BTC pushes some to throw in the towel while others look for opportunities.
这种现象绝非易事。它突出了一种持久的怀疑氛围,在这种情况下,BTC的极端波动促使一些人扔进毛巾,而另一些人则在寻找机会。
Capital outflows from Bitcoin ETFs have reached critical levels, concentrating investor concern. According to recent data, over $3.4 billion was withdrawn from ETFs in February alone, with a peak of $1.13 billion on the single day of February 25.
来自比特币ETF的资本流出已经达到了关键水平,使投资者关注。根据最近的数据,仅2月份,仅2月25日的ETF撤回了超过34亿美元的ETF,而2月25日的高峰为11.3亿美元。
This figure sets a record since the launch of these financial products and illustrates a growing distrust towards Bitcoin in a context of high volatility.
该数字创造了这些金融产品以来的记录,并说明了在高波动性的情况下对比特币的不信任。
This pressure has also been felt in the futures market, where many long positions have been liquidated within a few days. Between February 24 and 27, BTC plummeted by 12.48% and is currently testing the $82,000 zone, struggling to find clear support.
期货市场也感受到了这种压力,那里的许多长位置已在几天内被清算。在2月24日至27日之间,BTC下降了12.48%,目前正在测试82,000美元的区域,努力寻找明确的支持。
This forced liquidation phenomenon has amplified the bearish movement and over-leveraged investors have been forced to urgently close their positions. In the face of this collapse, some analysts believe that confidence in Bitcoin’s ability to maintain recent price levels is rapidly eroding.
这种强迫清算现象扩大了看跌的运动,过度杠杆的投资者被迫紧急关闭其立场。面对这种崩溃,一些分析人士认为,对比特币保持最新价格水平的能力的信心正在迅速侵蚀。
Yet, while trader capitulation is evident, other elements suggest that this storm may hide opportunities. One indicator stands out: the correlation between ETF flows and BTC price movements.
然而,尽管交易者投降很明显,但其他因素表明这场风暴可能会隐藏机会。一个指标脱颖而出:ETF流与BTC价格变动之间的相关性。
Analyst Adam highlights in a post on the social network X (formerly Twitter) that out of 14 instances of massive withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs, BTC’s price only followed a bearish trend once. In other words, the current hemorrhage could be a temporary signal rather than a definitive breaking point.
分析师亚当(Adam)在社交网络X(以前是Twitter)的一篇文章中强调,在从比特币ETF中大规模提款的14个实例中,BTC的价格仅遵循看跌趋势。换句话说,当前的出血可能是暂时的信号,而不是确定的断裂点。
Another factor to watch: the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which has dropped to a level of 10, a score that characterizes “extreme fear” in the market. Historically, such conditions have often marked a preferred entry point for investors looking for trend reversals.
要观看的另一个因素:加密恐惧和贪婪指数已下降到10个水平,这是市场上“极端恐惧”的分数。从历史上看,这种情况通常标志着寻求趋势逆转的投资者的首选切入点。
However, uncertainties remain numerous, particularly regarding the trajectory of monetary policies and the behavior of institutional investors in the face of this correction.
但是,不确定性仍然很多,特别是关于货币政策的轨迹以及面对这种纠正的机构投资者的行为。
One thing is certain: Bitcoin continues to evolve in a turbulent zone where each movement can redefine the trend. Thus, the current market situation could swing in two directions: either a gradual rebound takes place, fueled by an influx of opportunistic capital looking to buy. Or the selling pressure extends, further deepening the ongoing correction.
可以肯定的是:比特币继续在湍流区域发展,每个运动都可以重新定义趋势。因此,当前的市场状况可能会朝两个方向转动:要么逐渐反弹,这是由于寻求购买的机会资本的涌入所推动。或销售压力延长,进一步加深了正在进行的校正。
The coming days will be decisive in determining whether Bitcoin is truly hitting a floor or if a new wave of liquidation looms on the horizon.
未来几天将决定比特币是否真正撞到地板,或者新的清算浪潮在地平线上。
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