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由于比特币 (BTC) 在过去一周下跌了 11%,10x Research 主张对即将到来的减半事件保持谨慎。该报告强调了比特币的关键时刻,表明比特币价格可能会因对称三角形缩小而出现 10% 的突破。该报告建议将止损设置在 62,500 美元,并对减半后的时期表示谨慎,理由是矿商抛售的可能性可能会影响更广泛的加密货币市场。
Bitcoin's Recent Slump Prompts Caution Ahead of Halving Event
比特币最近的暴跌提醒人们在减半事件之前保持谨慎
New York, NY - Amidst a significant 11% decline in Bitcoin's value over the past week, analysts at 10x Research urge investors to exercise caution as the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event approaches.
纽约 - 过去一周比特币价值大幅下跌 11%,随着备受期待的比特币减半事件临近,10x Research 分析师敦促投资者保持谨慎。
Critical Juncture
紧要关头
According to the research report, Bitcoin has reached a critical juncture. The recent price drop, which occurred within a narrowing symmetrical triangle pattern, suggests a potential breakout in either direction, triggering a rapid 10% price movement.
研究报告显示,比特币已经到了关键时刻。最近的价格下跌发生在一个缩小的对称三角形模式内,表明可能朝任一方向突破,从而引发 10% 的价格快速波动。
Bitcoin's initial critical support level is situated at approximately $60,026, followed by a second level at $51,536. Two months ago, when Bitcoin was trading at $52,000, 10x Research predicted a surge to $68,000 ahead of the halving.
比特币的初始关键支撑位约为 60,026 美元,其次是 51,536 美元。两个月前,当比特币交易价格为 52,000 美元时,10x Research 预测在减半之前将飙升至 68,000 美元。
Technical Indicators Raise Concerns
技术指标引发担忧
The report highlights that when Bitcoin prices close below its monthly upper Bollinger level ($68,695), bullish momentum may be compromised during parabolic rallies. This observation is supported by historical data. In April/May 2021, when Bitcoin traded below its upper monthly Bollinger band, a swift correction ensued, dropping from $60,000 to the low $30,000 range.
该报告强调,当比特币价格收于月度布林线上限(68,695 美元)以下时,看涨势头可能会在抛物线反弹期间受到损害。这一观察得到了历史数据的支持。 2021 年 4 月/5 月,当比特币交易价格低于其月度布林带上限时,随之而来的是迅速调整,从 60,000 美元跌至 30,000 美元的低位。
Risk Management Strategies
风险管理策略
10x Research recommends setting a stop-loss order at $62,500 as Bitcoin approaches the $61,000 level. A break below this threshold could trigger a substantial market correction.
当比特币接近 61,000 美元的水平时,10x Research 建议将止损单设置在 62,500 美元。跌破这一门槛可能会引发大幅市场调整。
Post-Halving Caution
减半后注意事项
The report also adopts a cautious stance regarding the post-halving period. Despite the absence of historical evidence supporting an immediate bullish trend, analysts caution that cryptocurrencies remain susceptible to deep and prolonged corrections.
该报告还对减半后的时期采取了谨慎的立场。尽管缺乏历史证据支持当前的看涨趋势,但分析师警告称,加密货币仍然容易受到深度和长期修正的影响。
Potential Miner Sell-Off
潜在的矿商抛售
Concerns have been raised about the potential for Bitcoin miners to sell approximately $5 billion worth of Bitcoin inventories after the halving, which could negatively impact altcoins. This caution has been substantiated by the significant declines experienced by several popular altcoins over the past weekend.
人们担心比特币矿商可能会在减半后出售价值约 50 亿美元的比特币库存,这可能会对山寨币产生负面影响。过去周末几种流行山寨币的大幅下跌证实了这种谨慎态度。
Institutional Influence
机构影响力
The report notes that Bitcoin's growing role as an institutional asset class will be thoroughly explored at Benzinga's Future of Digital Assets event on November 19.
报告指出,比特币作为一种机构资产类别日益重要的作用将在 11 月 19 日举行的 Benzinga 数字资产未来活动上得到彻底探讨。
Investor Takeaway
投资者要点
As Bitcoin approaches the halving event, investors are advised to exercise caution and implement sound risk management strategies. While the halving has historically been associated with price surges, it is essential to recognize the potential for market volatility and adjust trading accordingly.
随着比特币减半事件的临近,建议投资者谨慎行事并实施健全的风险管理策略。虽然历史上减半与价格飙升有关,但认识到市场波动的潜力并相应调整交易至关重要。
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