一位加密分析师说，比特币在2025年第一季度下降了近26％至75,000美元左右。

索恩·道森（Sean Dawson）博士在1月28日的市场报告中说，Cointelegraph的市场报告说，比特币的可能性

A crypto analyst is predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) could drop nearly 26% in the first quarter of 2025, falling to around $75,000. However, some crypto commentators are less confident about a fall.

一位加密分析师预测，比特币（BTC）在2025年第一季度可能会下降近26％，跌至75,000美元左右。但是，一些加密评论员对跌倒的信心较小。

Dr. Sean Dawson, Derive head of research, stated in a Jan. 28 markets report viewed by Cointelegraph that the probability of Bitcoin dropping back toward the $75,000 price point has increased slightly. According to Dawson, this is based on Bitcoin’s at-the-money implied volatility spiking from 52% to 76%, a sign of increased demand for put options “to protect against downside risk.”

派生研究负责人肖恩·道森（Sean Dawson）博士在1月28日的一份市场报告中指出，Cointelegraph的报道说，比特币降低到75,000美元的价格点的可能性略有上涨。根据道森的说法，这是基于比特币在52％到76％的现有货币隐含波动率上升的，这表明对PUT期权的需求增加了“防止下行风险”。

Bitcoin dropped 6.5% on Jan. 27 to $97,906 amid a broader crypto and stock market decline triggered by the latest AI model from China-based artificial intelligence project DeepSeek. Bitcoin has since bounced back above the $100,000 mark, trading at $102,100 at the time of publication, per CoinMarketCap data.

比特币在1月27日下降了6.5％，至97,906美元，这是由于中国人工智能项目DeepSeek的最新AI模型引发的更广泛的加密和股票市场下降。此后，比特币在出版时，比特币回弹了100,000美元，在出版时的交易价格为102,100美元。

Dawson said the slight uptick in the probability of Bitcoin heading back toward $75,000 “reflects a shift in market sentiment toward bearishness as traders adjust to rising uncertainty.”

道森说，比特币返回75,000美元的可能性略有上升，这反映了市场情绪向看跌的转变，因为交易者适应不确定性的上升。”

The last time Bitcoin was trading near $75,000 was on Nov. 8, just three days after Donald Trump’s U.S. presidential victory. It then went on a month-long rally that saw BTC reach the long-awaited $100,000 price level for the first time on Dec. 5.

在唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的美国总统胜利仅三天后，比特币上次交易近75,000美元。然后，它进行了为期一个月的集会，这使得BTC在12月5日首次达到了期待已久的100,000美元价格水平。