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由于投资者旨在确保收益,BTC 2024 年的表现在 12 月底遭遇减速。尽管如此,特朗普领导下的支持加密货币的政府的热情重新点燃了人们的兴趣,推动比特币创下 108,000 美元的历史新高。
Bitcoin (BTC) price crossed the $100,000 threshold for the first time in two weeks, as a renewed wave of optimism hit markets ahead of the expected confirmation of Donald Trump’s US election win by Congress this week.
比特币 (BTC) 价格两周来首次突破 10 万美元大关,在国会预计本周将确认唐纳德·特朗普在美国大选中获胜之前,新一轮乐观情绪席卷市场。
According to data from Bloomberg, the world’s leading cryptocurrency rose over 4% in 24 hours to hit $102,500 on Monday, and was up 11% on the week – its best seven-day performance since November 24.
据彭博社数据,全球领先的加密货币周一 24 小时内上涨逾 4%,触及 102,500 美元,本周上涨 11%,为 11 月 24 日以来最佳 7 天表现。
Bitcoin price rally resumes, surging past $100,000 again
比特币价格恢复反弹,再次突破 10 万美元
BTC price had slowed its 2024 rally in late December, as traders largely opted to secure their gains. However, enthusiasm for a pro-crypto government under Trump appeared to be boosting sentiment once more, taking Bitcoin to within striking distance of its record peak of $108,000.
BTC 价格在 12 月底放缓了 2024 年的涨幅,因为交易者大多选择锁定收益。然而,对特朗普领导下的支持加密货币政府的热情似乎再次提振了市场情绪,使比特币价格接近历史最高点 108,000 美元。
Markets were upbeat as Congress prepared to meet to certify Trump’s win, with Khushboo Khullar – a venture partner at Lightning Ventures, which invests in Bitcoin-related companies – stating that “a super cycle in 2025 is expected due to regulatory changes from the Trump administration.”
随着国会准备开会确认特朗普的胜利,市场感到乐观,Lightning Ventures 的风险合伙人 Khushboo Khullar 表示,“由于特朗普政府的监管变化,预计 2025 年将出现超级周期”。 ”。
Another positive indicator for Bitcoin traders was a rebound in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium, which measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and Binance.
对比特币交易者来说的另一个积极指标是比特币 Coinbase 溢价的反弹,该溢价衡量 Coinbase 和 Binance 上比特币之间的价格差异。
The premium has recovered after hitting its lowest levels since Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX exchange collapsed in 2022, suggesting a rising demand for Bitcoin from US investors.
溢价在触及 Sam Bankman-Fried 的 FTX 交易所 2022 年倒闭以来的最低水平后已有所回升,这表明美国投资者对比特币的需求不断上升。
However, the premium turned negative in December, as the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) began trading at a discount to spot Bitcoin prices for the first time ever.
然而,随着灰度比特币信托基金(GBTC)首次开始以折扣价交易以发现比特币价格,溢价在 12 月变成了负数。
According to Joe McCann – the CEO of Asymmetric, a crypto hedge fund in Miami – ETF issuers primarily trade on Coinbase, which suggests that demand for the ETFs could be affecting the premium or discount rates.
迈阿密加密对冲基金 Asymmetry 的首席执行官 Joe McCann 表示,ETF 发行人主要在 Coinbase 上进行交易,这表明对 ETF 的需求可能会影响溢价或折价率。
Bitcoin price support levels eyed
关注比特币价格支撑位
As the market looks ahead to 2025, Bloomberg noted that the path of Bitcoin price will depend heavily on Trump’s dedication to his crypto-related pledges, which include a national Bitcoin reserve.
在市场展望 2025 年之际,彭博社指出,比特币价格的走势将在很大程度上取决于特朗普对加密货币相关承诺的承诺,其中包括建立国家比特币储备。
However, there are doubts over the sustainability of the ongoing rally, with a recent MLIV Pulse survey revealing that 39% of participants saw Bitcoin as the investment most likely to become a loser in 2025, the highest proportion of any choice.
然而,人们对持续上涨的可持续性存疑,最近的 MLIV Pulse 调查显示,39% 的参与者认为比特币是 2025 年最有可能成为输家的投资,这一比例是所有选择中最高的。
On the technical analysis front, market commentator Morecryptoonl noted that Bitcoin has formed a more complete five-wave pattern, with a bearish scenario still possible if specific support levels are violated.
在技术分析方面,市场评论员Morecryptoonl指出,比特币已经形成了更完整的五浪格局,如果突破特定支撑位,仍有可能出现看跌情景。
Currently, wave two is holding support, while wave one is technically complete but saw a minimum target of $100,800. Once wave one confirms its peak, key support Fib levels are seen around $93,144 to $96,554, which could be tested next.
目前,第二波持有支撑,而第一波技术上已完成,但最低目标为 100,800 美元。一旦第一波确认见顶,斐波那契关键支撑位将在 93,144 美元至 96,554 美元之间,接下来可能会受到测试。
When it comes to Bitcoin ETFs, Glassnode said the buying trend was still strong, largely due to the seasonality.
当谈到比特币 ETF 时,Glassnode 表示购买趋势仍然强劲,这主要是由于季节性。
With Inauguration Day approaching, the market analysis firm anticipates more buying from traditional finance investors, which could continue to influence Bitcoin price.
随着就职日的临近,市场分析公司预计传统金融投资者将增加购买,这可能会继续影响比特币价格。
At the time of writing, BTC price had slipped back towards the $101,888 level but was still making significant gains on all time frames.
截至撰写本文时,BTC 价格已回落至 101,888 美元水平,但在所有时间范围内仍在大幅上涨。
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