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过去一周,比特币的价格基本保持不变,减半事件后的波动很小。尽管新批准的比特币 ETF 资金大量涌入,但比特币价格仍徘徊在 63,774 美元左右。然而,加密货币策略师 TechDev 预测比特币将出现大幅牛市,暗示其可能飙升超过 110%,与 2020 年 11 月的价格爆发类似。
Bitcoin Exhibits Tepid Price Movement, but a Cryptocurrency Strategist Anticipates an Epic Bull Run
比特币价格走势不温不火,但加密货币策略师预计将出现史诗般的牛市
Within the past week, Bitcoin's price trajectory has remained relatively unremarkable, demonstrating minimal fluctuations following its much-anticipated halving event. At the time of writing, Bitcoin hovers around $63,774, having experienced only slight variations throughout the week. This lackluster price action has accompanied an influx of capital from recently approved U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
在过去的一周内,比特币的价格轨迹仍然相对平淡,在备受期待的减半事件之后显示出最小的波动。截至撰写本文时,比特币徘徊在 63,774 美元附近,整周仅经历了轻微变化。这种低迷的价格走势伴随着最近批准的美国现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的资金涌入。
However, TechDev, a prominent crypto strategist, foresees an impending bullish scenario for Bitcoin.
然而,著名的加密货币策略师 TechDev 预计比特币即将出现看涨情景。
Potential Repetition of Bitcoin's November 2020 Price Surge
比特币可能会重演 2020 年 11 月的价格飙升
On the micro-blogging platform X, TechDev highlighted that Bitcoin's two-month chart conditions suggest the leading cryptocurrency is poised for exponential growth.
TechDev 在微博平台 X 上强调,比特币的两个月图表状况表明,领先的加密货币即将呈指数级增长。
TechDev predicts a potential surge of over 110% for Bitcoin, mirroring its price movement in November 2020. During that period, Bitcoin experienced a meteoric rise from approximately $13,000 to nearly $29,000 within two months.
TechDev 预测比特币的潜在涨幅将超过 110%,这反映了 2020 年 11 月的价格走势。在此期间,比特币在两个月内从约 13,000 美元飙升至近 29,000 美元。
An accompanying chart underscores Bitcoin's remarkable rallies in 2013, 2016, and 2020. During these instances, Bitcoin's momentum indicator, the relative strength index (RSI), exhibited a bullish reading of 70.
随附的图表强调了比特币在 2013 年、2016 年和 2020 年的显着反弹。在这些情况下,比特币的动量指标、相对强弱指数 (RSI) 显示出 70 的看涨读数。
TechDev further notes that Bitcoin's volatility indicator, as depicted by Bollinger Band Width (BBW), reached its lowest point during those three periods. It is notable that extended periods of low volatility often precede strong directional bias, implying that Bitcoin was preparing for a significant move.
TechDev 进一步指出,比特币的波动性指标(如布林线宽度(BBW)所示)在这三个时期达到了最低点。值得注意的是,长期的低波动性往往会出现强烈的方向性偏差,这意味着比特币正在为重大走势做准备。
Consensus on Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory
对比特币看涨轨迹的共识
TechDev maintains that Bitcoin is unlikely to experience a price collapse, stating, "Please also point out the 'pullbacks/crashes/dumps' many have freaked about over the last eight months."
TechDev 坚称比特币不太可能经历价格暴跌,并表示,“还请指出过去八个月许多人担心的‘回调/崩盘/抛售’。”
While TechDev remains highly optimistic about the potential for another sharp Bitcoin rally, cryptocurrency strategist DonAlt expresses caution.
虽然 TechDev 对比特币再次大幅上涨的潜力保持高度乐观,但加密货币策略师 DonAlt 表示谨慎。
DonAlt warns that support at the $60,000 level appears weak after facing multiple tests. He elaborates, "Back to the same old level. The more often it's tested the more likely it is to break. I think even bulls would want to get a washout below it at this point. Complacency until proven otherwise (as in until $68,000 is reclaimed or range is lost and then reclaimed again)."
DonAlt 警告称,在面临多重考验后,60,000 美元的支撑位显得疲软。他解释道,“回到原来的水平。测试的次数越多,突破的可能性就越大。我认为,即使是多头也希望在这一点上跌破该水平。自满,直到事实证明并非如此(例如直到 68,000 美元)回收或射程丢失然后再次回收)。”
Crypto expert Michaël van de Poppe expects Bitcoin to remain within a range for the next 3-6 months. However, he anticipates altcoins to experience significant divergence, delivering long-awaited gains for holders.
加密专家 Michaël van de Poppe 预计比特币在未来 3-6 个月内将保持在一定区间内。然而,他预计山寨币将出现显着差异,为持有者带来期待已久的收益。
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