比特币价格预计将回升至 15 万美元，分析师预测 2026 年最高可达 20 万美元

加密货币分析师 TradingShot 提供了有关比特币价格恢复至 15 万美元的见解。他分析了斐波那契水平以提供见解

Crypto analyst TradingShot has analyzed the Fibonacci levels to provide insights into how Bitcoin could reach a new high of $150,000, although he suggests that there could be more price correction before that happens.

加密货币分析师 TradingShot 分析了斐波那契水平，以深入了解比特币如何达到 150,000 美元的新高，尽管他表示在此之前可能会有更多的价格调整。

The Bitcoin Price Recovery To $150,000

比特币价格回升至 150,000 美元

According to a TradingView post, TradingShot stated that the next high is on the horizon as the Bitcoin price has already entered phase 3 of the bull cycle. This next high is expected to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci extension at the price of $150,000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel.

根据 TradingView 的帖子，TradingShot 表示，由于比特币价格已经进入牛市周期的第三阶段，下一个高点即将到来。下一个高点预计将位于 -0.5 水平斐波那契扩展位以及 2.0 通道斐波那契扩展位，价格为 150,000 美元，这是该通道的下一个技术扩展位。

The crypto analyst cited phases 1 and 2 of the Bitcoin price bull cycle, noting that they started a multi-month accumulation phase with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again. In line with this, TradingShot raised the possibility of another 100% rally and a possible top at $200,000 as phase 3 concludes.

这位加密货币分析师引用了比特币价格牛市周期的第一阶段和第二阶段，指出他们开始了一个数月的积累阶段，可能再次对 0.382 Fib 进行最大修正。与此相符，TradingShot 提出了在第三阶段结束时再次出现 100% 反弹以及可能触及 200,000 美元顶部的可能性。

The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin price could reach this $200,000 target between October and December 2026. This aligns with Standard Chartered’s prediction that Bitcoin could hit this price level by year-end 2025.

该分析师随附的图表显示，比特币价格可能会在 2026 年 10 月至 12 月期间达到 20 万美元的目标。这与渣打银行的预测一致，即比特币可能会在 2025 年年底达到这一价格水平。

Meanwhile, TradingShot also provided more insights into the current BTC price action. The analyst revealed that the Bitcoin price has touched its 1-day 50 moving average (MA) for the first time in over 2 months and is now rebounding. He added that the first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt last week when Bitcoin came close to the 50 MA again and rebounded aggressively. This is said to be a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends.

与此同时，TradingShot 还提供了有关当前 BTC 价格走势的更多见解。该分析师透露，比特币价格在两个多月以来首次触及 1 天 50 移动平均线 (MA)，目前正在反弹。他补充说，上周当比特币再次接近 50 MA 并大幅反弹时，实际上已经感受到了短期买家的首次出现。据说这是在如此激进的上升趋势中自然的技术反应。

TradingShot noted that the key support level during BTC bull cycles is the 1-week 50 MA, which has acted as support since March 2023 and was successfully tested twice on August 5 and September 6, the latter of which was what technically started the current bullish leg for the Bitcoin price.

TradingShot指出，BTC牛市周期的关键支撑位是1周50 MA，该支撑位自2023年3月以来一直充当支撑位，并于8月5日和9月6日两次成功测试，后者是技术上开启当前看涨的动力比特币价格的腿。

Further Analysis of the Fibonacci Channel Up

斐波那契上升通道的进一步分析

TradingShot provided a further analysis of the Fibonacci Channel Up. He noted that bullish legs are technically part of Channels. This time is no different as the Bitcoin price has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear cycle on November 21, 2021.

TradingShot 提供了斐波那契上升通道的进一步分析。他指出，从技术上讲，看涨腿是通道的一部分。这次也不例外，因为自 2021 年 11 月 21 日上一个熊市周期的底部以来，比特币价格一直在斐波那契上升通道上交易。

In phase 1 of the bull cycle, the Bitcoin price is said to have traded within the Fib 0.0 to 1.0 range. In phase 2, Bitcoin traded within the 0.5 to 1.5 range. For phase 3, TradingShot stated that he expects the flagship crypto to trade within the Fib 1.0 to 2.0 range.

在牛市周期的第一阶段，据说比特币价格在 Fib 0.0 至 1.0 范围内交易。在第二阶段，比特币的交易区间为 0.5 至 1.5。对于第三阶段，TradingShot 表示，他预计旗舰加密货币将在 Fib 1.0 至 2.0 范围内交易。

The analyst highlighted the high symmetry between sequences, legs, and pullbacks within this pattern. He remarked that the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to lead to a 100% surge. Specifically, TradingShot alluded to the April 14, 2023, and January 11, 2024 highs of over 100% rallies. The Bitcoin price then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level. Therefore, this similar price action could play out for phase 3.

分析师强调了该模式中的序列、腿和回调之间的高度对称性。他表示，最引人注目的是迄今为止的反弹往往会导致 100% 的飙升。具体来说，TradingShot 提到了 2023 年 4 月 14 日和 2024 年 1 月 11 日超过 100% 反弹的高点。随后比特币价格回落至 0.382 Fib 回撤位。因此，第三阶段可能会出现类似的价格走势。