比特币价格预测：2025 年 BTC 会走向何方？

唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 在 11 月份美国大选中大获全胜后，比特币以及无数其他加密货币代币作为加密货币狂热者的价格飙升

After Donald Trump's resounding US election win in November, bitcoin - along with countless other crypto tokens - has skyrocketed as crypto-fanatics and casual speculators bet on a pro-crypto future under the President-elect.

唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 在 11 月份美国大选中大获全胜后，随着加密货币狂热分子和休闲投机者押注当选总统领导下的加密货币未来，比特币以及无数其他加密货币的价格飙升。

The bull-run continued into December with bitcoin smashing the $100,000 barrier for the first time after Trump promised to nominate Paul Atkins to become the new commissioner of the Securities sand Exchange Commission.

牛市持续到 12 月，在特朗普承诺提名保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 担任美国证券交易委员会新任专员后，比特币首次突破 10 万美元大关。

With Trump no doubt looking forward to his inauguration on 20 January, the jury is still out on how many of his crypto promises he'll keep, and what 2025 and the new President hold for the crypto space.

毫无疑问，特朗普期待着 1 月 20 日的就职典礼，但他将兑现多少加密货币承诺，以及 2025 年和新总统对加密货币领域的承诺，目前尚无定论。

It is of course impossible to know what will happen to the value of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies next year - prices are volatile.

当然不可能知道明年比特币和其他加密货币的价值会发生什么——价格波动很大。

However, the future is looking rosy, at least according to Standard Chartered, which has set a bitcoin price target of $200,000 by the end of 2025.

然而，未来看起来很乐观，至少根据渣打银行的说法，该银行已设定到 2025 年底比特币价格目标为 20 万美元。

While $200,000 seems a long way to go, financial institutions are now throwing their weight behind crypto and Trump pledging to reform crypto regulation, bitcoin could see considerable drive in 2025.

虽然 20 万美元似乎还有很长的路要走，但金融机构现在正在大力支持加密货币，而且特朗普承诺改革加密货币监管，比特币在 2025 年可能会看到相当大的推动力。

Simon Peters, market analyst at Etoro, told This is Money that bitcoin is also likely to follow its four-year cycle which could mean it is set to peak in 2025.

Etoro 市场分析师 Simon Peters 告诉 This is Money，比特币也可能遵循四年周期，这可能意味着它将于 2025 年达到顶峰。

This is not guaranteed, however, with David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation, noting the pullback bitcoin has seen from its previous highs.

然而，这并不能保证，Trade Nation 的高级市场分析师 David Morrison 指出，比特币已经从之前的高点回落。

One of the main catalysts for the recent crypto-boom is Trump's promise to replace the much-reviled SEC chair Gary Gensler with Paul Atkins.

最近加密货币繁荣的主要催化剂之一是特朗普承诺用保罗·阿特金斯取代饱受诟病的 SEC 主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler)。

Gensler, who has announced he'll step down upon Trump's inauguration, is widely disliked by those in the crypto sphere for his enforcement approach to the currencies.

詹斯勒已宣布将在特朗普就职典礼后辞职，但由于他对货币的执法方式而受到加密货币领域人士的普遍不满。

This was, according to David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation, the: 'the icing on the cake, and the solid evidence that crypto is about to enjoy a much friendlier regulatory environment.'

Trade Nation 高级市场分析师 David Morrison 表示，这是“锦上添花，也是加密货币即将享受更加友好的监管环境的有力证据。”

Nick Jones, chief executive of Zumo, agrees. He told This is Money: 'Increased regulatory scrutiny is a positive sign that our industry is maturing.'

Zumo 首席执行官尼克·琼斯 (Nick Jones) 对此表示同意。他告诉《This is Money》：“监管审查的加强是一个积极的迹象，表明我们的行业正在走向成熟。”

Trump has pledged to ease regulation on crypto, and create a new regulatory framework that looks to further integrate crypto into the financial world. This is where Trump's nbitcoin reserve could come in.

特朗普承诺放松对加密货币的监管，并创建一个新的监管框架，旨在进一步将加密货币融入金融世界。这就是特朗普的 nbitcoin 储备可以发挥作用的地方。

Other nations could also follow suits by adopting bitcoin as a reserve asset if Trump does take this approach.

如果特朗普确实采取这种做法，其他国家也可以效仿，采用比特币作为储备资产。

Laith Khalaf, head of investment analysis at AJ Bell, said: 'Fresh news of supportive US government policies in 2025 could continue to bump crypto higher.'

AJ Bell 投资分析主管 Laith Khalaf 表示：“2025 年美国政府支持性政策的最新消息可能会继续推高加密货币价格。”

On top of this, Arnoud Star Busmann, chief exectuive of Quantoz Payments, said: 'This will all lead to crypto being safer and easier to access.'

除此之外，Quantoz Payments 首席执行官 Arnoud Star Busmann 表示：“这一切都将使加密货币变得更安全、更容易访问。”

Khalaf warns that bitcoin is still a risky investment. He added: 'With no fundamentals to speak of, the price of bitcoin is purely driven by what other buyers are willing to pay for it, and the sentiment of crowds is a fickle beast.'

哈拉夫警告说，比特币仍然是一项有风险的投资。他补充道：“没有基本面可言，比特币的价格纯粹是由其他买家愿意支付的价格决定的，而人群的情绪是变化无常的野兽。”

With a safer regulatory environment will also come a wave of new investors looking to buy crypto. The value of crypto tokens is fundamentally based on interest from investors, so this should prove positive for the space.

随着更安全的监管环境，也将出现一波寻求购买加密货币的新投资者。加密代币的价值从根本上取决于投资者的兴趣，因此这对该领域来说应该是积极的。

Laith Khalaf said: 'Seven million people in the UK now own some crypto, according to the FCA, not far off the number who have some money in a stocks and shares Isa.'

Laith Khalaf 表示：“根据 FCA 的数据，英国现在有 700 万人拥有一些加密货币，这与持有股票和 Isa 股票的人数相差不远。”

In fact, Star Busmann says 2025 will likely see the largest ever influx of crypto investors as a result of greater regulation and impending legislation making crypto a more acceptable asset class.

事实上，Star Busmann 表示，由于更严格的监管和即将出台的立法使加密货币成为更容易被接受的资产类别，2025 年可能会出现有史以来最大规模的加密货币投资者涌入。

'I expect that the price of bitcoin will continue its upwards momentum in 2025. But with a multitude of potential catalysts like growing corporate treasury adoption, discussions of national strategic stockpiles and the prospect of US regulatory clarity in 2025, to name a few, it promises to be an exciting year in this space.'

“我预计比特币的价格将在 2025 年继续保持上涨势头。但由于存在多种潜在的催化剂，例如越来越多的企业财务采用、对国家战略库存的讨论以及 2025 年美国监管明确化的前景等，比特币价格将在 2025 年继续保持上涨势头。”有望成为这个领域令人兴奋的一年。