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比特币价格在过去两周内上涨了约 10%,引起了分析师和投资者的关注。一位突出的声音是著名分析师和交易员凯文·斯文森(Kevin Svenson),他认为比特币即将创下历史新高。
renowned analyst and trader predicts Bitcoin will reach new all-time highs in Q4 2024
著名分析师和交易员预测比特币将在 2024 年第四季度创下历史新高
Recent Price Surges and Analyst Predictions
最近的价格飙升和分析师预测
Bitcoin has experienced a notable surge in price over the past two weeks, sparking attention among analysts and investors. One prominent voice is Kevin Svenson, a well-known analyst and trader, who recently shared his predictions for Bitcoin’s future trajectory.
过去两周,比特币价格大幅上涨,引发了分析师和投资者的关注。著名分析师和交易员凯文·斯文森(Kevin Svenson)就是其中的一个知名人士,他最近分享了他对比特币未来轨迹的预测。
After a period of downturn, Bitcoin has shown resilience, recovering to trade at around $62,951 as of now. Svenson believes this sets the stage for the cryptocurrency to break through its previous records. His insights offer a roadmap for what investors might expect in the coming months.
经过一段时间的低迷后,比特币表现出了韧性,目前已恢复至 62,951 美元左右。斯文森认为,这为加密货币突破之前的记录奠定了基础。他的见解为投资者未来几个月的预期提供了路线图。
Svenson’s Predictions for Q4 2024: Potential New All-Time Highs
斯文森对 2024 年第四季度的预测:可能创下历史新高
Svenson recently shared his predictions with his growing audience on YouTube, expressing a bullish outlook for Bitcoin in the fourth quarter of 2024. He shared his belief that the cryptocurrency could reach heights of around $73,800. However, he also cautioned that some fluctuations, or “chop,” might occur along the way.
Svenson 最近在 YouTube 上与越来越多的观众分享了他的预测,表达了对 2024 年第四季度比特币的看涨前景。他分享了他的信念,即加密货币可能会达到 73,800 美元左右的高度。不过,他也警告说,在此过程中可能会出现一些波动或“波动”。
“I think Bitcoin’s still set for new all-time highs in the coming Q4. There may be some chop around [$73,800], still at a slightly higher level. And then going into the New Year, that’s when we might start to see things begin to change,” he noted.
“我认为比特币在即将到来的第四季度仍将创下历史新高。可能会在 [73,800 美元] 附近出现一些波动,但仍处于略高的水平。然后进入新年,那时我们可能会开始看到事情开始发生变化,”他指出。
This timeline suggests that traders should be prepared for an exciting few months as the market evolves.
这条时间表表明,随着市场的发展,交易者应该为令人兴奋的几个月做好准备。
Technical Indicators: Bullish Sign of RSI Breakout
技术指标:RSI 突破看涨信号
Svenson highlighted the importance of technical indicators in forecasting market trends. One such indicator is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which helps traders assess whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Svenson pointed out that Bitcoin is nearing a critical breakout level on the weekly RSI chart.
斯文森强调了技术指标在预测市场趋势中的重要性。其中一个指标是相对强度指数(RSI),它可以帮助交易者评估资产是否超买或超卖。斯文森指出,比特币正在接近 RSI 周图上的关键突破水平。
“We’re sitting on a potential weekly RSI breakout level. Whenever this happens in the past, it has been very bullish. It means like a half year up,” he explained.
“我们正处于潜在的每周 RSI 突破水平。过去每当这种情况发生时,都会非常乐观。这意味着大约半年了,”他解释道。
A successful breakout in the RSI could indicate sustained upward momentum for Bitcoin, making it an exciting time for investors.
RSI 的成功突破可能表明比特币持续上涨势头,这对投资者来说是一个激动人心的时刻。
Favorable Market Conditions for Bitcoin’s Performance
有利于比特币表现的市场条件
Federal Reserve’s Impact on Bitcoin Price Action
美联储对比特币价格走势的影响
One of the key factors influencing Bitcoin’s current price action is the recent decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. These moves tend to have a significant impact on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Svenson believes that this monetary policy shift creates a more favorable environment for Bitcoin to thrive.
影响比特币当前价格走势的关键因素之一是美联储最近决定降息。这些举措往往会对包括加密货币在内的风险资产产生重大影响。斯文森认为,这种货币政策的转变为比特币的繁荣创造了更有利的环境。
“The rate-cutting phase could lead to increased investment in cryptocurrencies as people look for alternative stores of value,” he said.
他表示:“随着人们寻找替代的价值储存手段,降息阶段可能会导致对加密货币的投资增加。”
This shift in monetary policy may be crucial in attracting more investors to Bitcoin, adding to its upward momentum.
货币政策的这种转变可能对于吸引更多投资者购买比特币至关重要,从而增加其上涨动力。
Historical Context: Patterns and Cycles in Bitcoin’s Price Movements
历史背景:比特币价格变动的模式和周期
Svenson also draws on historical patterns to support his predictions. He notes that Bitcoin has historically experienced a strong upward trend after major events like halvings. Given that the most recent halving occurred in April, Svenson suggests that the time is ripe for a breakout.
斯文森还利用历史模式来支持他的预测。他指出,历史上,在减半等重大事件发生后,比特币经历了强劲的上涨趋势。鉴于最近一次减半发生在四月份,斯文森认为突破的时机已经成熟。
“Bitcoin has historically broken out from its reaccumulation range about 150 to 160 days after the halving. We’re currently around 158 days post-halving,” he remarked.
“从历史上看,比特币在减半后约 150 至 160 天就突破了其重新积累区间。目前距离减半还有 158 天左右,”他说道。
This historical context adds another layer of confidence to Svenson’s predictions, making a compelling case for the bullish outlook.
这一历史背景为斯文森的预测增添了另一层信心,为看涨前景提供了令人信服的理由。
Investor Sentiment: A Key Component in Cryptocurrency Markets
投资者情绪:加密货币市场的关键组成部分
Growing Optimism Among Traders
交易者的乐观情绪日益高涨
Investor sentiment plays a crucial role in the cryptocurrency market, and it's closely monitored by traders. According to recent data, a significant percentage of traders are leaning toward long positions, indicating a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. Svenson’s positive analysis aligns with this sentiment, suggesting that more traders are confident about Bitcoin’s future.
投资者情绪在加密货币市场中起着至关重要的作用,并且受到交易员的密切关注。根据最近的数据,很大一部分交易者倾向于多头头寸,这表明比特币的前景看涨。斯文森的积极分析与这种情绪相符,表明更多交易者对比特币的未来充满信心。
“The overall mood in the market is shifting. As more people recognize the potential for Bitcoin to reach new highs, we may see even more investment pouring in,” he said.
“市场的整体情绪正在发生变化。随着越来越多的人认识到比特币创下新高的潜力,我们可能会看到更多的投资涌入。”
This growing optimism can create a self-fulfilling prophecy, where increased buying leads to higher prices, attracting even more investors.
这种日益增长的乐观情绪可以创造一个自我实现的预言,即购买量的增加导致价格上涨,从而吸引更多的投资者。
A Word of Caution Amid Excitement
兴奋中的一句警告
While the sentiment is largely positive, Svenson also advises caution. He acknowledges that the market can be volatile, and prices may not rise in a straight line. Traders should be prepared for potential fluctuations along the way.
尽管市场情绪基本乐观,但斯文森也建议谨慎行事。他承认市场可能会波动,价格可能不会直线上涨。交易者应该为一路上潜在的波动做好准备。
“We could still see some pullbacks and corrections, but overall, the long-term outlook remains very promising,” he cautioned.
“我们仍然可能会看到一些回调和调整,但总体而言,长期前景仍然非常有希望,”他警告说。
Crucial Price Levels to Watch As Bitcoin Approaches Resistance
随着比特币接近阻力位,需要关注的关键价格水平
As Bitcoin approaches key resistance levels, it’s essential for traders to keep an eye on specific price points. According to Svenson, the $63,000 level is critical. A daily close above this level could set the stage for a rally toward new all-time highs.
随着比特币接近关键阻力位,交易者必须密切关注特定的价格点。 Svenson 表示,63,000 美元的水平至关重要。每日收盘价高于该水平可能为反弹创造历史新高奠定基础。
“If we can clear $63k and hold above it, we
“如果我们能够清算 63,000 美元并保持在其之上,我们
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