比特币价格预测：BTCUSD 将转向 96.1K 美元，如果阻力位保持，则下行趋势普遍

随着特朗普推动的加密货币市场情绪降温，比特币价格继续下跌。加密货币市场已经损失了 5000 亿美元的资本。

Bitcoin price has shown signs of slowing down after the Trump-driven cryptocurrency market sentiment cooled down. The crypto market has lost $500 billion in capitalization in the last seven days, which is largely attributed to Bitcoin’s slide back to five-figure price.

在特朗普推动的加密货币市场情绪降温后，比特币价格出现放缓迹象。加密货币市场在过去 7 天里损失了 5000 亿美元的资本，这很大程度上归因于比特币价格回落至五位数。

At the time of writing, BTC price was trading at $95,302, having gained 0.2% on the daily chart. However, the coin is still up by 10% in the last seven days and seven months. Bitcoin price now eyes $96,000 after a technical breakout.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 价格交易于 95,302 美元，日线图上涨 0.2%。然而，该代币在过去 7 天和 7 个月内仍然上涨了 10%。在技​​术突破后，比特币价格目前目标为 96,000 美元。

Bitcoin price technical analysis: Weak momentum signals more downside

比特币价格技术分析：动力疲软预示着更多下行空间

The momentum on Bitcoin price signals exhaustion of its upside, at least for the short term. The coin has recently broken below a long-term ascending channel, and trades are below a key support level, as previously discussed here.

比特币价格的势头表明其上涨空间已经耗尽，至少在短期内是这样。正如前面所讨论的，该代币最近跌破了长期上升通道，并且交易低于关键支撑位。

Also, BTC price is trading below the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) at $99,113, which adds credence to the downward sentiment. However, the coin is trading above the 4-hour moving averages, which shows that the short-term trend is still up.

此外，BTC 价格低于交易量加权移动平均线 (VWMA) 的 99,113 美元，这增加了下行情绪的可信度。不过，该币目前交投于4小时均线之上，这表明短期趋势仍在上涨。

Bitcoin price is facing resistance from the 200-day moving average at $100,180, and a clear breakout from this level will open doors for BTC price to hit new all-time highs.

比特币价格面临 200 日移动均线 100,180 美元的阻力，明确突破该水平将为比特币价格创下新的历史高点打开大门。

Trump appointed crypto advocate Stephen Miran to head the Council of Economic Advisors (CEA), which is seen as an indication of his pro-crypto policies.

特朗普任命加密货币倡导者斯蒂芬·米兰 (Stephen Miran) 担任经济顾问委员会 (CEA) 主席，这被视为他支持加密货币政策的体现。

However, most traders have already booked profits on Trump’s November 5 electoral victory, which has slowed down Bitcoin’s upside in recent days.

然而，大多数交易者已经在特朗普11月5日的选举胜利中获利了结，这减缓了比特币最近几天的上涨势头。

The biggest move by the Trump administration would be the much-talked-about establishment of a strategic Bitcoin Federal Reserve.

特朗普政府最大的举措将是建立备受关注的战略性比特币美联储。

Such a move would likely be an uphill task and could take a long time to implement, but the first hint at initiating it could skyrocket Bitcoin prices.

这样的举措可能是一项艰巨的任务，可能需要很长时间才能实施，但启动这一举措的第一个暗示可能会导致比特币价格飙升。

The establishment of a BTC Federal Reserve would almost certainly drive other central banks across the world to establish similar reserves.

比特币美联储的建立几乎肯定会推动世界其他央行建立类似的储备。

As of now, China and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are believed to hold significant amounts of BTC coins.

截至目前，据信中国和阿拉伯联合酋长国（阿联酋）持有大量比特币。

In the meantime, the institutional adoption of Bitcoin as a payment method will likely grow in the new year, if only Bitcoin price maintains relative stability above the critical $90K mark.

与此同时，如果比特币价格保持相对稳定在 9 万美元以上的关键水平，那么在新的一年里，比特币作为支付方式的机构采用可能会增加。

Bitcoin price prediction

比特币价格预测

On the Bitcoin price chart below, the coin pivots at $96,100 and the downside will prevail if the price resistance stays above that level.

在下面的比特币价格图表中，比特币以 96,100 美元为中心，如果价格阻力保持在该水平之上，则下行趋势将占主导地位。

With the sellers in control, BTCUSD will likely find the first support at $94,600. Also, a stronger downward momentum will break below that level and potentially test $92,590.

在卖家控制下，BTCUSD 可能会在 94,600 美元处找到第一个支撑位。此外，更强劲的下行势头将跌破该水平并可能测试 92,590 美元。

On the other hand, breaking above 96,000 will shift the momentum to the upside.

另一方面，突破96,000点将扭转上行势头。

With the buyers in control, BTC price will likely meet the first resistance at $97,360. Breaking above that level will invalidate the upside narrative.

随着买家的控制，比特币价格可能会遇到第一个阻力位 97,360 美元。突破该水平将使上行叙述无效。

Also, a stronger upside momentum could break above that level and test $99,100.

此外，更强劲的上行势头可能会突破该水平并测试 99,100 美元。