2025 年比特币价格预测：BTC 会达到 78,000 美元还是 100,000 美元？

自年初以来，已经出现了对 2025 年比特币价格的多种预测。尽管许多专家期待首屈一指的加密货币

Several predictions for the Bitcoin price in 2025 have surfaced since the beginning of the year. While many experts expect the premier cryptocurrency to continue its historic price rise in 2024, some believe that its value has already peaked in the current cycle.

自今年年初以来，针对 2025 年比特币价格的多种预测已经浮出水面。尽管许多专家预计这种主要加密货币将在 2024 年继续其历史性的价格上涨，但一些人认为其价值在当前周期已达到顶峰。

A well-known crypto trader on the social media platform X — in his latest prediction — has made a significantly bearish call on the Bitcoin price. Here is the potential path to a steep correction for the BTC price in the coming weeks.

社交媒体平台 X 上的一位知名加密货币交易员在他的最新预测中对比特币价格做出了大幅看跌的预测。这是未来几周比特币价格大幅调整的潜在路径。

Is A 20% Correction On The Cards For Bitcoin Price?

比特币价格是否会出现 20% 的修正？

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared an interesting analysis of the Bitcoin price on the X platform. According to the crypto pundit, the flagship cryptocurrency is at risk of a significant pullback to around the $78,000 price level.

加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 分享了对 X 平台上比特币价格的有趣分析。据加密货币专家称，旗舰加密货币面临大幅回调至 78,000 美元左右价格水平的风险。

This bearish projection is based on the formation of the head-and-shoulders pattern on the 4-hour price chart. The head-and-shoulders formation is a technical analysis pattern characterized by three distinct price highs, with a higher “head” set between two lower “shoulders.”

这一看跌预测基于 4 小时价格图表上头肩形态的形成。头肩形态是一种技术分析模式，其特征是三个不同的价格高点，两个较低的“肩部”之间有一个较高的“头”。

This chart pattern usually indicates a potential bearish reversal, signaling a transition from an upward price trend to a downtrend. This trend reversal is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline, which is a trendline connecting the troughs (swing lows) on either side of the head.

这种图表模式通常表明潜在的看跌逆转，标志着价格从上升趋势转变为下降趋势。当价格跌破颈线时，这种趋势反转得到确认，颈线是连接头部两侧波谷（波动低点）的趋势线。

As you can see in the chart above, the Bitcoin price recently tested the neckline at around the $92,000 region before bouncing back up to above $98,000. However, it seems like the Bitcoin price is headed back to the neckline at $92,000.

如上图所示，比特币价格最近测试了 92,000 美元附近的颈线，然后反弹至 98,000 美元上方。然而，比特币价格似乎又回到了 92,000 美元的颈线。

According to Martinez, if the price of BTC returns, successfully breaches, and closes below the neckline, the flagship cryptocurrency could witness a correction to as low as $78,000. This marks an almost 20% decline from the current price point.

马丁内斯表示，如果 BTC 价格回归、成功突破并收于颈线以下，那么旗舰加密货币可能会回调至 78,000 美元。这标志着较当前价格下降了近 20%。

On the other hand, a strong close above the $100,000 mark would invalidate the current bearish setup, the crypto analyst notes. A return to a six-figure valuation could see the market leader resume its bullish course and potentially reach new highs.

另一方面，加密货币分析师指出，如果收盘价强劲突破 100,000 美元大关，则当前的看跌格局将失效。如果估值恢复到六位数，这家市场领导者可能会恢复看涨路线，并可能创下新高。

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

比特币价格一览

At the time of writing, the price of BTC sits just below 98,000, indicating a minimal 0.8% decrease in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency is up by nearly 4% on the weekly timeframe.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 的价格略低于 98,000，表明过去 24 小时内下跌了 0.8%。根据 CoinGecko 的数据，这一主要加密货币每周上涨近 4%。