比特币价格预测：分析师预测 BTC 将在 2025 年第一季度达到 210,000 美元

一位被称为“Capt.”的加密货币分析师Parabolic Toblerone”预测，比特币将在 2025 年情人节之前达到 21 万美元。

A crypto analyst recently took to X (formerly Twitter), boldly predicting a new bullish price target for Bitcoin in Q1 2025. The analyst, who analyzed Bitcoin's future price trajectory using the Elliott Wave theory, anticipates that the 4th Wave will conclude with a price crash to $91,000, while the 5th Wave will propel BTC to reach new heights of $210,000 during this bull cycle.

一位加密货币分析师最近在 X（前 Twitter）上大胆预测 2025 年第一季度比特币的新看涨价格目标。该分析师使用艾略特波浪理论分析了比特币的未来价格轨迹，预计第四波将以一个价格结束暴跌至 91,000 美元，而第五波将推动 BTC 在本轮牛市周期中达到 210,000 美元的新高。

On January 10, a crypto analyst known as “Capt. Parabolic Toblerone” predicted that Bitcoin will hit $210,000 before Valentine's Day in 2025. The analyst shared a Bitcoin price chart from Q4 2024 to date, showcasing a technical analysis of the cryptocurrency's price action based on the Elliott Wave Theory.

1 月 10 日，一位被称为“Capt. Parabolic Toblerone”预测，比特币将在 2025 年情人节前达到 21 万美元。该分析师分享了 2024 年第四季度至今的比特币价格图表，展示了基于艾略特波浪理论对加密货币价格走势的技术分析。

The analyst's chart highlighted the first four waves of the Elliott Wave pattern, with Bitcoin currently nearing the completion of the corrective Wave 4. For those unfamiliar, the Elliott Wave theory is a technical analysis that utilizes price patterns to predict market movements.

该分析师的图表突出显示了艾略特波浪模式的前四波，比特币目前已接近第四波修正波的完成。对于那些不熟悉的人来说，艾略特波浪理论是一种利用价格模式来预测市场走势的技术分析。

Typically, Elliott Waves progress from 1 to 5, each wave representing a distinct trend phase. While Wave 1 marks the beginning of a new trend, Wave 2 reflects a pullback from Wave 1. Among these waves, Wave 3 is known to be the strongest and longest phase, often propelling a cryptocurrency to new all-time highs. Meanwhile, Wave 4 signals a price correction and consolidation, and lastly, Wave 5 highlights a potential bullish reversal and the end of the pattern.

通常，艾略特波浪从 1 波进展到 5 波，每个波浪代表一个独特的趋势阶段。虽然第一波标志着新趋势的开始，但第二波反映了第一波的回调。在这些波浪中，众所周知，第三波是最强和最长的阶段，通常将加密货币推向新的历史高点。与此同时，第 4 浪标志着价格修正和盘整，最后，第 5 浪凸显了潜在的看涨逆转和该模式的结束。

In the case of Bitcoin, the analyst predicts that Wave 4 could conclude with a price crash to $91,000. On the other hand, Wave 5 is anticipated to be a strong upward movement, described by the crypto analyst as a “blow-off top.”

就比特币而言，分析师预测第四波浪潮可能会以价格暴跌至 91,000 美元结束。另一方面，第五波预计将是强劲的上升走势，加密货币分析师将其描述为“爆炸顶”。

According to his analysis, Wave 5 is expected to propel Bitcoin's price to around $210,000 before February 14, corresponding with the upper 6.618 Fibonacci extension level. The analyst has labeled this bullish price target as the top of the cycle, indicating that $210,000 could be the highest Bitcoin will reach in this four-year cycle.

根据他的分析，第五波预计将在 2 月 14 日之前将比特币价格推升至 210,000 美元左右，对应斐波那契扩展线上方 6.618 水平。该分析师将这一看涨价格目标标记为周期的顶部，表明 210,000 美元可能是比特币在这个四年周期中将达到的最高价格。

Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $94,306. The analyst has marked several Fibonacci retracement and extension levels on the chart, indicating resistance and support areas.

目前，比特币交易价格为 94,306 美元。分析师在图表上标记了几个斐波那契回撤和扩展水平，表明阻力和支撑区域。

While predicting a Bitcoin market peak of $210,000, Capt. Parabolic Toblerone's Bitcoin price chart also highlights a potential A-B-C corrective structure following the blow-off top. This correction could see Bitcoin decline significantly, with a potential drop below $100,000. If Bitcoin does hit the predicted market peak of $210,000, this pullback would amount to a crash of over 50%.

在预测比特币市场峰值为 210,000 美元的同时，Capt. Parabolic Toblerone 的比特币价格图表还强调了在突破顶部后可能出现的 ABC 修正结构。此次调整可能导致比特币大幅下跌，有可能跌破 10 万美元。如果比特币确实达到了 21 万美元的预测市场峰值，那么这次回调将导致暴跌超过 50%。

This anticipated decline aligns with patterns observed in previous bull cycles, where explosive rallies to new ATHs precede a sharp downturn. In the case of Bitcoin, this decline would likely mark the beginning of its bear market. Highlighting this potential price crash, the crypto analyst advises caution for Bitcoin and altcoin investors, suggesting that traders “exit all alts” as BTC reaches its predicted top.

这种预期的下跌与之前牛市周期中观察到的模式一致，在牛市周期中，新 ATH 的爆炸性反弹先于急剧下滑。就比特币而言，这种下跌可能标志着其熊市的开始。这位加密货币分析师强调了这种潜在的价格崩盘，建议比特币和山寨币投资者保持谨慎，并建议交易者在比特币达到预期顶部时“退出所有山寨币”。