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加密货币新闻

比特币价格终于准备好看好卷土重来了吗?

2025/03/03 12:06

上周,熊队的运行率很高,并设法提高了价格,并取消了去年11月获得的相当大的收益。

比特币价格终于准备好看好卷土重来了吗?

The bears had a strong run last week, and managed to push price lower, and undoing a sizable chunk of the gains attained in November last year.

上周,熊队的运行率很高,并设法提高了价格,并取消了去年11月获得的相当大的收益。

Despite the sell pressure, Bitcoin price has already bounced back significantly during the weekend, indicating that there was a significant amount of accumulation taking place.

尽管卖出压力,但比特币价格在周末已经大大反弹,这表明发生了大量积累。

For context, Bitcoin price fell as low as $78,197 on Friday and has since bounced back to $85,110 at press time. A 10% gain from its recent low. But could this signal the start of a bullish recovery?

在上下文中,比特币的价格下跌高达78,197美元,此后返回到发稿时的85,110美元。从最近的低点中获得10%的收益。但是,这表明了看涨恢复的开始吗?

One of the main reasons for Bitcoin price snapping back as quickly as it did this weekend was the fact that it was oversold at its recent weekly low.

比特币价格与本周末一样迅速倒闭的主要原因之一是,它在最近的每周低点时被超卖了。

Can Bitcoin price yield a bullish week ahead?

比特币价格可以在未来的一周中产生看涨的一周吗?

Bitcoin Exchange flows confirm that demand was on the rise during the weekend. This could be a precursor for more bullish activity ahead but only if demand remains significantly stronger than sell pressure.

比特币交换流量证实,周末需求正在上升。这可能是未来的更多看涨活动的先驱,但前提是需求仍然比卖出压力更强大。

According to CryptoQuant, Exchange flows were at their lowest level observed in the last 6 weeks. The last time that exchange flows were this low was near mid-January.

根据加密量,交换流在过去6周内观察到的最低水平。交换流量的最后一次低点是1月中旬。

More importantly, exchange outflows were significantly higher at 8,697 BTC compared to 7,417 BTC in exchange inflows at the time of observation. This confirmed that there was a significant gap between inflows and outflows, this time in favor of the bulls.

更重要的是,在8,697 BTC时,交换流出明显更高,而在观察时交换流入为7,417 BTC。这证实了流入和流出之间存在很大的差距,这次赞成公牛。

This outcome was further confirmation that demand was ballooning during the weekend. There are a few other signs indicating that sentiment is shifting in favor of bullish expectations.

这种结果进一步证实,周末的需求正在激增。还有一些其他迹象表明,情绪正在转移,而转移了看涨的期望。

A prominent example is a report revealing that someone recently executed 2 long positions collectively totaling $195 million at 50X leverage. This comes at a time when demand in the derivatives segment was recently crushed by heavy liquidations.

一个著名的例子是一份报告,表明某人最近以50倍的杠杆作用执行了2个长期职位,总计1.95亿美元。这是在衍生品细分市场的需求最近被大量清算所压碎的时候。

Both Bitcoin open interest and estimated leverage ratio tanked by a substantial margin since 20 February. A reflection of the shift from market confidence to uncertainty as price dipped lower.

自2月20日以来,比特币的开放利息和估计的杠杆比率都达到了很大的利润。随着价格下跌,从市场信心转向不确定性的转变反映了。

Is the bearish wave over or will Bitcoin price slide lower?

看跌波还是比特币价格幻灯片降低?

This is the question that many traders probably have right now. Especially considering that previous bearish pauses have yielded more downside, leading to more losses for holders.

这是许多交易者现在可能有的问题。尤其是考虑到以前的看跌停顿产生了更多的缺点,从而导致持有人造成更多的损失。

Some points to note include weak whale activity despite the recent pause. This may signal that whales are anticipating more downside. On the other hand, institutions pumped $94.3 million into BTC on Friday. This may have set the bullish mood during the weekend.

一些要注意的点包括尽管最近停了下来,但鲸鱼活动较弱。这可能表明鲸鱼预计会有更多的缺点。另一方面,机构在周五向BTC筹集了9430万美元。这可能在周末树立了看涨的心情。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance pushed back above 61% despite expectations that a slide below 60% would pave the way for altcoin season.

同时,尽管预期滑坡低于60%会为Altcoin赛季铺平道路,但比特币的主导地位却以61%的速度推迟了61%。

Bitcoin price action has a better chance at a bullish outcome this week. However, there is still considerable risk of more downside given weak demand from whales.

比特币价格动作本周有更好的看涨结果。但是,鉴于鲸鱼的需求较弱,仍然存在更大的下行风险。

In case of more downside, BTC could encounter the next support levels near $76,000 and the 467,000 price level. The second support level means Bitcoin will have given up its November gains. Another major dip would allow buyers to get in at a more discounted price.

如果有更多的缺点,BTC可能会遇到接近76,000美元和467,000个价格水平的下一个支持水平。第二个支持水平意味着比特币将放弃其11月的收益。另一个主要的下降将允许买家以更折扣价进入。

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