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11 月伊始,加密货币市场意外低迷,比特币在 10 月最后一周经历了牛市,但迅速失去了动力。
Bitcoin began November in an unexpected downturn, rapidly losing its momentum after a bull run in the last week of October.
比特币从 11 月份开始就出现了意外的低迷,在 10 月份最后一周的牛市之后迅速失去了势头。
The highly anticipated “Moonvember” began with an unexpected crash. It fell from $73,000 on October 31 to $69,000 on November 1, essentially wiping out $296 million in liquidations, with the majority being long positions. Despite the bulls managing to establish a Bitcoin price support at $69,000, the quick downturn raised questions among many crypto traders.
备受期待的“月月”以一场意外的坠机事故开始。它从 10 月 31 日的 73,000 美元跌至 11 月 1 日的 69,000 美元,基本上消除了 2.96 亿美元的清算,其中大部分是多头头寸。尽管多头设法将比特币价格支撑在 69,000 美元,但比特币的快速下滑还是引起了许多加密货币交易者的质疑。
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According to crypto expert Ash Crypto on social media platform X, this quick crash in the Bitcoin price can be attributed to four major factors.
根据社交媒体平台 X 上的加密货币专家 Ash Crypto 的说法,比特币价格的快速暴跌可归因于四个主要因素。
Top Reasons For Bitcoin’s Price Drop
比特币价格下跌的主要原因
According to Ash Crypto, the recent Bitcoin price isn’t a straightforward result of crypto-specific events but rather a reflection of the broader economic landscape. As he noted, there are currently multiple reports suggesting that Iran may be planning a military action against Israel from Iraqi territory. The potential escalation of conflict in the region seemed to have created uncertainty among Bitcoin investors, and many might have opted to exit from the markets.
根据 Ash Crypto 的说法,最近的比特币价格并不是加密货币特定事件的直接结果,而是更广泛的经济格局的反映。正如他指出的那样,目前有多份报告表明伊朗可能计划从伊拉克领土对以色列采取军事行动。该地区冲突的潜在升级似乎给比特币投资者带来了不确定性,许多人可能选择退出市场。
“As we all know, war is bad for Bitcoin and crypto,” the analyst said.
“众所周知,战争对比特币和加密货币不利,”分析师表示。
Aside from the brewing conflict, Ash Crypto also highlighted the recent earnings reports from tech giants as another factor in the Bitcoin price crash. Major tech companies like Microsoft and Meta recently posted earnings reports that, despite beating expectations, showed rising AI-related costs. This led to a downturn in many other tech stocks, which spilled over to other financial markets, including the crypto industry.
除了正在酝酿的冲突之外,Ash Crypto 还强调科技巨头最近的财报是比特币价格暴跌的另一个因素。微软和 Meta 等主要科技公司最近发布了收益报告,尽管超出了预期,但显示人工智能相关成本不断上升。这导致许多其他科技股的低迷,并蔓延到包括加密货币行业在内的其他金融市场。
Another factor highlighted by Ash Crypto is the recent increase in US Treasury’s bond yields, particularly the 10-year note, which is now trading above 4.3%. Higher yields make government bonds a more attractive alternative, reducing the likelihood of investors putting money into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.
Ash Crypto 强调的另一个因素是近期美国国债收益率的上升,尤其是 10 年期国债,目前其交易价格高于 4.3%。较高的收益率使政府债券成为更具吸引力的选择,从而降低了投资者将资金投入加密货币等风险较高资产的可能性。
Lastly, the latest Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading showed a slight increase to over 2.7%. According to Ash Crypto, this rise in core inflation could push the Federal Reserve toward a more hawkish stance. This could lead to the Fed adopting higher interest rates or delaying rate cuts. Both scenarios could reduce demand for Bitcoin, which thrives in low interest rates, as was evident following the September 18 interest rate cut.
最后,最新的核心个人消费支出(PCE)数据显示小幅增长至 2.7% 以上。 Ash Crypto 表示,核心通胀的上升可能会推动美联储采取更加鹰派的立场。这可能导致美联储采取更高的利率或推迟降息。这两种情况都可能减少对比特币的需求,比特币在低利率下蓬勃发展,9 月 18 日降息后的情况就很明显。
Looking Ahead: What’s Next For Bitcoin?
展望未来:比特币的下一步是什么?
Like many other crypto analysts, Ash Crypto remains optimistic that Bitcoin’s latest dip is temporary. He drew parallels to October’s initial market dip, while anticipating that November, or “Moonvember,” will follow a similar trajectory. Interestingly, the analyst believes Bitcoin still has the momentum and market interest needed to push past $80,000 before the end of November.
与许多其他加密货币分析师一样,Ash Crypto 仍然乐观地认为比特币最近的下跌只是暂时的。他将 10 月份最初的市场下跌进行了比较,同时预计 11 月份(或“月月”)将遵循类似的轨迹。有趣的是,这位分析师认为,比特币仍然具有在 11 月底之前突破 80,000 美元所需的动力和市场兴趣。
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At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $69,678 and is up by 4% in the past 24 hours.
截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 69,678 美元,在过去 24 小时内上涨了 4%。
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
精选图片来自 Pexels,图表来自 TradingView
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