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随着比特币减半事件的临近,著名的加密货币专家 Rekt Capital 强调,2020 年减半前的回调模式可能会重演,在比特币飙升至前所未有的价格水平之前,也出现过类似的回调。比特币最近的复苏反映了 2020 年的市场行为,表明减半前的回调已经结束,并可能出现上涨。
Bitcoin's Pre-Halving Pattern: Revisiting the 2020 Retracement
比特币减半前的格局:重温2020年回调
As the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving draws near, eagle-eyed cryptocurrency expert Rekt Capital has identified an uncanny resemblance to the retracement pattern that preceded the 2020 halving. Back then, a similar pullback paved the way for Bitcoin's subsequent ascent to record-breaking price levels.
随着备受期待的比特币减半临近,目光敏锐的加密货币专家 Rekt Capital 发现,比特币减半与 2020 年减半之前的回调模式有着惊人的相似之处。当时,类似的回调为比特币随后升至破纪录的价格水平铺平了道路。
Renewed Optimism as Bitcoin Rebounds
比特币反弹,乐观情绪重燃
Following a recent bearish spell, Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded with renewed vigor, eclipsing the $70,000 milestone. Analyst Rekt Capital sees this recovery as a potential signal that the pre-halving pullback may be nearing its end, mirroring the market's behavior in 2020.
在经历了最近的看跌之后,比特币 (BTC) 又以新的活力反弹,突破了 70,000 美元的里程碑。分析师 Rekt Capital 认为这种复苏是一个潜在信号,表明减半前的回调可能已接近尾声,这反映了 2020 年的市场行为。
Technical Analysis Points to Potential Upside
技术分析指出潜在的上涨空间
Rekt Capital's technical analysis reveals that Bitcoin's price action has been confined within a specific weekly range following the 18% retracement. The boundaries of this range are defined by the high wicks and candle bodies of 2021 price peaks.
Rekt Capital 的技术分析显示,在 18% 回撤之后,比特币的价格走势已被限制在特定的每周范围内。该范围的边界由 2021 年价格峰值的高影线和蜡烛体定义。
Breakout Watch: Could Bitcoin Surge Higher?
突破观察:比特币能否飙升?
Rekt Capital suggests that reclaiming the ~$69,200 range high as support could confirm the conclusion of the current pullback and set the stage for Bitcoin to break out of its weekly range.
Rekt Capital 表示,收复 69,200 美元区间高点作为支撑位可以确认当前回调的结论,并为比特币突破周区间奠定基础。
Factors Fueling Bitcoin's Growth
推动比特币增长的因素
Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent rally. One key catalyst has been the approval of spot BTC ETFs in January 2024. These ETFs offer investors exposure to Bitcoin without the complexity of direct ownership, attracting institutional adoption and capital inflow that have propelled BTC from $46,000 to its $73,000 peak.
有几个因素促成了比特币近期的上涨。一个关键的催化剂是 2024 年 1 月现货 BTC ETF 的批准。这些 ETF 为投资者提供了投资比特币的机会,而无需直接拥有的复杂性,吸引了机构采用和资本流入,从而将 BTC 从 46,000 美元推升至 73,000 美元的峰值。
Halving Event on the Horizon
减半事件即将发生
The upcoming Bitcoin halving in April has also captured market attention. Historically, halving events have sparked significant price increases. While Bitcoin has yet to reclaim its recent $73,000 high, the current upswing could indicate the culmination of the pre-halving retracement.
即将到来的4月份比特币减半也引起了市场关注。从历史上看,减半事件曾引发价格大幅上涨。尽管比特币尚未收复近期 73,000 美元的高点,但当前的上涨可能表明减半前回调的顶峰。
Key Takeaways
要点
- Bitcoin's current pullback bears striking similarities to the pre-halving retracement in 2020.
- Technical analysis suggests Bitcoin's price is consolidating within a weekly range, with a potential breakout imminent.
- Spot BTC ETFs and institutional adoption have been driving Bitcoin's price higher.
- The upcoming halving event is a potential catalyst for further price appreciation.
Cautionary Note
比特币当前的回调与 2020 年减半前的回调有着惊人的相似之处。技术分析表明,比特币的价格正在周线区间内盘整,潜在的突破即将到来。现货 BTC ETF 和机构采用一直在推动比特币价格走高。即将到来的减半事件是价格进一步升值的潜在催化剂。警告提示
It's crucial to emphasize that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile. While this article provides analysis and historical context, it should not be construed as financial advice. Investors should conduct thorough research and make informed decisions based on their individual circumstances and risk tolerance.
必须强调的是,加密货币市场本质上是不稳定的。虽然本文提供了分析和历史背景,但不应将其视为财务建议。投资者应根据个人情况和风险承受能力进行充分研究并做出明智的决定。
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