比特币市场的情绪已转移到“乐观阶段”

分析平台Crypto Quant在比特币市场情绪上有重大变化。恐惧和贪婪指数涉及简单的使用

Crypto Quant, an analytical platform, has pointed out a significant change in the Bitcoin (BTC) market sentiment, highlighting the transition from the Fear & Greed Index’s ‘Optimism Stage’ to the ‘Euphoria Stage.’

分析平台Crypto Quant指出，比特币（BTC）市场情绪发生了重大变化，强调了从恐惧和贪婪指数的“乐观阶段”到“ Euphoria阶段”的过渡。

The Simple Moving Average 30 (SMA 30) is used by Crypto Quant to show the sentiments of investors in the market. This index is based on the concept that is used in the ‘Psychology of a Market Cycle’ which focuses on distinct phases of investors.

Crypto Quant使用了简单的移动平均值30（SMA 30），以显示市场上投资者的情感。该指数基于“市场周期心理学”中使用的概念，该概念着重于投资者的不同阶段。

In the past, when Bitcoin index entered the ‘Optimism Stage’, a new rally occurs. This phase is characterized by high confidence among investors, which in turn leads to the buying frenzy. This stage usually precedes an upward trend in Bitcoin prices especially to the previous support level or even beyond. During this phase, the Bitcoin prices are generally observed to increase significantly in the market.

过去，当比特币索引进入“乐观阶段”时，会发生新的集会。该阶段的特征是投资者之间的信心很高，这又导致了购买疯狂。这个阶段通常在比特币价格的上升趋势之前，尤其是以前的支持水平甚至更高。在此阶段，通常观察到比特币价格在市场上大幅上涨。

FOMO is not here yet“Historically, when the index entered the Optimism Stage, Bitcoin often began gearing up for a significant rally. However, the Euphoria Stage signaled excessive market optimism, typically followed by substantial corrections.” – By @Woo_Minkyu

FOMO还不在这里：“从历史上看，当指数进入乐观阶段时，比特币经常开始为重大集会做准备。但是，欣快阶段表明市场过度乐观，通常进行了实质性的校正。” - @woo_minkyu

Potential Bitcoin Market Volatility

潜在的比特币市场波动

However there are concerns that may arise from optimism and they include; In the “Euphoria Stage,” the market becomes overly optimistic when Bitcoin shifts to this new stage. However, investors begin to expect continuing high growth rates in the shares and the prices can go too high. Finally, this stage is succeeded by sharp corrections due to the fact that the market turns chaotic at this point.

但是，乐观主义可能引起一些担忧，其中包括：在“欣快阶段”中，当比特币转移到新阶段时，市场变得过于乐观。但是，投资者开始期望股票持续持续的高增长率，价格可能会太高。最后，由于市场在这一点上变得混乱的事实，因此该阶段得到了敏锐的纠正。

In March 2025, BTC has come to the stage of Optimism, which became interesting for the analysts and investors. This trend needs to be watched as historical trends indicate that the market can bounce back at any time soon. The long term price changes demonstrate a positive outlook, however, short-term movements are volatile and can potentially lead to bearish turn.

2025年3月，BTC进入了乐观的阶段，这对分析师和投资者变得有趣。需要注意这种趋势，因为历史趋势表明市场可以在任何时候随时反弹。长期价格变化表明了积极的前景，但是，短期运动是动荡的，有可能导致看跌。

Whether this phenomenon will repeat itself in the future. Bitcoin like before may go through another bullish run or the market could transform into something different. The next few weeks are critical for future trends in the market to be either established or unestablished depending on which side you are on.

这种现象是否会在将来重演。像以前一样，比特币可能会经历另一个看涨的奔跑，否则市场可能会变成不同的东西。接下来的几周对于市场上的未来趋势至关重要，可以根据您的身份建立或未建立。

As of press time, BTC is trading at $91,182, showing a 2.69% increase over the past day.

截至发稿时，BTC的交易价格为91,182美元，显示过去一天增长了2.69％。

Source: TradingView

资料来源：TradingView

Optimism Stage Implications

乐观阶段的含义

The implication of the Optimism Stage is that there are both advantages and disadvantages associated with it as well. If investors are able to identify some aspects that suggest that the market has entered in the Euphoria Stage then they should be able to make sound investment decisions.

乐观阶段的含义是，它也存在与之相关的优势和缺点。如果投资者能够确定一些表明市场已进入欣快感阶段的方面，那么他们应该能够做出合理的投资决策。

In that case, a correction might be made soon after, in order to reestablish some balance. On the other hand, if the Optimism Stage continues, it may lead to growth of the BTC. In the upcoming weeks, the general trend will determine whether BTC is ready to start its next surge.

在这种情况下，可能会在不久之后进行更正，以重新建立一些平衡。另一方面，如果乐观阶段继续进行，则可能导致BTC的增长。在接下来的几周中，总体趋势将决定BTC是否准备开始下一次激增。