比特币市场因美联储的不确定性和预期供应减少而波动

由于美联储货币政策决定的不确定性，比特币（BTC）市场本周经历了大幅波动。尽管早些时候存在担忧，但美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔最近的言论表明今年晚些时候可能会降息，这可能会对比特币价格产生积极影响。然而，加密市场还预计中国将发生“重大”地震和即将到来的比特币减半，这两者都可能影响比特币的价格。

Bitcoin Market Swings Amid Fed Uncertainty and Anticipation of Supply Reduction

比特币市场在美联储的不确定性和供应减少的预期中波动

The Bitcoin (BTC) market has experienced significant volatility this week as traders speculate on the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions regarding interest rates. While the cryptocurrency has rebounded towards $70,000 per coin, concerns linger over the potential impact of monetary policy adjustments.

由于交易员猜测美联储即将做出的利率决定，比特币（BTC）市场本周经历了大幅波动。尽管加密货币已反弹至每枚 70,000 美元，但人们仍对货币政策调整的潜在影响感到担忧。

In a recent statement, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled the possibility of an interest rate cut later this year, a move that has sparked mixed reactions in the financial markets. Some analysts believe that a rate cut would stimulate risk appetite and boost demand for alternative investments like Bitcoin.

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在最近的一份声明中暗示了今年晚些时候降息的可能性，此举在金融市场引发了不同的反应。一些分析师认为，降息将刺激风险偏好并提振对比特币等另类投资的需求。

However, others caution that persistent inflationary pressures could lead the Fed to delay or reconsider rate cuts. Russ Mould, investment director at brokerage AJ Bell, noted that Powell's comments acknowledged both the risk of inflationary pressures and the likelihood of a rate cut at some point this year.

然而，其他人警告称，持续的通胀压力可能导致美联储推迟或重新考虑降息。券商AJ Bell投资总监Russ Mould指出，鲍威尔的言论承认了通胀压力的风险以及今年某个时候降息的可能性。

According to Louis Navellier, founder of Navellier & Associates, the Bitcoin market is currently in a holding pattern, awaiting clarity on interest rate movements. He observed that Bitcoin has struggled to maintain its previous highs and has declined in conjunction with interest rate increases.

Navellier & Associates 创始人 Louis Navellier 表示，比特币市场目前处于观望状态，等待利率走势的明朗。他观察到，比特币一直难以维持之前的高点，并随着利率的上升而下跌。

Analysts at Deutsche Bank have predicted that a June Fed interest rate cut would enhance risk tolerance and market liquidity, potentially driving demand for higher-yielding assets such as cryptocurrencies. They posit that declining treasury yields could prompt investors to seek alternative investments, including cryptocurrencies.

德意志银行分析师预测，美联储六月降息将增强风险承受能力和市场流动性，可能推动对加密货币等高收益资产的需求。他们认为，国债收益率下降可能会促使投资者寻求其他投资，包括加密货币。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is rapidly approaching its next halving event, scheduled for April 22. This preprogrammed supply reduction will decrease the number of new Bitcoin issued to miners from 6.25 Bitcoin per block to 3.125 Bitcoin per block.

与此同时，比特币正迅速接近定于 4 月 22 日举行的下一次减半事件。这种预先设定的供应减少将使发行给矿工的新比特币数量从每块 6.25 比特币减少到每块 3.125 比特币。

Historically, Bitcoin's price has experienced upward momentum in the months following previous halving events. Ruslan Lienkha, chief of markets at YouHodler, believes the halving will serve as a fundamental support for Bitcoin's price.

从历史上看，比特币的价格在之前减半事件发生后的几个月内经历了上涨势头。 YouHodler 市场主管 Ruslan Lienkha 认为，减半将为比特币价格提供基本支撑。

"The halving is a very strong pro-growth factor for the Bitcoin price, and has already been partly in the price, but there is still high potential for further growth in the long term," Lienkha stated.

Lienkha 表示：“减半对比特币价格来说是一个非常强大的促增长因素，并且已经部分反映在价格中，但从长远来看，进一步增长的潜力仍然很大。”

He explained that rising mining costs could prompt some miners to cease operations when prices decline, which would lead to a decrease in supply and support Bitcoin's price.

他解释说，采矿成本上升可能会促使一些矿商在价格下跌时停止运营，这将导致供应减少并支撑比特币的价格。

In addition to the Fed's monetary policy and the upcoming halving, the Bitcoin market is also monitoring developments in China. Recent news of a potential China earthquake has raised concerns about the impact on the country's cryptocurrency industry.

除了美联储的货币政策和即将到来的减半之外，比特币市场也在关注中国的事态发展。最近有关中国可能发生地震的消息引发了人们对该国加密货币行业影响的担忧。

Overall, the Bitcoin market is navigating a period of uncertainty and anticipation. Traders are balancing the potential impact of interest rate adjustments with the bullish implications of the halving event. While volatility is expected in the short term, long-term investors remain optimistic about the cryptocurrency's future prospects.

总体而言，比特币市场正在经历一个充满不确定性和预期的时期。交易员正在平衡利率调整的潜在影响与减半事件的看涨影响。尽管短期内预计会出现波动，但长期投资者仍对加密货币的未来前景持乐观态度。