比特币指标转向看跌：BTC价格下跌这次会引发山寨币季节吗？

一些指标已经表明比特币价格有可能持续下跌。这是在三天前价格达到约 109,000 美元的历史新高之后发生的。

Bitcoin price showed promising signs of recovery on Monday, following a weekend dip triggered by an all-time high. But some technical indicators are already suggesting a potential for continued decline in BTC price.

继周末创下历史新高后，比特币价格周一出现了有希望的复苏迹象。但一些技术指标已经表明比特币价格有可能持续下跌。

After reaching a new peak of around $109,000 on Friday, Bitcoin price began to slip. However, the decline was relatively moderate, with BTC price remaining above the key psychological level of $100,000.

在周五达到 109,000 美元左右的新高后，比特币价格开始下滑。不过，跌幅相对温和，BTC 价格仍保持在 10 万美元的关键心理水平之上。

One technical indicator that is suggesting a potential for further decline in Bitcoin price is the TD Sequential indicator on the daily chart. The indicator has generated a sell signal, which could mark the end of Bitcoin’s recent upward momentum.

日线图上的 TD 序贯指标是表明比特币价格可能进一步下跌的一项技术指标。该指标已产生卖出信号，这可能标志着比特币近期上涨势头的结束。

A closer look at the chart reveals a technical analysis focusing on Fibonacci retracement levels and the TD Sequential indicator. At its current trading price of around $104,200, Bitcoin price appears to be hesitating near a resistance zone. The Fibonacci 0.786 level is situated at approximately $105,117, aligning closely with the recent high.

仔细观察图表可以发现，技术分析的重点是斐波那契回撤水平和 TD 顺序指标。目前的交易价格约为 104,200 美元，比特币价格似乎在阻力区附近犹豫不决。斐波那契 0.786 水平位于约 105,117 美元，与近期高点密切相关。

The sell signal is indicated by a “9” in green on the chart, suggesting that the uptrend may be losing steam. Key Fibonacci levels provide additional context for potential price movements. If a correction occurs, the 0.618 level around $101,435 could serve as a potential support zone.

图表上绿色的“9”表示卖出信号，表明上升趋势可能正在失去动力。关键的斐波那契水平为潜在的价格变动提供了额外的背景。如果出现调整，101,435 美元附近的 0.618 水平可能会成为潜在的支撑区域。

Another crypto analyst, Ash Crypto, is highlighting a bullish technical formation on the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart, suggesting the possibility of an upcoming altcoin season.

另一位加密货币分析师 Ash Crypto 强调了比特币主导地位 (BTC.D) 图表上的看涨技术形态，表明即将到来的山寨币季节的可能性。

The BTC.D chart showcases a bearish rising wedge pattern, which could signal an imminent shift in the cryptocurrency market dynamics. A breakout to the downside in Bitcoin market dominance could be the catalyst for "Altseason 2.0".

BTC.D 图表显示了看跌的上升楔形模式，这可能预示着加密货币市场动态即将发生转变。比特币市场主导地位的下行突破可能成为“山寨币季节 2.0”的催化剂。

This phenomenon occurs when investor funds begin to flow from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies, potentially triggering significant rallies across the altcoin market. As Bitcoin's market capitalization percentage declines, funds typically shift into altcoins, creating the conditions for altcoin season.

当投资者资金开始从比特币流向替代加密货币时，就会出现这种现象，可能会引发整个山寨币市场的大幅反弹。随着比特币市值百分比下降，资金通常会转向山寨币，为山寨币季节创造条件。

Investors and traders are advised to keep a close watch on two key technical indicators.

建议投资者和交易者密切关注两个关键技术指标。

If these technical indicators play out as suggested, we could be on the cusp of a major market shift. A confirmed move below the Bitcoin dominance wedge, accompanied by increasing trading volume, would further validate the bearish outlook for Bitcoin and the bullish potential for altcoins.

如果这些技术指标如建议的那样发挥作用，我们可能正处于市场重大转变的风口浪尖。确认跌破比特币主导楔形，并伴随着交易量的增加，将进一步证实比特币的看跌前景和山寨币的看涨潜力。