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加密货币新闻

比特币和以太坊价格因期权到期和市场不确定性而波动

2024/04/05 20:04

在市场波动中,比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)价格得到喘息。交易员仍保持谨慎态度,等待价值超过 20 亿美元的期权合约于本周五到期。尽管最近出现回调,但 QCP Capital 分析师预测,比特币价格本周可能反弹至 70,000 美元,理由是对多头头寸的持续需求以及现货比特币 ETF 流入的上升势头。

比特币和以太坊价格因期权到期和市场不确定性而波动

Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices Fluctuate Amidst Market Volatility and Options Expiry

比特币和以太坊价格因市场波动和期权到期而波动

In the midst of ongoing market volatility, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices have experienced temporary respite, with traders exercising caution amid uncertainty. However, analysts anticipate a significant options expiry event later this week, potentially influencing market dynamics.

在市场持续波动的情况下,比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)价格经历了暂时的喘息,交易者在不确定性中保持谨慎。然而,分析师预计本周晚些时候将发生重大期权到期事件,这可能会影响市场动态。

Options Expiry Looms

期权即将到期

The crypto market eagerly awaits the expiry of over $2 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options on Friday, hoping to resolve some of the prevailing uncertainty.

加密货币市场热切等待价值超过 20 亿美元的比特币和以太坊期权于周五到期,希望能够解决一些普遍存在的不确定性。

Over 18,060 BTC options, representing a notional value of $1.21 billion, are set to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.63. The "max pain point," indicating the price level that would result in maximum losses for options traders, is currently at $68,000, suggesting potential downward pressure on Bitcoin. Despite a decrease in implied volatility (IV), traders still expect significant price fluctuations.

超过 18,060 份 BTC 期权(名义价值为 12.1 亿美元)即将到期,看跌期权与看涨期权比率为 0.63。 “最大痛点”表明将导致期权交易者最大损失的价格水平目前为 68,000 美元,表明比特币存在潜在的下行压力。尽管隐含波动率(IV)下降,但交易者仍预计价格会出现大幅波动。

In the case of Ethereum, approximately 270,441 ETH options, with a notional value of $0.89 billion, are scheduled to expire, exhibiting a put-call ratio of only 0.38. The max pain point for ETH stands at $3,400, surpassing its current price of $3,287. This suggests a possible decline in ETH value if it fails to recover above the max pain point.

以以太坊为例,大约有 270,441 个 ETH 期权(名义价值为 8.9 亿美元)计划到期,看跌期权与看涨期权比率仅为 0.38。 ETH 的最大痛点为 3,400 美元,超过了当前 3,287 美元的价格。这表明,如果 ETH 未能恢复到最大痛点之上,其价值可能会下跌。

QCP Capital Predicts BTC Surge

QCP Capital 预测 BTC 飙升

QCP Capital analysts remain optimistic, predicting a potential rebound in Bitcoin's price to $70,000 this week. They attribute this forecast to sustained demand for BTC long positions and increased momentum in spot Bitcoin ETF inflows.

QCP Capital 分析师保持乐观,预计本周比特币价格可能反弹至 70,000 美元。他们将这一预测归因于对 BTC 多头头寸的持续需求以及现货比特币 ETF 流入势头的增加。

ETHBTC Faces Challenges

ETHBTC面临挑战

ETHBTC, a pair trading ETH against BTC, has encountered a critical support level after falling below 0.05. Analysts have observed significant selling of ETH calls, leading to a decrease in volumes and downward pressure on ETH prices.

ETHBTC 是 ETH 兑 BTC 交易对,在跌破 0.05 后遇到了关键支撑位。分析师观察到 ETH 看涨期权的大量抛售,导致交易量减少和 ETH 价格面临下行压力。

ETHBTC has reached a two-year low as the next Bitcoin halving approaches. While analysts anticipate a potential bounce from these levels, they advise hedging gains due to the possibility of further declines.

随着下一次比特币减半的临近,ETHBTC 已跌至两年低点。尽管分析师预计可能会从这些水平反弹,但他们建议对冲收益,因为可能会进一步下跌。

Current Market Prices

当前市场价格

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $67,105, having reached a 24-hour high of $69,291. Ethereum, on the other hand, hovers around $3,285, having dropped from $3,443 following hawkish comments from a Federal Reserve official.

截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 67,105 美元,达到 24 小时高点 69,291 美元。另一方面,在美联储官员发表鹰派言论后,以太坊价格从 3,443 美元下跌至 3,285 美元左右。

The crypto market remains closely monitored as options expiry and broader market conditions continue to shape the trajectory of Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.

随着期权到期和更广泛的市场状况继续影响比特币和以太坊价格的轨迹,加密货币市场仍受到密切关注。

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