比特币下跌趋势持续，表明价格进一步下跌

回调后，比特币价格较近期高点下跌超过 6%，未能突破 100 日移动平均线和趋势线。目前，BTC 交易价格约为 62,972 美元，技术指标显示看跌趋势，有可能向下移动至新的支撑位。

Bitcoin's Downtrend Persists, Signaling Further Price Declines

比特币的下跌趋势持续存在，表明价格进一步下跌

After an initial pullback, Bitcoin's price trajectory has remained downward, plunging over 6% from its recent peak. The inability to surpass the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the prevailing trend line has further exacerbated the sell-off. The question now looms: Will Bitcoin continue its descent or reclaim upward momentum?

在最初的回调之后，比特币的价格轨迹一直保持下行趋势，较近期峰值下跌了 6% 以上。无法超越 100 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 和当前趋势线进一步加剧了抛售。现在的问题迫在眉睫：比特币会继续下跌还是恢复上涨势头？

At press time, Bitcoin traded around $62,972, a significant 28% depreciation from its all-time high and a 1.27% decline within the past 24 hours. While the coin remains below the 100 SMA on the 4-hour chart, it sustains a position above the SMA on the daily chart.

截至发稿，比特币交易价格约为 62,972 美元，较历史高点大幅贬值 28%，过去 24 小时内下跌 1.27%。虽然该代币在 4 小时图上仍低于 100 SMA，但在日线图上维持在 SMA 上方。

Indicators Point to Continued Downward Pressure

指标表明下行压力持续存在

Technical analysis reveals emerging support and resistance levels at $59,653 and $67,255, respectively. However, further downward movement may create additional support and resistance levels.

技术分析显示新兴支撑位和阻力位分别为 59,653 美元和 67,255 美元。然而，进一步的下跌可能会产生额外的支撑位和阻力位。

• 4-Hour Moving Average: The 4-hour timeframe indicates a downtrend, with the price trending below the 100-day moving average. This suggests potential for further declines.
• 4-Hour RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator reinforces the downward trend, as the RSI signal has crossed below the 50% line, signaling a bearish outlook.
• 4-Hour MACD Indicator: Similarly, the MACD indicator suggests a continuation of the downtrend, with MACD histograms trending below the zero line. Both the MACD line and the Signal line have crossed and remain below the MACD zero line, indicating a bearish trend.

Possible Outcomes and Market Sentiment

4 小时移动平均线：4 小时时间范围显示下降趋势，价格趋势低于 100 日移动平均线。这表明有可能进一步下跌。4 小时 RSI 指标：相对强弱指数 (RSI) 指标强化了下行趋势，因为 RSI 信号已穿越 50% 线下方，预示着看跌前景。4 小时 MACD 指标：类似，MACD 指标表明下降趋势将持续，MACD 柱状图趋势位于零线下方。 MACD 线和信号线均已穿越并保持在 MACD 零线下方，表明看跌趋势。可能的结果和市场情绪

Based on the aforementioned indicators, it is reasonable to assume that Bitcoin's bearish momentum may persist, leading to further price declines. If Bitcoin breaches the $59,653 support level, it could trigger a significant correction and the establishment of a new support level. Conversely, if the price rebounds and manages to break above the $67,255 level, an uptrend could ensue.

根据上述指标，可以合理地假设比特币的看跌势头可能会持续，从而导致价格进一步下跌。如果比特币突破 59,653 美元的支撑位，可能会引发重大调整并建立新的支撑位。相反，如果价格反弹并成功突破 67,255 美元的水平，则可能会出现上升趋势。

Market sentiment remains cautious, with investors keenly monitoring price movements and the behavior of technical indicators. The potential for further losses remains a concern, prompting traders to adopt a wait-and-see approach.

市场情绪依然谨慎，投资者密切关注价格走势和技术指标的表现。进一步损失的可能性仍然令人担忧，促使交易者采取观望态度。

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Please conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

免责声明：本分析仅用于教育目的，不应被视为投资建议。在做出任何投资决定之前，请进行彻底的研究。