比特币主导地位下降，为潜在的“山寨币窗口”奠定了基础

比特币主导地位（BTC DOM）是追踪比特币在整个加密货币市场中所占份额的关键指标，在最近的反弹后已开始下降

Bitcoin dominance (BTC DOM), a metric that gauges Bitcoin’s share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, has begun to decline after recently rallying to the 60% threshold. This retracement, highlighted by the attached charts and a tweet from crypto analyst Rekt Capital, is setting the stage for what could become a significant “Altcoin Window.”

比特币主导地位（BTC DOM）是衡量比特币在加密货币总市值中所占份额的指标，在​​最近反弹至 60% 的门槛后已开始下降。所附图表和加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 的推文强调了这一回撤，正在为可能成为重要的“山寨币窗口”奠定基础。

#BTC DominanceThe best-case scenario is in progressIt's #AltseasonHistory is repeating with a $BTC DOM post-breakout retest into as low as the 57.68% level, enabling an Altcoin WindowAfter retesting green, Bitcoin will once again dominate#Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/eDnWqpaTb6 pic.twitter.com/zsJlICKOoK

#BTC 统治最好的情况正在进行中#AltseasonHistory 正在重演，$BTC DOM 突破后重新测试低至 57.68% 水平，启用山寨币窗口在重新测试绿色后，比特币将再次占据主导地位#Crypto #Bitcoin https: //t.co/eDnWqpaTb6 pic.twitter.com/zsJlICKOoK

Bitcoin dominance recently achieved a critical monthly close above the 57.68% resistance level (highlighted in green on the charts). According to Rekt Capital, this marks the first such monthly close since 2018-2019. In the previous cycle, a breakout above this level was followed by a temporary retracement to retest the 57.68% region before Bitcoin surged to new dominance highs.

比特币的主导地位最近实现了关键的月收盘价，高于 57.68% 的阻力位（图表中以绿色突出显示）。据 Rekt Capital 称，这是自 2018-2019 年以来首次月度收盘。在上一个周期中，突破该水平后会出现暂时回撤，重新测试 57.68% 区域，然后比特币飙升至新的主导高点。

The images illustrate this pattern, showing a historical retest in 2018-2019, where BTC DOM dipped after breaking resistance before resuming its upward trajectory. Now, with Bitcoin dominance dipping slightly below 60%, the market may be entering a similar phase of retracement and consolidation. If the pattern holds, Bitcoin could revisit the 57.68% support level, triggering a period of altcoin outperformance.

这些图像说明了这种模式，显示了 2018-2019 年的历史重新测试，其中 BTC DOM 在突破阻力后下跌，然后恢复上升轨迹。现在，随着比特币的主导地位略低于 60%，市场可能正在进入类似的回调和整合阶段。如果这种模式成立，比特币可能会重新触及 57.68% 的支撑位，从而引发山寨币表现优异的时期。

Altseason emerges as Bitcoin dominance shifts, shaping broader market implications

随着比特币主导地位的转变，山寨季出现，塑造更广泛的市场影响

Rekt Capital emphasizes that further retracement in Bitcoin dominance would be a “best-case scenario” for altcoins. As Bitcoin stabilizes near key levels, liquidity tends to flow into altcoins, leading to substantial rallies in smaller-cap cryptocurrencies. This phenomenon, commonly referred to as “Altseason,” occurs when Bitcoin’s market dominance declines, allowing other cryptocurrencies to capture market share.

Rekt Capital 强调，比特币主导地位的进一步回撤将是山寨币的“最佳情况”。随着比特币稳定在关键水平附近，流动性往往会流入山寨币，导致小盘加密货币大幅上涨。这种现象通常被称为“山寨季节”，发生在比特币的市场主导地位下降时，其他加密货币可以夺取市场份额。

The charts provided also indicate breakout movements across several altcoins, a trend that has coincided with Bitcoin dominance losing momentum. Analysts argue that a drop into the green 57.68% support zone could solidify this trend, offering traders an extended period to capitalize on altcoin opportunities.

提供的图表还显示了几种山寨币的突破走势，这一趋势与比特币的主导地位失去动力相吻合。分析师认为，跌入绿色 57.68% 支撑区域可能会巩固这一趋势，为交易者提供更长的时间来利用山寨币机会。

Despite the current retracement, Rekt Capital maintains that Bitcoin dominance will eventually resume its upward trend. Following the historical retest scenario, BTC DOM is expected to rebound strongly from the 57.68% support level, potentially targeting the next resistance levels at 60% and beyond. This would align with Bitcoin’s cyclical tendency to dominate the market during periods of macro uncertainty or bullish sentiment.

尽管目前出现回调，Rekt Capital 仍坚持认为，比特币的主导地位最终将恢复其上升趋势。在历史重新测试情景之后，BTC DOM 预计将从 57.68% 的支撑位强劲反弹，可能将下一个阻力位瞄准 60% 及以上。这将符合比特币在宏观不确定性或看涨情绪时期主导市场的周期性趋势。

The attached charts provide additional context, showing how Bitcoin dominance behaved in previous cycles. Notably, the current trajectory closely mirrors past patterns, strengthening the case for an impending recovery after the retracement phase. This dynamic between Bitcoin and altcoins underscores the cyclical nature of cryptocurrency markets. While Bitcoin’s dominance typically rises during periods of intense bullish momentum, corrections often pave the way for altcoin rallies. For traders and investors, monitoring the 57.68% level could be critical in anticipating market shifts.

所附图表提供了额外的背景信息，显示了比特币在之前周期中的主导地位如何表现。值得注意的是，当前的轨迹与过去的模式密切相关，强化了回调阶段后即将复苏的理由。比特币和山寨币之间的这种动态凸显了加密货币市场的周期性。虽然比特币的主导地位通常会在强劲的看涨势头期间上升，但调整往往会为山寨币的反弹铺平道路。对于交易者和投资者来说，监控 57.68% 的水平对于预测市场变化可能至关重要。