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在四月份的月度大幅下跌中,主要分析师表示,比特币可能已接近其修正阶段的结束。 Michael van de Poppe 认为,在历史数据和乐观预测的支持下,56,000 美元至 58,000 美元的关键价格区间是潜在反弹的关键区域。然而,加密货币领域也存在谨慎的声音,凸显了波动性资产类别需要进行调整的必要性。
Bitcoin Nears the End of Correction, Analysts Suggest
分析师表示,比特币即将结束调整
Amidst a challenging April that saw Bitcoin's value plummet by nearly 20%, leading market analysts are expressing cautious optimism, suggesting that the worst may soon be over for the world's largest cryptocurrency.
在比特币价值暴跌近 20% 的充满挑战的 4 月份中,领先的市场分析师表达了谨慎乐观的态度,表明对于全球最大的加密货币来说,最糟糕的时期可能很快就会过去。
Bitcoin's Market Correction: A Deep Dive
比特币的市场调整:深入探讨
April proved to be a turbulent month for Bitcoin, with its value experiencing a significant decline. The cryptocurrency dipped below $57,000, marking its lowest level since late February. This drop was part of a broader market sell-off that shaved nearly 10% off the combined cryptocurrency market capitalization, bringing it down to $2.2 trillion.
事实证明,4 月对比特币来说是动荡的一个月,其价值大幅下跌。该加密货币跌破 57,000 美元,创下 2 月底以来的最低水平。此次下跌是更广泛市场抛售的一部分,该抛售使加密货币总市值减少了近 10%,降至 2.2 万亿美元。
Despite these declines, renowned crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe remains hopeful, suggesting that Bitcoin's current price levels may be nearing the bottom of its correction cycle. Van de Poppe highlights the critical price range of $56,000 to $58,000 as pivotal for Bitcoin's short-term trajectory, indicating potential areas for a rebound.
尽管出现这些下跌,著名加密货币分析师 Michael van de Poppe 仍然充满希望,他认为比特币当前的价格水平可能已接近其修正周期的底部。 Van de Poppe 强调 56,000 美元至 58,000 美元的关键价格范围是比特币短期轨迹的关键,表明了潜在的反弹领域。
Market Experts Weigh In
市场专家发表意见
Van de Poppe is not alone in his optimistic outlook. Other analysts, such as Checkmate, an on-chain expert, have analyzed Bitcoin's historical data to predict future movements. Checkmate introduced the term "chopsolidation," describing it as a phase of stagnant yet volatile market conditions that could precede a significant bullish run. He expects this phase to last about six months, followed by a potential 6 to 12 months of explosive growth, reminiscent of past cycles.
范德波普并不是唯一一个持乐观态度的人。其他分析师,例如链上专家 Checkmate,已经分析了比特币的历史数据以预测未来的走势。 Checkmate 引入了“chopsolidation”一词,将其描述为市场状况停滞但不稳定的阶段,可能会出现大幅看涨行情。他预计这一阶段将持续约六个月,随后可能出现 6 至 12 个月的爆炸性增长,这让人想起过去的周期。
Historical data from Bitcoin's Halving years also support the theory that after a halving event, the market tends to perform strongly towards the end of the year. The Halving is a significant event in Bitcoin's history, where the block reward for miners is halved, reducing the supply of new Bitcoins entering the market.
比特币减半年的历史数据也支持这样的理论:减半事件发生后,市场往往会在年底表现强劲。减半是比特币历史上的一个重大事件,矿工的区块奖励减半,减少了进入市场的新比特币的供应。
Cautionary Voices Amidst Optimism
乐观中夹杂着谨慎的声音
However, not all forecasts are optimistic. The spot Bitcoin ETF market witnessed over $300 million in net outflows in April, breaking a three-month streak of inflows, reflecting a broader sentiment of caution among investors.
然而,并非所有预测都是乐观的。 4 月份,现货比特币 ETF 市场出现超过 3 亿美元的净流出,打破了连续三个月的流入趋势,反映出投资者普遍保持谨慎情绪。
Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, has voiced concerns over the market's extraordinary bullishness, warning of the necessity for corrections within such a volatile asset class. Edwards states, "Sell in May and go away," suggesting that Bitcoin may be due for a period of consolidation or even a further decline.
Capriole Investments 创始人查尔斯·爱德华兹 (Charles Edwards) 对市场的异常看涨表示担忧,并警告称,在如此波动的资产类别中,有必要进行调整。爱德华兹表示,“五月卖出然后走开”,这表明比特币可能会经历一段时期的盘整甚至进一步下跌。
Conclusion
结论
While market analysts are cautiously optimistic that Bitcoin is nearing the end of its current correction phase, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
尽管市场分析师对比特币目前的调整阶段即将结束持谨慎乐观态度,但加密货币市场仍然高度波动。投资者在做出任何投资决定之前应谨慎行事并进行彻底研究。
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