随着看涨情绪减弱，比特币盘整持续存在，前景转为看跌

比特币已进入当前 6.07 万美元至 7.3 万美元的较大交易区间内的较小交易区间。看涨势头减弱，抛售压力可能加大。鲸鱼活动和 ETF 流入正在放缓，表明需求不足和看跌情绪。技术指标表明，价格可能会进一步跌至 6 万美元或继续区间交易。

Bitcoin Consolidation Persists as Bullish Sentiment Wanes

随着看涨情绪减弱，比特币整合持续存在

Overview

概述

Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading within a range of $73,000 to $60,700, indicating a period of consolidation. Despite earlier optimism that bulls would defend the $64,500 support level, a rejection at $67,000 and a subsequent drop to $62,800 have weakened bullish conviction. This development coincides with a decline in whale activity and slowing inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

比特币 (BTC) 的交易价格一直在 73,000 美元至 60,700 美元之间，这表明这是一个盘整期。尽管早些时候乐观地认为多头将捍卫 64,500 美元的支撑位，但在 67,000 美元的拒绝以及随后跌至 62,800 美元的支撑位削弱了看涨信念。这一发展恰逢鲸鱼活动的减少和比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的资金流入放缓。

Factors Contributing to Consolidation

促成整合的因素

• Negative ETF Inflows: Crypto analyst Whale Panda observed that Bitcoin ETF flows have been negative for three consecutive days, indicating a lack of demand. Blackrock's IBIT ETF experienced a third day of zero inflows after receiving significant inflows earlier this month.
• Declining Whale Transaction Count: Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that the number of whale transactions has been declining since mid-March, further reducing bullish pressure.
• Waning Futures Market Sentiment: The Open Interest and Funding Rate in Bitcoin futures markets have diminished since the beginning of April, suggesting a bearish sentiment among speculators.

Technical Analysis

ETF 流入量为负：加密货币分析师 Whale Panda 观察到，比特币 ETF 流入量连续三天为负值，表明需求不足。贝莱德的 IBIT ETF 在本月早些时候收到大量资金流入后，连续第三天出现零流入。 鲸鱼交易数量下降：加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 指出，自 3 月中旬以来，鲸鱼交易数量一直在下降，进一步减轻了看涨压力。 期货市场减弱情绪：自4月初以来，比特币期货市场的未平仓合约和资金费率有所下降，表明投机者的看跌情绪。 技术分析

Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart reveals a short-term range between $66,900 and $59,700. Within this range, the price has been fluctuating below the neutral 50 level on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, indicating bearish momentum.

比特币价格图表的技术分析显示，短期范围在 66,900 美元至 59,700 美元之间。在此范围内，价格一直在相对强弱指数 (RSI) 指标的中性 50 水平下方波动，表明看跌势头。

The breach of the mid-range mark at $63,300 over the weekend suggests the potential for a further decline towards the $60,000 level.

周末突破中间区间 63,300 美元表明有可能进一步下跌至 60,000 美元水平。

Outlook

外表

The combination of declining whale activity, negative ETF inflows, and waning futures market sentiment indicates that bullish conviction for Bitcoin has weakened considerably. It is likely that the current consolidation will continue, with a potential downward trend towards the $60,000 support level.

鲸鱼活动减少、ETF 流入量减少以及期货市场情绪减弱，这些因素综合在一起表明，人们对比特币的看涨信心已大大减弱。当前的盘整可能会持续下去，并有可能下降至 60,000 美元的支撑位。

Investors should closely monitor the price action and market sentiment indicators to identify potential breakout points and make informed trading decisions. The lack of sustained demand and the waning technical momentum suggest that the cryptocurrency market may experience further volatility in the near term.

投资者应密切关注价格走势和市场情绪指标，以识别潜在的突破点并做出明智的交易决策。缺乏持续的需求和减弱的技术动力表明加密货币市场短期内可能会经历进一步的波动。