比特币图 - 差不如是看跌

我认为，未来很可能会这样展开：

The U.S. economy is about to go into a tailspin because of tariffs - unless this is '3D Chess!'

由于关税，美国的经济即将进入尾巴 - 除非这是“ 3D国际象棋！”

You can’t really get a more bearish chart for BTC than this:

您实际上无法获得BTC的看跌图表：

The bitcoin chart - just about as bearish as it could be

比特币图 - 差不如是看跌

In my opinion, the future is very likely to unfold like this:

我认为，未来很可能会这样展开：

The bitcoin chart with my prediction of where it could end up

比特币图表，我对可能最终的预测

Only an incredible event can turn this around. $60,000 is a destination, and $40,000 is a possibility.

只有一个令人难以置信的事件才能扭转这件事。 $ 60,000是目的地，40,000美元是可能的。

So, we have the U.S. Crypto Reserve becoming a thing. We have the SEC, etc., lifting its boot from crypto’s neck. We have trade wars, global conniptions, and all the other random factors that are supposed to propel bitcoin to the moon - and yet, the chart looks like a classic developing bust.

因此，我们让美国加密储备储备成为一件事情。我们有SEC等，从加密货币的脖子上抬起靴子。我们有贸易战，全球束缚以及所有其他应该将比特币推向月球的随机因素 - 但是，该图表看起来像是经典的胸围。

Trade what you see, not what you think.

交易您所看到的，而不是您的想法。

Gold is for war, and bitcoin is for flight. You can see Ukrainian interests selling, buying, and selling their flight capital as the news flow surges back and forth.

黄金是为了战争，比特币用于飞行。您可以看到乌克兰的利益销售，购买和出售其飞行资本，因为新闻流来回涌现。

So, what’s the big picture?

那么，大局是什么？

Tariffs are a sales tax on Americans - a big, flat tax on everyone. The foreign suppliers don’t pay the tariff; the importer does. It’s a trillion dollar tax increase. If new money isn’t printed, a depression ensues. This leads to stagflation or stag-deflation - a drop in GDP. Then, the U.S. government cuts 15% from its spending. That triggers an even deeper economic collapse as the money stops circulating, a million government employees join the unemployment lines, and terrified consumers stop spending, causing the economy to fold.

关税是对美国人的营业税 - 对每个人的大量统一税。外国供应商不支付关税；进口商确实如此。这是一万亿美元的税收增加。如果未印刷新资金，随之而来的是沮丧。这会导致滞留或雄鹿流动 - GDP的下降。然后，美国政府从支出中降低了15％。随着钱停止流通，一百万政府雇员加入失业界，这会触发更深的经济崩溃，并害怕消费者停止支出，导致经济折叠。

So what does this mean for crypto? Crypto needs fiat inflows to rise in fiat price. When money’s too tight to mention, inflows reverse.

那么这对加密货币意味着什么？加密需要菲亚特流入才能上涨。当钱太紧而无法提及时，流入倒流。

Does anyone think the stock market is going to keep rising like 'homesick angel' now? Can anyone not imagine the Nasdaq at 15,000?

有人认为股票市场现在会像“ Homeick Angel”这样的上升？谁能想象纳斯达克速度为15,000？

Even if the current administration plays the situation like Paganini plucking a Stradivarius, the disruption already underway is going to knock the froth off risk assets - because only stability unleashes risk assets, while real risks kills them dead.

即使当前的政府扮演着帕加尼尼（Paganini）撤出斯特拉迪瓦里乌斯（Stradivarius）的局势，已经进行的破坏也将击败风险资产 - 因为只有稳定性释放了风险资产，而真正的风险会杀死他们死亡。

Look out below.

在下面查看。