比特币（BTC）面对“前所未有的”美元相关性，因为新的BTC价格研究提供了75,000美元的楼层。

在4月18日的最新分析中，网络经济学家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）计算出，在未来三个月内，BTC/USD可能会上升到138,000美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) faces "unprecedented" US dollar correlation as new BTC price research gives a $75,000 floor.

比特币（BTC）面对“前所未有的”美元相关性，因为新的BTC价格研究提供了75,000美元的楼层。

In one of his latest analyses on April 18, network economist Timothy Peterson calculated that BTC/USD may rise as high as $138,000 within the next three months.

在4月18日的最新分析中，网络经济学家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）计算出，在未来三个月内，BTC/USD可能会上升到138,000美元。

BTC price probabilities give bulls the upper hand

BTC价格概率使公牛占上风

Bitcoin is navigating highly unusual macroeconomic conditions as a result of the ongoing US trade war, but history still offers clues as to where BTC price action may head next.

由于美国正在进行的贸易战，比特币正在驾驶高度不寻常的宏观经济状况，但历史仍然提供了有关BTC价格行动下一步可能出现的线索。

For Peterson, the US High Yield Index Effective Yield, currently at over 8%, holds the key.

对于彼得森而言，美国高收益指数的有效收益率目前超过8％，是关键。

"This has happened 38 times since 2010 (monthly data).

“自2010年以来，这已经发生了38次（每月数据）。

With BTC/USD performance thus skewed to the upside, Peterson gave hope to those waiting for a rematch of all-time highs from January.

随着BTC/USD的性能偏向上升，彼得森给那些等待一月份开始有史以来高潮的人带来了希望。

"This likely puts Bitcoin between $75k and $138k within 90 days," he concluded.

他总结说：“这可能在90天内将比特币在$ 75K到13.8万美元之间。”

Bitcoin would need to deliver 62% gains within that period to achieve that maximum level.

比特币需要在此期间提供62％的收益才能达到最高水平。

As Cointelegraph reported, Peterson has been a frequent contributor to BTC price forecasts in 2025, with one of his proprietary tools, Lowest Price Forward, giving 95% odds of a $69,000 floor in March.

正如Cointelegraph所报道的那样，彼得森经常为2025年BTC价格预测提供了贡献，他的专有工具之一是最低价格，3月份的价格为69,000美元。

Bitcoin DXY correlation will flip negative

比特币DXY相关性将负面影响

Turning his attention to the dramatic drop in the US dollar index (DXY) thanks to US trade tariffs, he predicted that its unusual positive correlation with BTC would ultimately end.

由于我们的贸易关税，他将注意力转向了美元指数（DXY）的急剧下降，他预测其与BTC的异常正相关最终将结束。

Related: Bitcoin price volatility 'imminent' as speculators move 170K BTC — CryptoQuant

相关：当投机者移动170k BTC时，比特币价格波动“迫在眉睫” - 加密量

"This level of BTC-USD correlation is unprecedented. The relationship is not causal, but reflective of underlying conditions affecting both."

“这种BTC-USD相关性的水平是前所未有的。这种关系不是因果关系，而是反映了影响两者的潜在条件。”

DXY continued to stay below the key 100 mark on April 18, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, reflecting some of its lowest levels in the past three years.

DXY在4月18日的数据中，DXY继续保持低于100大关，这是Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据，反映了过去三年中其最低水平。

Earlier, separate analysis nonetheless saw the potential for Bitcoin to directly benefit from dollar weakness in a manner similar to the early innings of the bull run in 2023.

尽管如此，单独的分析仍然使比特币以类似于2023年公牛奔跑的早期局的方式直接从美元弱点中受益。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。