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最近比特币(BTC)未平仓期货合约的激增让分析师担心市场可能出现泡沫迹象。
Recent data shows a surge in Bitcoin ( BTC ) open futures contracts, with analysts expressing concerns that the market may be displaying signs of frothiness.
最近的数据显示,比特币(BTC)未平仓期货合约激增,分析师对市场可能出现泡沫迹象表示担忧。
“BTC open interest (OI) has surged, crossing $35 billion, a level that has historically coincided with local price tops,” Bitfinex analysts stated in an Oct. 1 report.
Bitfinex 分析师在 10 月 1 日的一份报告中表示:“BTC 未平仓头寸 (OI) 激增,突破 350 亿美元,这一水平历来与当地价格最高点一致。”
Bitcoin OI has dropped by around 9% since crossing the $35 billion mark. Source: CoinGlass
自突破 350 亿美元大关以来,比特币 OI 已下降约 9%。来源:CoinGlass
Bitcoin OI — the total number of Bitcoin futures contracts that are yet to be settled or expire — is a key metric used by investors to gauge market sentiment and anticipate future price movements.
比特币 OI(尚未结算或到期的比特币期货合约总数)是投资者用来衡量市场情绪和预测未来价格走势的关键指标。
On Sept. 27, Bitcoin OI reached $35.52 billion, marking the highest since June 7 when it clocked in at $37.69 billion, as per CoinGlass data. At the time, Bitcoin was trading close to its all-time high, at $70,759, before pulling back almost 18% over the next 30 days to $58,239.
根据 CoinGlass 的数据,9 月 27 日,比特币 OI 达到 355.2 亿美元,创下自 6 月 7 日 376.9 亿美元以来的最高水平。当时,比特币的交易价格接近历史高点 70,759 美元,随后在接下来的 30 天内回落近 18% 至 58,239 美元。
The analysts go on to say that this “raises concerns of potential market overheating.”
分析师接着表示,这“引发了人们对潜在市场过热的担忧”。
Since Sept. 27, Bitcoin open interest has decreased by about 9% to $32.32 billion, and the BTC price has also dropped toward $60,000 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.
自9月27日以来,比特币持仓量已减少约9%至323.2亿美元,随着中东紧张局势不断升级,比特币价格也跌向6万美元。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $61,629, down by 4.36% over the past seven days, according to TradingView data.
根据 TradingView 的数据,截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 61,629 美元,过去 7 天下跌 4.36%。
Bitcoin pulled back down toward $60,000 after recently reclaiming the $65,000 price level. Source: TradingView
比特币最近收复 65,000 美元的价格水平后回落至 60,000 美元。来源:TradingView
The pullback is within a range that Bitfinex analysts believe won’t derail the bullish momentum.
此次回调处于 Bitfinex 分析师认为不会破坏看涨势头的范围内。
“A minor 5-10 percent pullback could reset OI without disrupting the overall uptrend,” they opined.
他们认为,“5-10% 的小幅回调可能会重置 OI,而不会扰乱整体上升趋势。”
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