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根据 CoinGlass 的数据,比特币在 9 月份收盘时,12 年来只有四次实现正回报。尽管有这样的负面历史,比特币仍然
Bitcoin has historically performed poorly in September, but recent data shows a shift in this pattern.
比特币在 9 月份的表现历来表现不佳,但最近的数据显示这种模式发生了转变。
According to CoinGlass, out of 12 years, Bitcoin has only closed September with positive returns four times. However, in the past two years, Bitcoin has experienced a positive close in September both times.
根据 CoinGlass 的数据,12 年来,比特币仅在 9 月收盘时有四次实现正回报。然而,在过去的两年里,比特币两次在9月份都经历了积极的收盘。
In 2023 and 2024, Bitcoin recorded a 3.91% and 7.29% gain for September, respectively.
2023年和2024年,比特币9月涨幅分别为3.91%和7.29%。
A Bitcoin insight and commentary provider shared price projections based on historical patterns following Bitcoin’s positive September close.
比特币洞察和评论提供商根据比特币 9 月份积极收盘后的历史模式分享了价格预测。
The projection indicates that if Bitcoin follows the average gains made after a green September, it could surpass $100,000 by the end of the year.
该预测表明,如果比特币遵循绿色 9 月后的平均涨幅,到年底可能会超过 10 万美元。
The projection suggests an October price of $80,518.40, rising to $89,727.02 in November and hitting $106,718.33 by December.
预测显示 10 月份的价格为 80,518.40 美元,11 月份升至 89,727.02 美元,12 月份达到 106,718.33 美元。
Historically, October has been one of the most profitable months for Bitcoin, with significant average returns of 20.66% over the past decade.
从历史上看,10 月一直是比特币最赚钱的月份之一,过去十年平均回报率高达 20.66%。
While November boasts the highest average of 46.81%, December follows with more moderate gains of 5.45%.
11 月份的平均涨幅最高,为 46.81%,而 12 月份的涨幅则较为温和,为 5.45%。
These figures highlight the potential for continued upward movement, as Bitcoin has traditionally performed well in the last quarters of the year.
这些数字凸显了持续上涨的潜力,因为比特币在今年最后几个季度传统上表现良好。
In addition to these projections, market analyst Ali Martinez recently highlighted the significance of Bitcoin’s green September close.
除了这些预测之外,市场分析师 Ali Martinez 最近还强调了比特币 9 月绿色收盘的重要性。
Martinez pointed out that previous positive Septembers, such as in 2015 and 2016, led to even more significant gains in October, with Bitcoin increasing by 33.49% and 14.71%, respectively.
马丁内斯指出,此前的9月利好,比如2015年和2016年,导致10月涨幅更为显着,比特币分别上涨了33.49%和14.71%。
Martinez noted that Bitcoin's recent 3.91% gain in September 2023 could similarly precede a substantial rally, as evidenced by past performances.
马丁内斯指出,比特币在 2023 年 9 月的近期上涨 3.91% 可能同样会出现大幅反弹,正如过去的表现所证明的那样。
This pattern suggests that Bitcoin may see another strong October, potentially setting the stage for further gains throughout the rest of the year.
这种模式表明,比特币可能会在 10 月份再次表现强劲,并有可能为今年剩余时间的进一步上涨奠定基础。
However, not all experts share the same optimism. Veteran trader Peter Brandt expressed concerns about Bitcoin’s longer-term trend in light of the recent rally.
然而,并非所有专家都持同样的乐观态度。鉴于最近的反弹,资深交易员彼得·布兰特对比特币的长期趋势表示担忧。
According to Brandt, Bitcoin has been forming lower highs and lower lows for over seven months now. For Bitcoin to confirm a significant bullish reversal, Brandt said it needs to close above $71,000 and establish a new all-time high.
布兰特表示,七个多月以来,比特币一直在形成更低的高点和更低的低点。 Brandt 表示,要使比特币确认显着的看涨逆转,比特币需要收于 71,000 美元以上并创下新的历史高点。
Brandt also highlighted two critical resistance levels, at $70,602 and $73,808, which have repeatedly blocked Bitcoin's upward momentum. Without surpassing these levels, Brandt expects Bitcoin to remain in a consolidation phase with periodic massive declines.
布兰特还强调了两个关键阻力位,即 70,602 美元和 73,808 美元,这两个阻力位多次阻碍了比特币的上涨势头。在不超过这些水平的情况下,布兰特预计比特币将继续处于盘整阶段,并出现周期性的大幅下跌。
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