比特币（BTC）到2030

比特币的价格比今年早些时候的记录高20％以上，3月18日徘徊在63,532英镑（82,346美元）上。

Investor Cathie Wood's ARK Investment Management was among the first companies to secure approval from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2024. Ark Invest operates multiple ETFs focusing on AI, cryptocurrency, robotics, and disruptive technologies.

投资者Cathie Wood的ARK Investment Management是最早获得美国证券交易委员会（SEC）批准的公司之一，于2024年在2024年推出了比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）。ARKInvest运营着专注于AI，加密货币，机器人和颠覆性技术的多个ETF。

Bitcoin's price is currently down more than 20% from its record high earlier this year and trades at around £63,532 ($82,346). Despite US President Donald Trump's pro-crypto policies, the cryptocurrency has been facing selling pressure, which is probably linked to the uncertainty around trade wars, elevated inflation, and security incidents at major crypto exchanges.

比特币的价格目前比今年早些时候的纪录高度下跌了20％以上，交易价格约为63,532英镑（82,346美元）。尽管美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的亲克赖特托（Crypto）政策，但加密货币一直面临销售压力，这可能与主要加密交易所的贸易战，通货膨胀率提升和安全事件有关的不确定性有关。

However, Wood predicts that Bitcoin, which has a market capitalisation of £1.2 trillion ($1.6 trillion), could surge by 1,660% in value to £1.14 million ($1.48 million) per token by 2030. The cryptocurrency outperformed all other asset classes in terms of growth over the past decade. If you purchased £7,715 ($10,000) worth of BTC 10 years ago, it would have become £2.23 million ($2.9 million) today, returning almost 29,100%. More people have started viewing the asset as digital gold with a good store of value, and regulatory development to establish a secure framework for investors has continued to drive global adoption.

然而，伍德预测，比特币的市值为1.2万亿英镑（1.6万亿美元），到2030年，每位令牌的价值可能会增长1,660％，至114万英镑（148万美元）。在过去十年中，加密货币在增长方面都超过了所有其他资产类别。如果您10年前购买了价值7,715英镑（10,000美元）的BTC，那么今天它将成为223万英镑（290万美元），返回近29,100％。越来越多的人开始将资产视为具有良好价值的数字黄金，而监管开发为投资者建立安全框架已继续推动全球采用。

ARK Invest Highlights 5 Catalysts That Could Lift BTC Prices

方舟投资重点介绍5个可以提高BTC价格的催化剂

ARK Invest highlighted in a 2023 report that it thinks Bitcoin could become the top currency in emerging markets in the long run. However, El Salvador's decision to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender in 2021 hasn't sparked interest as expected. Most consumers have yet to use BTC as the primary currency, given its volatility and looming regulatory concerns.

Ark Invest在2023年的一份报告中强调，它认为比特币从长远来看可以成为新兴市场的最高货币。但是，萨尔瓦多（El Salvador）决定在2021年采用比特币作为法定货币的决定并没有像预期的那样引起兴趣。鉴于其波动性和迫在眉睫的监管问题，大多数消费者尚未将BTC用作主要货币。

ARK also believes that high-net-worth individuals will increasingly hold Bitcoin because it is more difficult for governments to seize than cash and other asset classes. Despite this forecast, the US government has confiscated over 200,000 bitcoins, which is valued at £13.11 billion($17 billion). The US government plans to grow its newly announced Bitcoin strategic reserve using tokens confiscated from criminal or civil asset forfeiture proceedings.

方舟还认为，高净值个人将越来越多地拥有比特币，因为政府比现金和其他资产类别更难夺取比特币。尽管有这样的预测，美国政府还是没收了200,000多比特币，价值为1311亿英镑（170亿美元）。美国政府计划使用从刑事或民事资产没收程序中没收的代币来发展其新宣布的比特币战略储备。

Ark is of the view that governments will eventually hold some of their reserves (which are primarily in gold) in Bitcoin. The US strategic reserve for digital assets is a move towards that goal.

方舟认为，政府最终将在比特币中持有其一些储备（主要是黄金）。美国数字资产的战略储备是朝着该目标迈出的一项。

Furthermore, the fund manager predicted that up to 50% of the cash investors park in gold could go towards Bitcoin since it is digital and much more portable than precious metals.

此外，基金经理预测，黄金现金投资者公园的50％可能会用于比特币，因为它是数字化的，并且比贵金属更便携。

Lastly, Wood thinks institutions will gradually allocate a significant portion of their portfolio to Bitcoin due to consistently high returns over the years. The investor believes that ETFs could speed up this trend since these investment instruments minimise risks linked to crypto storage.

最后，伍德认为，由于多年来的回报率持续很高，机构将逐渐将其投资组合的很大一部分分配给比特币。投资者认为，ETF可以加快这一趋势，因为这些投资工具最大程度地减少了与加密货币存储相关的风险。

Wood even said during Bitcoin Investor Day last year that Bitcoin prices could exceed ARK's forecast to reach £2.93 million ($3.8 million) per token in the long run, which implies more than a 4,400% increase in value. However, it would be possible if ETFs lay the groundwork for institutional investors to allocate 5% of their assets to cryptocurrency.

伍德甚至在去年比特币投资者日表示，比特币的价格可能会超过ARK的预测，从长远来看，比特币的价格将超过每电程的293万英镑（380万美元），这意味着价值增长了4,400％。但是，如果ETF为机构投资者奠定基础，将其资产的5％分配给加密货币是可能的。