币安上的比特币 (BTC) 储备跌至 2024 年 1 月水平，预示市场看涨

全球交易量最大的加密货币交易所币安网的比特币储备已降至 2024 年 1 月以来的最低水平，就在两个月前，比特币价格在 3 月份飙升了 90%。

Bitcoin reserves on Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, dropped to levels last seen in January 2024, just two months before Bitcoin’s price skyrocketed 90% in March.

全球交易量最大的加密货币交易所币安的比特币储备降至 2024 年 1 月的水平，就在两个月前，比特币价格在 3 月份飙升了 90%。

If Bitcoin follows the same pattern with its current price of $98,680, it would mean a $187,500 price in a matter of months.

如果比特币遵循相同的模式，当前价格为 98,680 美元，则意味着几个月后价格将达到 187,500 美元。

Binance’s Bitcoin reserves recently dipped below 570,000 BTC — the lowest level since January, according to CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost in a Dec. 25 analyst note.

CryptoQuant 撰稿人 Darkfost 在 12 月 25 日的分析师报告中表示，币安的比特币储备最近跌破 570,000 BTC，这是自 1 月份以来的最低水平。

When exchange reserves decline, this typically signals that investors are moving Bitcoin into cold storage and are bullish about the long-term price prospects of Bitcoin.

当外汇储备下降时，这通常表明投资者正在将比特币转入冷库，并对比特币的长期价格前景看好。

Bitcoin’s price is $98,680 at the time of publication. Source: CoinMarketCap

截至本文发布时，比特币的价格为 98,680 美元。资料来源：CoinMarketCap

Earlier this year, Binance’s reserves had plummeted to a similar level in January before Bitcoin soared to $73,679 two months later on March 13, which was an all-time high then.

今年早些时候，币安的储备金曾在 1 月份暴跌至类似水平，但两个月后的 3 月 13 日，比特币飙升至 73,679 美元，创下当时的历史新高。

“When periods of withdrawals occur, it is often a sign of positive momentum building in the market,” Darkfost said.

“当出现提款周期时，这通常是市场积极势头增强的迹象，”达克弗斯特说。

Bitcoin dominance hovering below 60%

比特币主导地位徘徊在 60% 以下

Bitcoin dominance currently stands at 58.40%, just below the critical 60% level, according to TradingView.

根据 TradingView 的数据，比特币的主导地位目前为 58.40%，略低于 60% 的临界水平。

However, some analysts believe the 60% level could signal a wider rotation toward other crypto assets.

然而，一些分析师认为，60% 的水平可能预示着人们会更广泛地转向其他加密资产。

On Aug. 18, Into The Cryptoverse founder Benjamin Cowen said he believed Bitcoin “will make that final move” toward 60% no later than December, which it ended up tapping just two months later on Oct. 30.

8 月 18 日，Into The Cryptoverse 创始人本杰明·考恩 (Benjamin Cowen) 表示，他相信比特币“将在 12 月之前迈向 60%”，并在两个月后的 10 月 30 日最终实现了这一目标。

Bitcoin dominance is sitting at 58.40% at the time of publication. Source: TradingView

截至本文发布时，比特币的主导地位为 58.40%。来源：TradingView

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has struggled to hold above the psychological $100,000 since first breaking that level on Dec. 5.

与此同时，自 12 月 5 日首次突破 10 万美元心理关口以来，比特币一直难以守住该关口。

Bitcoin’s price has been trading under the $100,000 mark since Dec. 19, after reaching a new high of $108,300 recorded on Dec. 17.

比特币价格自 12 月 19 日以来一直在 100,000 美元以下，并于 12 月 17 日创下 108,300 美元的新高。

But according to some analysts, including Bitget Research chief analyst Ryan Lee, Bitcoin’s price may exceed $105,000 once liquidity returns after the Christmas holidays.

但据包括 Bitget Research 首席分析师 Ryan Lee 在内的一些分析师表示，一旦圣诞节假期后流动性恢复，比特币的价格可能会超过 105,000 美元。

Bitcoin’s current downtrend is an typical symptom of the holiday illiquidity, Lee recently told Cointelegraph:

Lee 最近告诉 Cointelegraph，比特币当前的下跌趋势是假期流动性不足的典型症状：

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This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

本文仅供一般参考之用，无意也不应被视为法律或投资建议。这里表达的观点、想法和意见仅代表作者个人观点，并不一定反映或代表Cointelegraph的观点和意见。