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加密货币新闻

比特币 (BTC) 与 2018 年模式相似,引发对加密之王下一步行动的猜测

2024/12/30 05:30

比特币 (BTC) 继续与横盘走势作斗争,导致该加密货币无法重新夺回 10 万美元的支撑位。

比特币 (BTC) 与 2018 年模式相似,引发对加密之王下一步行动的猜测

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to consolidate within a narrow range, making it difficult for the cryptocurrency to reclaim the $100,000 support level. However, veteran trader Peter Brandt has pointed out a similarity in Bitcoin’s 2018 pattern, hinting at the next move for BTC.

比特币(BTC)价格继续在窄幅区间内盘整,使得该加密货币难以夺回 10 万美元的支撑位。然而,资深交易员 Peter Brandt 指出了比特币 2018 年模式的相似之处,暗示了 BTC 的下一步走势。

Bitcoin price showed signs of fatigue in 2022, struggling to maintain its momentum after reaching all-time highs. As a result, traders are closely monitoring price action and technical indicators to anticipate Bitcoin’s next move.

比特币价格在 2022 年出现疲软迹象,在达到历史高点后难以维持其势头。因此,交易者正在密切关注价格走势和技术指标,以预测比特币的下一步走势。

Bitcoin price action resembles 2018 pattern

比特币价格走势类似于 2018 年模式

In a recent tweet, Brandt highlighted a pattern that emerged in Bitcoin’s price chart several years ago. According to Brandt, the pattern, which he refers to as BHLD (Bump, Lump, Hump, Dump), is significant in understanding Bitcoin’s price trajectory.

在最近的一条推文中,布兰特强调了几年前比特币价格图表中出现的一种模式。 Brandt 表示,这种模式被他称为 BHLD(Bump、Lump、Hump、Dump),对于理解比特币的价格轨迹具有重要意义。

nobr“If you are a Bitcoiner, take a look at this post from several years ago,” Brandt noted in his tweet, adding that the post describes the "famous Hump Slump Bump Dump Pump chart construction in $BTC."

nobr“如果你是比特币爱好者,请看一下几年前的这篇文章,”布兰特在他的推文中指出,并补充说这篇文章描述了“比特币中著名的驼峰暴跌暴跌暴涨图表结构”。

nobr“Same thing could be happening now,” the veteran trader concluded.

nobr“现在可能会发生同样的事情,”这位经验丰富的交易员总结道。

The BHLD pattern, also known as Hump-Slump-Pump-Dump, consists of four distinct price movements. Initially, there is a small upward movement (Hump), followed by a period of consolidation (Slump). The third phase is characterized by another upward surge (Pump), which is typically stronger than the first. Finally, the pattern concludes with a sharp sell-off (Dump).

BHLD 模式也称为驼峰-暴跌-拉高-抛售,由四种不同的价格走势组成。最初,有一个小幅向上运动(驼峰),随后是一段盘整期(暴跌)。第三阶段的特点是另一次向上激增(泵),通常比第一阶段更强。最后,该模式以急剧抛售(倾销)结束。

Interestingly, Brandt's observation aligns with a derivative of the BHLD pattern, which seems to fit Bitcoin's current price movements. This derivative pattern, known as Hump-Slump-Bump-Dump, could provide insight into BTC's immediate price trajectory.

有趣的是,Brandt 的观察结果与 BHLD 模式的衍生品一致,这似乎符合比特币当前的价格走势。这种衍生模式被称为“驼峰-暴跌-暴跌-抛售”,可以提供对 BTC 即时价格轨迹的洞察。

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index transitions from Extreme Greed

比特币恐惧和贪婪指数从极度贪婪转变

The Fear and Greed Index, a measure of investors' overall sentiment toward Bitcoin, is currently shifting from a zone of Extreme Greed to a lower level of greed. This transition is noteworthy, as historical data suggests that BTC tends to experience sharp corrections during periods of extreme greed.

恐惧和贪婪指数是衡量投资者对比特币整体情绪的指标,目前正从极度贪婪区域转向较低贪婪水平。这种转变值得注意,因为历史数据表明,比特币在极度贪婪时期往往会经历急剧调整。

However, the lower greed level may provide some support for Bitcoin's price stabilization. If the selling pressure remains moderate, BTC could potentially experience a short-term recovery phase.

然而,较低的贪婪程度可能为比特币的价格稳定提供一些支持。如果抛售压力保持温和,比特币可能会经历短期复苏阶段。

Bitcoin price attempts to hold $95,668 support

比特币价格试图守住 95,668 美元的支撑位

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $94,224, showing signs of recovery from dropping below $93,000 on December 1. As BTC consolidates in the lower-$90,000s, traders and investors await a decisive move.

截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 94,224 美元,显示出从 12 月 1 日跌破 93,000 美元下方复苏的迹象。随着 BTC 在 90,000 美元以下盘整,交易员和投资者正在等待决定性的举动。

To maintain support at $95,668, investors must prioritize holding their positions rather than quickly booking profits. This will allow Bitcoin to stabilize and potentially regain momentum.

为了维持95,668美元的支撑位,投资者必须优先考虑持仓,而不是快速获利了结。这将使比特币趋于稳定并有可能重新获得动力。

If Bitcoin manages to reclaim $100,000 as support, it could signal a short-term bullish trend. This would enable BTC to recover from recent losses and potentially resume its upward trajectory, boosting investor confidence.

如果比特币能够重新夺回 10 万美元的支撑位,则可能预示着短期看涨趋势。这将使比特币能够从近期的损失中恢复过来,并有可能恢复其上升轨道,从而提振投资者的信心。

On the other hand, failure to hold $95,668 could lead to further跌幅 in Bitcoin, testing support at $89,800. Such a decline would invalidate the bullish outlook and push BTC's recovery timeline into January 2025.

另一方面,未能守住 95,668 美元可能会导致比特币进一步下跌,测试 89,800 美元的支撑位。这样的下跌将使看涨前景失效,并将 BTC 的复苏时间表推迟到 2025 年 1 月。

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