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比特币(BTC)的恢复看起来已经用完了,出现双看跌逆转模式的出现
Bitcoin (BTC) on Friday stalled in recovery from the recent downturn, setting the stage for a bearish double top reversal, according to technical analysis.
根据技术分析,比特币(BTC)周五从最近的低迷中恢复了康复,为看跌的双顶逆转奠定了基础。
Bitcoin's recovery from the recent downturn seems to have hit a snag, setting the stage for a bearish double top reversal, according to technical analysis.
根据技术分析,比特币从最近的低迷中恢复了近的衰退,似乎已经陷入困境,为看跌的双顶逆转奠定了基础。
After failing to break above $87,400 last week, BTC/USD is now testing the crucial neckline of the double top at around $86,000. A drop below this level could open the door for further declines.
在上周未能超过87,400美元以上,BTC/USD现在正在测试双层高层的关键领口,约为86,000美元。低于此级别的下降可能打开门以进一步下降。
Chart: TradingView
图表:TradingView
Bitcoin peaked at around $87,400 last week, with prices pulling back to $84,000 on Friday. From there, the cryptocurrency staged a recovery, rising back above $87,000 before stalling again. This sequence of two prominent peaks at roughly the same level, separated by a trough, suggests a classic double top formation.
比特币上周达到了约87,400美元的高峰,周五的价格降至84,000美元。从那里开始,加密货币进行了一次恢复,在再次停滞之前上涨了87,000美元以上。这两个在大致相同水平的两个突出峰的序列被槽隔开,表明经典的双顶层形成。
Double top formations are bearish candlestick patterns that typically signal the end of an uptrend. They usually occur when prices rise to a peak, pull back, and then attempt to rise again to the same peak. However, buying pressure stalls, preventing prices from making new highs.
双顶层是看跌的烛台图案,通常标志着上升趋势的末端。通常,当价格上升到峰值,向后拉,然后尝试再次上升到同一峰值时,它们通常会发生。但是,购买压力摊位,防止价格缩小新高。
After the second peak, prices typically drop below the neckline, the support level between the two peaks. In the case of bitcoin, this neckline lies at around $86,000.
在第二个高峰之后,价格通常下降到领口以下,两个峰之间的支撑水平。就比特币而言,此领口为约86,000美元。
A drop below the neckline could open the way for further declines toward $75,000 or lower in the short term. However, long-term charts continue to indicate that the asset remains in an ascending range.
在领口下方的下降可能会在短期内进一步下降至75,000美元或更低。但是,长期图表继续表明资产仍在上升范围内。
Rising U.S. tariffs had been a major point of concern for traders, especially after the recent escalation. However, a slight cooldown in this narrative could buy some time for risk assets.
美国关税上升一直是交易者关注的主要点,尤其是在最近的升级之后。但是,这种叙述中有轻微的冷却时间可以花一些时间来获得风险资产。
Moreover, traders reacted positively to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s dovish stance on inflation. In the minutes of its March policy meeting, Fed officials said they would move “quickly and decisively” to cut interest rates if needed to return inflation to the 2% goal.
此外,贸易商对美国美联储对通货膨胀的肮脏立场做出了积极的反应。在3月的政策会议的纪要中,美联储官员表示,如果需要,他们将“快速,果断地”降低利率,以使通货膨胀率恢复到2%的目标。
However, the lack of altcoin correlation with bitcoin’s recent moves hints that the current price action might lack broad market support, raising the possibility of a “fakeout” rally.
但是,与比特币最近的举动缺乏替代币相关性的暗示,目前的价格行动可能缺乏广泛的市场支持,从而提高了“假”集会的可能性。
A potential drop in bitcoin will likely spread over to major tokens, denting recent gains and hopes of a lasting rally.
比特币的潜在下降可能会扩散到主要令牌上,削弱最近的收益和持久集会的希望。
Dogecoin (DOGE), heavily influenced by market sentiment and speculative trading, could see amplified losses if bitcoin’s bearish pattern plays out, while XRP might see reduced momentum, especially given its sensitivity to market sentiment and regulatory developments.
受市场情绪和投机性交易的影响很大的Dogecoin(Doge)如果比特币的看跌模式出现,而XRP可能会减少动量,尤其是考虑到它对市场情绪和监管发展的敏感性,则可能会看到放大的损失。
Solana could be particularly sensitive due to its recent volatility and technical indicators — with it coming close to forming a “death cross” (a 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day) in mid-April, a pattern that historically leads to deeper losses.
由于其最近的波动性和技术指标,Solana可能特别敏感 - 它接近在4月中旬形成“死亡十字架”(50天移动平均值,低于200天的横梁),这种模式从历史上导致了更深的损失。
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