化名分析师 TechDev 告诉他的 490,300 名追随者，比特币 (BTC) 几乎准备好进入其市场周期的抛物线阶段

一位通过宏观加密货币呼吁继续吸引追随者的分析师认为，比特币（BTC）几乎已经准备好进入其市场周期的抛物线阶段。

A crypto analyst with a large following on social media believes that Bitcoin (BTC) is almost ready to enter the parabolic stage of its market cycle.

一位在社交媒体上拥有大量追随者的加密货币分析师认为，比特币（BTC）几乎已经准备好进入其市场周期的抛物线阶段。

The pseudonymous analyst, known as TechDev, has 490,300 followers on the social media platform X, where he shared his analysis. TechDev's analysis is based on the technical signals that Bitcoin is flashing, which he says have preceded steep rallies in the past.

这位化名分析师名为 TechDev，在社交媒体平台 X 上拥有 490,300 名粉丝，他在该平台上分享了自己的分析。 TechDev 的分析基于比特币正在闪烁的技术信号，他说这些信号在过去曾出现过大幅上涨。

In a post on May 13th, TechDev shared a chart that shows Bitcoin breaching the upper range of its Bollinger Bands on the two-month time frame. According to TechDev, this is significant because it shows that Bitcoin has been recovering from a bear market bottom for about two years now.

在 5 月 13 日的帖子中，TechDev 分享了一张图表，显示比特币在两个月的时间范围内突破了布林带的上限。据 TechDev 称，这意义重大，因为它表明比特币已经从熊市底部恢复了大约两年。

Traders use Bollinger Bands to identify potential periods of volatility expansion and determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. In TechDev's analysis, he also points out that the two signals were present during the 2016 and 2020 market cycles – just before BTC ignited parabolic surges.

交易者使用布林线来识别波动性扩大的潜在时期，并确定资产是否超买或超卖。在 TechDev 的分析中，他还指出，这两个信号在 2016 年和 2020 年市场周期中就出现过——就在 BTC 引发抛物线飙升之前。

“This is where things have gotten exciting.”

“这就是事情变得令人兴奋的地方。”

TechDev also analyzed Bitcoin from a different perspective, suggesting that the crypto king is in the early stages of a parabolic ascent based on its logarithmic moving average convergence divergence (LMACD) indicator. The LMACD indicator is designed to reveal changes in an asset's trend, strength and momentum.

TechDev还从不同的角度分析了比特币，根据其对数移动平均收敛散度（LMACD）指标，表明加密王正处于抛物线上升的早期阶段。 LMACD 指标旨在揭示资产趋势、强度和动量的变化。

“Paying attention to the high time frames (HTFs) offers the best chance to trade the cycles.

“关注高时间框架（HTF）提供了交易周期的最佳机会。

$30,000 was not the top, because HTF expansion had not ended.

30,000 美元还不是最高，因为 HTF 扩张尚未结束。

$50,000 was not the top, because HTF expansion had not ended.

50,000 美元还不是最高，因为 HTF 扩张尚未结束。

$70,000 was not the top, because HTF expansion had not ended.

70,000 美元还不是最高，因为 HTF 扩张尚未结束。

$90,000 was not the top, because HTF expansion had not ended.

90,000 美元还不是最高，因为 HTF 扩张尚未结束。

And HTF expansion still has not ended.”

而导热油的扩张还没有结束。”

Based on the trader's chart, he seems to suggest that Bitcoin will not witness a cycle top until the LMACD on the two-month chart hits its resistance at 0.12. BTC's LMACD appears to be currently hovering at 0.04.

根据该交易员的图表，他似乎暗示，在两个月图表上的 LMACD 触及 0.12 的阻力位之前，比特币不会见证周期顶部。 BTC 的 LMACD 目前似乎徘徊在 0.04。

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $97,274.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 97,274 美元。