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比特币(BTC)在过去几天中证明了其成熟度,因为股票市场从升级后的贸易战中脱颖而出。
The cryptocurrency market has shown surprising resilience in the face of the broader stock market downturn, which was triggered by escalated trade wars. As China retaliated against the U.S. tariffs on Friday, major stock indexes including the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq composite slipped further.
面对更广泛的股票市场下滑,加密货币市场表现出令人惊讶的韧性,这是由于贸易战升级而引发的。随着中国周五对美国关税进行报复,包括标准普尔500指数,道琼斯工业平均水平和纳斯达克综合材料在内的主要股票指数进一步滑倒。
However, Bitcoin price flirted with the $84k mark on Saturday, as its 24-hour average trading volume shot up over 22 percent to trade above $42 billion during the mid-London session.
但是,比特币价格周六以8.4万美元的成绩调情,其24小时的平均交易量超过22%,超过420亿美元的交易量超过420亿美元。
Recession in Sight
视线衰退
The ongoing global trade war is expected to cause substantial disruptions to international supply chains. JPMorgan Chase & Co. has adjusted its forecast to anticipate a recession in the U.S. economy this year.
预计正在进行的全球贸易战将对国际供应链造成重大破坏。摩根大通公司(JPMorgan Chase&Co。)已调整了预测,以预测今年的美国经济衰退。
“We now expect real GDP to contract in 2Q at an annualized rate of 1.5 percent and for the full year we now look for real GDP growth of -0.3 percent, down from 1.3 percent previously,” said Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan in a note.
摩根大通(JPMorgan)首席经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)表示:“我们现在预计,真正的GDP以每年1.5%的税率收入2q,并且在全年中,我们现在的GDP增长率为-0.3%,比以前的1.3%下降。”
Bitcoin: A Hedge Against Macro Turmoil
比特币:针对宏观动荡的树篱
Bitcoin has emerged as a preferred hedge against the prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties. It's worth noting that gold was excluded from the recent tariffs, and BTC is often viewed as the modern digital gold.
比特币已成为针对现行的宏观经济不确定性的首选对冲。值得注意的是,黄金被排除在最近的关税之外,而BTC通常被视为现代数字黄金。
Anticipating a bullish breakout, long-term whale investors have ramped up their BTC accumulation. On-chain data analysis from Intotheblock reveals a $136 billion increase in the volume of large transactions over the past seven days.
长期的鲸鱼投资者预计会出现看涨的突破,使他们的BTC积累增加了。来自Intotheblock的链上数据分析显示,过去7天的大型交易量增加了1360亿美元。
At the same time, the total BTC supply on centralized exchanges has decreased from 2.22 million on March 18 to approximately 2.19 million on April 5.
同时,集中式交易所的BTC总供应从3月18日的222万美元减少到4月5日的约219万。
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin price has reached the upper levels of a multi-week correction and consolidation. According to Matthew Dixon, a seasoned financial trader, the BTC price is nearing a significant capitulation towards $70k.
从技术分析的角度来看,比特币价格已达到了多周的校正和整合的上层。根据经验丰富的金融交易员马修·迪克森(Matthew Dixon)的说法,BTC的价格几乎倾向于7万美元。
However, the BTC price has encountered strong support around the $80.5k zone, setting the stage for the next rally towards $85.5k and $92k in the near term.
但是,BTC的价格在$ 80.5K的区域左右遇到了大力支持,在短期内将下一次集会的舞台设置为85.5万美元和92,000美元。
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