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比特币 (BTC) 价格最近飙升至 64,000 美元以上,激发了交易者的乐观情绪。突破价格关口重新点燃了市场情绪
As Bitcoin (BTC) price surged past $64,000 recently, sparking optimism among traders, several key bullish cues are emerging. One fractal chart analysis suggests BTC is building up for its next major price surge, with a projected peak of $350,000 by 2025.
随着比特币 (BTC) 价格最近飙升至 64,000 美元以上,激发了交易者的乐观情绪,一些关键的看涨线索正在出现。一项分形图分析表明,BTC 正在为下一次价格大幅上涨做好准备,预计到 2025 年将达到 35 万美元的峰值。
The chart, shared by independent crypto analyst “0xNobler,” highlights key price points from previous cycles—$1,200 in 2013, $14,000 in 2017, and $59,000 in 2021. It shows that each cycle sees higher highs, and the current consolidation phase could lead to rapid price increases.
该图表由独立加密货币分析师“0xNobler”分享,突出显示了之前周期的关键价格点——2013 年为 1,200 美元,2017 年为 14,000 美元,2021 年为 59,000 美元。它表明每个周期都会出现更高的高点,当前的盘整阶段可能会导致价格快速上涨。
Moreover, several bullish cues directly support Bitcoin’s potential rally, making the $260,000 target more plausible. First, the Federal Reserve’s expected rate cuts could inject market liquidity. CME’s Federal Watch tool estimates an 89.4% chance of the Fed lowering rates again to a range between 4.50% and 4.75%.
此外,一些看涨信号直接支持比特币的潜在反弹,使 26 万美元的目标更加合理。首先,美联储降息预期可能会注入市场流动性。 CME 的联邦观察工具估计,美联储再次降息至 4.50% 至 4.75% 区间的可能性为 89.4%。
Lower interest rates push investors toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin, providing a favorable macro backdrop for a price surge.
较低的利率促使投资者转向比特币等风险资产,为价格飙升提供了有利的宏观背景。
Next, the weakening USDT is another crucial factor. As Tether’s USDT shows signs of weakening, primarily due to a shift in demand from Chinese investors, it could have broader market implications. Chinese investors have begun selling off USDT to favor the surging domestic stock market.
其次,USDT走弱是另一个关键因素。由于 Tether 的 USDT 显示出疲软迹象(主要是由于中国投资者需求的转变),这可能会产生更广泛的市场影响。中国投资者已开始抛售 USDT,以青睐飙升的国内股市。
China’s central bank easing economic policies to boost the stock market triggered the shift, prompting more demand for local assets and the U.S. dollar over stablecoins like USDT. As confidence in USDT weakens and the discount to the dollar widens, investors might shift their capital into Bitcoin as a safer store of value.
中国央行放松经济政策提振股市引发了这一转变,促使对本地资产和美元的需求超过 USDT 等稳定币。随着对 USDT 的信心减弱以及美元折价扩大,投资者可能会将资金转向比特币,将其视为更安全的价值储存手段。
A flight from USDT to BTC could boost demand, increasing Bitcoin prices. The weakening USDT discount reflects this increased demand for dollars and yuan, and this transition could intensify as investors grow wary of holding USDT.
从 USDT 转向 BTC 可能会刺激需求,从而推高比特币价格。 USDT 折扣的疲软反映了对美元和人民币的需求增加,随着投资者对持有 USDT 越来越谨慎,这种转变可能会加剧。
If the trend continues, Bitcoin could benefit significantly from a broader shift in capital away from USDT.
如果这种趋势持续下去,比特币可能会从资本从 USDT 更广泛的转移中获益匪浅。
Furthermore, another bullish historical fractal that forms after Bitcoin’s halving event could help the token kickstart a bull run.
此外,比特币减半事件后形成的另一个看涨历史分形可能有助于该代币启动牛市。
Collectively, these bullish cues and technical indicators paint a promising picture for Bitcoin’s price trajectory. However, investors should note the inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies and conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
总的来说,这些看涨线索和技术指标为比特币的价格轨迹描绘了一幅充满希望的图景。然而,投资者应注意加密货币固有的波动性,并在做出投资决定之前进行自己的尽职调查。
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