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预计 10 月 9 日将成为下周比特币和整个加密货币市场的转折点。
Bitcoin (BTC) price action is likely to experience heightened volatility in the upcoming week as several pivotal events are lined up to unfold. Among them, the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting will be closely scrutinized.
随着一些关键事件的发生,比特币(BTC)的价格走势可能会在未来一周经历更大的波动。其中,美联储最新货币政策会议纪要将受到密切关注。
Fresh U.S. economic indicators, including the Producer Price Index (PPI), the unadjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) annual rate for September and the volume of initial jobless claims for the week ending Oct. 5, are also set for release.
最新的美国经济指标,包括生产者价格指数 (PPI)、9 月份未经调整的消费者价格指数 (CPI) 年率以及截至 10 月 5 日当周的首次申请失业救济人数也即将发布。
These developments have the potential to significantly impact the financial markets, including Bitcoin. Here's a closer look at why Bitcoin pays attention to the upcoming events.
这些发展有可能对包括比特币在内的金融市场产生重大影响。以下是比特币为何关注即将发生的事件的详细分析。
Sensitivity of Bitcoin to Macroeconomic Data Grows
比特币对宏观经济数据的敏感性增长
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are increasingly becoming sensitive to macroeconomic data, especially as more investors are utilizing them as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.
比特币和其他加密货币对宏观经济数据越来越敏感,特别是随着越来越多的投资者利用它们来对冲通胀和货币贬值。
The Fed minutes will shed light on the central bank's stance on interest rate inflation and the broader state of the economy. If the minutes reveal a hawkish tone, suggesting further interest rate hikes, it could spell trouble for Bitcoin.
美联储会议纪要将揭示央行对利率通胀和整体经济状况的立场。如果会议纪要显示出鹰派基调,暗示进一步加息,可能会给比特币带来麻烦。
Meanwhile, the CPI and PPI figures will be closely watched to gauge the level of inflation in the U.S. A higher-than-expected PPI or CPI could indicate persistent inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to take more aggressive tightening measures.
同时,将密切关注CPI和PPI数据,以衡量美国的通胀水平。高于预期的PPI或CPI可能表明通胀持续存在,促使美联储采取更激进的紧缩措施。
Such actions might lead to increased volatility for risky assets, including Bitcoin. Furthermore, the initial unemployment claims will offer an up-to-date view of the U.S. labor market.
此类行为可能会导致包括比特币在内的风险资产波动性增加。此外,首次申请失业救济人数将提供美国劳动力市场的最新情况。
A weaker labor market could促使美联储放缓加息步伐,这对比特币来说将是一个积极的消息。
A weaker labor market could促使美联储放缓加息步伐,这对比特币来说将是一个积极的消息。
Watch Out for Key Levels, Potential Volatility
留意关键水平和潜在波动
As we approach Oct. 9, keep an eye out for important levels and the possibility of volatility. Bitcoin's price is likely to experience heightened volatility due to the upcoming events.
随着 10 月 9 日临近,请留意重要水平和波动的可能性。由于即将发生的事件,比特币的价格可能会出现更大的波动。
Among the key levels that investors should pay close attention to:
投资者应密切关注的关键层面包括:
Bitcoin is nearing a crucial resistance level at $63,000. A breakout above this level could propel the price toward the next target of $65,000.
比特币正接近 63,000 美元的关键阻力位。突破该水平可能会推动价格升至下一个目标 65,000 美元。
On the downside, strong support is seen at $60,000. This level is critical, and if breached, it could lead to panic selling toward the next support at $58,000.
下行方面,强劲支撑位于 60,000 美元。该水平至关重要,如果突破,可能会导致恐慌性抛售,跌向下一个支撑位 58,000 美元。
Anticipate Bitcoin to react sharply to any surprises in the Fed minutes or inflation data as Oct. 9 approaches.
随着 10 月 9 日的临近,预计比特币将对美联储会议纪要或通胀数据中的任何意外做出强烈反应。
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