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加密货币新闻

如果发生这种情况,比特币(BTC)价格风险下降到74,000美元

2025/04/12 04:00

加密分析师Saeed概述了比特币价格的看跌案例,预测它仍然可以降至74,000美元。

如果发生这种情况,比特币(BTC)价格风险下降到74,000美元

Crypto analyst Saeed has predicted that the Bitcoin price could still drop to as low as $74,000.

加密分析师Saeed预测,比特币价格仍然可以降至74,000美元。

In a recent TradingView post, Saeed mentioned a drop to $74,000 as his bearish scenario for the BTC price. He explained that if price fails to break out and instead drops below $80,000, a correction would unfold toward $76,500 or even $74,000, which would present a re-entry opportunity for long-term bulls.

在最近的交易帖子帖子中,赛义德(Saeed)提到跌至74,000美元,因为他的看跌局面是BTC价格。他解释说,如果价格未能爆发,而是下跌了80,000美元,则更正将朝76,500美元甚至74,000美元展开,这将为长期公牛带来重新进入机会。

The analyst highlighted the $85,000 psychological level as being key to whether BTC drops to this target or witnesses another breakout to new highs.

分析师强调了85,000美元的心理水平是BTC是否落入该目标或见证新高点的另一个突破的关键。

The crypto analyst stated that the Bitcoin price is currently consolidating just below the psychological $85,000 level after a historical bull run which pushed it to new all-time highs (ATHs). Despite the recent downtrend, Saeed is optimistic that the bull run is still on.

这位加密分析师表示,在历史公牛运行之后,比特币价格目前正合并到心理$ 85,000的水平以下,这将其推向了新的历史最高高点(ATHS)。尽管最近的下降趋势,赛义德还是对公牛奔跑仍在进行的乐观态度。

“The market is cooling off, not crashing. We're forming a high-tight flag, usually a continuation signal after an uptrend, with a major breakout/breakdown likely in the coming days as momentum slows and volatility compresses. This potential drop to $74,000 is still healthy in the broader trend.”

“市场正在冷静下来,没有崩溃。我们正在形成一个高密密度的旗帜,通常是在上升趋势后的延续信号,随着动量减慢和波动的压缩,可能会有重大的突破/分解。这种潜在的下降到74,000美元在更广泛的趋势中仍然健康。”

Analyzing the trend structure, the crypto analyst confirmed that the Bitcoin price remains in a strong bullish trend. He noted that since the breakout above $69,000, the previous ATH from 2021, the rally has been "aggressive and directional," overwhelming the BTC bears in the process.

加密分析师分析了趋势结构,确认比特币价格仍然处于强烈的看涨趋势。他指出,由于突破超过69,000美元,即2021年以前的ATH,因此集会是“激进和定向的”,在此过程中压倒了BTC熊。

“We've also been respecting a steep ascending trendline since early February. But now we're coiling higher in a tight range between $80,000 and $83,500 as we approach the apex of the structure.”

“自2月初以来,我们也一直在尊重陡峭的趋势线。但是,随着我们接近该结构的顶点,我们现在在$ 80,000到83,500美元之间的围绕范围更高。”

Saeed further remarked that the Bitcoin price has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows.

Saeed进一步指出,比特币价格一直在形成一系列更高的高点和更高的低点。

"The buyers are still in control as we slice through new highs and lows with no signs of exhaustion yet. This is a strong indication that the underlying trend is still bullish."

“当我们切入新的高点和低点时,买家仍处于控制之中,尚无疲惫的迹象。这有很大的迹象表明,基本趋势仍然是看涨的。”

In his analysis, Saeed also outlined a bullish scenario for the Bitcoin price. He stated that a breakout and daily close above $85,000 would confirm the continuation pattern, targeting $88,000 first and then $90,000. The analyst added that volume and candle structure will be key to confirming the move.

在他的分析中,Saeed还概述了比特币价格的看涨场景。他说,突破和每天关闭85,000美元以上的收盘价将确认延续模式,首先针对88,000美元,然后是90,000美元。分析师补充说,音量和蜡烛结构将是确认这一举动的关键。

Moreover, Saeed highlighted key resistance and support zones to watch out for. He stated that the range between $83,000 and $85,000 is the immediate resistance as this area has repeatedly capped prices in recent sessions. As such, a daily close above this zone could trigger the next leg higher.

此外,Saeed强调了钥匙阻力和支持区域。他说,由于该地区在最近的课程中反复上限价格,范围在83,000美元至85,000美元之间。因此,在该区域上方的每日近距离可能会触发下一条腿更高。

“This is also the last bastion of resistance before we encounter the next key level at $88,000, which is a short-term fib and psychological zone. The third level of resistance to keep in mind is the range between $90,000 and $92,000, which is a psychological milestone and a possible magnet for the Bitcoin price if bulls break out cleanly.”

“这也是在我们遇到下一个关键水平为88,000美元的下一个关键水平之前的最后一层堡垒,这是一个短期的FIB和心理区域。要记住的第三级阻力是在90,000美元至92,000美元之间的范围,这是一个心理里程碑,是一个可能的磁铁,对于比特币价格,如果公牛脱颖而出。”

As for the support zones, Saeed mentioned $80,000, $76,500, and the range between $72,000 and $74,000 as the key levels to keep an eye on. He remarked that the range between $72,000 and $74,000 is the major support and ideal retest level if the Bitcoin price corrects, as this is the level where many sidelined bulls are likely waiting to buy in.

至于支持区,Saeed提到了80,000美元,76,500美元,范围在72,000美元至74,000美元之间,这是关注关注的关键水平。他指出,如果比特币价格纠正,那么$ 72,000至74,000美元之间的范围是主要的支持和理想的重新测试水平,因为这是许多缺口公牛可能等待购买的水平。

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $80,500, down almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

根据CoinMarketCap的数据,在撰写本文时,比特币价格的交易价格约为80,500美元,在过去24小时内下降了近2%。

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