分析师 Willy Woo 发出比特币 (BTC) 价格反转警告：指标表明什么？

比特币分析师 Willy Woo 向比特币交易者发出公平警告，尽管市场趋势看涨，但他们在未来几个月应谨慎交易

Bitcoin price critical warning

比特币价格严重警告

Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo has issued a fair warning to Bitcoin traders. Despite the bullish trend in the market, traders are being advised to trade cautiously in the coming months. This is due to the high probability of a near-term reversal.

比特币分析师 Willy Woo 向比特币交易者发出了合理的警告。尽管市场趋势看涨，但建议交易者在未来几个月谨慎交易。这是由于近期反转的可能性很高。

Willy Woo wrote in his recent Substack post:

Willy Woo 在他最近的 Substack 帖子中写道：

“Risk is peaking for the first time this cycle and there are a ton of profits in coins selling and a lot more profit-taking to go before we reset properly.”

“风险在本周期首次达到顶峰，在我们正确重置之前，代币销售会带来大量利润，而且还有更多获利了结。”

The analyst’s statement comes as the Bitcoin market is showing signs of overheating. This is according to the犇犇Bitcoin native risk model, which suggests very high levels of risk not seen since 2023. On the other hand, other indicators, such as the Fear and Greed index, indicate that the overall crypto market is still bullish.

该分析师发表声明之际，比特币市场正显示出过热迹象。这是根据奔奔比特币原生风险模型得出的，该模型显示自 2023 年以来从未见过的非常高的风险水平。另一方面，恐惧和贪婪指数等其他指标表明整体加密货币市场仍然看涨。

What do the indicators say?

指标说明了什么？

The Fear and Greed index has always measured market sentiment for cryptocurrencies and altcoins. The index is currently at 69 points, which is 19 points higher than January 10, when it was neutral at 50. Bitcoin has already retraced its trades above $100,000 and is currently holding at $94,212, down 3.92% in the last week. This is an indication that a reversal could soon be significant and could hurt most traders.

恐惧和贪婪指数始终衡量加密货币和山寨币的市场情绪。该指数目前为 69 点，比 1 月 10 日的中性值 50 点高出 19 点。比特币已经回撤至 10 万美元上方，目前持于 94,212 美元，上周下跌 3.92%。这表明逆转可能很快就会发生重大变化，并可能损害大多数交易者的利益。

While Woo’s advice should be heeded, not all analysts agree. Some believe the drop will be a short-term bear moment.

虽然吴的建议值得听取，但并非所有分析师都同意。一些人认为，下跌将是一个短期的熊市时刻。

Anonymous crypto trader Rekt Capital had something else to say in a recent Substack post on January 10. Rekt Capital stated that the 15% drop from Bitcoin’s all-time high on December 17 is similar to previous patterns Bitcoin has shown. He also explained that the timing of the decline is in line with historical trends. Therefore, it may start growing earlier than expected. On the other hand, Jan3 CEO Samson Mow told his 327,000 Substack followers that all dips are fake if you know how to grasp the macro landscape. He also claimed that the dips are a creation aimed at driving down Bitcoin prices for rich players to buy.

匿名加密货币交易商 Rekt Capital 在 1 月 10 日最近的 Substack 帖子中还有其他要说的。Rekt Capital 表示，比特币从 12 月 17 日的历史高点下跌 15% 与比特币之前表现出的模式类似。他还解释说，下降的时机符合历史趋势。因此，它可能会比预期更早开始生长。另一方面，Jan3 首席执行官 Samson Mow 告诉他的 327,000 名 Substack 粉丝，如果你知道如何把握宏观形势，那么所有的下跌都是假的。他还声称，价格下跌是为了压低比特币价格以供富裕玩家购买而创造的。

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