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10 月 23 日,贝莱德 IBIT 的投资者利用比特币下跌超过 3% 的机会,为该基金贡献了 3.17 亿美元的资金流入。
Bitcoin (BTC) price action faced selling pressure on Wednesday, sliding over 3% and testing a critical support level at $65,000 as investors reacted to shifting macroeconomic conditions.
由于投资者对不断变化的宏观经济状况做出反应,比特币 (BTC) 价格周三面临抛售压力,下跌超过 3%,并测试 65,000 美元的关键支撑位。
After a 0.12% gain in the previous session, BTC encountered significant downward pressure on Wednesday, sliding 3.3% to close at $66,649. As Bitcoin approached the $65,000 level, buyer demand was tested, with the session low reaching $65,161 before the price managed to find support and climb back above the $66,000 mark.
继前一交易日上涨 0.12% 后,周三 BTC 遭遇显着下行压力,下跌 3.3%,收于 66,649 美元。随着比特币接近 65,000 美元的水平,买家需求受到考验,盘中低点触及 65,161 美元,随后价格设法找到支撑并回升至 66,000 美元大关上方。
The broader cryptocurrency market also experienced a slight decline, shedding 1.45% to reach a total market capitalization of $2.242 trillion.
更广泛的加密货币市场也出现小幅下跌,下跌 1.45%,总市值达到 2.242 万亿美元。
This decline in cryptocurrency prices can be attributed to shifting sentiment driven by concerns over the upcoming US Presidential Election and the Federal Reserve’s rate trajectory.
加密货币价格的下跌可归因于对即将到来的美国总统选举和美联储利率轨迹的担忧所引发的情绪变化。
As a risk asset, Bitcoin faced selling pressure on Wednesday as investors grew wary of tightening monetary policy. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by 1.60% on the day, while 10-year US Treasury yields surged to 4.26%, marking the highest level since July and challenging expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts in Q4 2024.
作为一种风险资产,由于投资者对收紧货币政策越来越谨慎,比特币周三面临抛售压力。纳斯达克综合指数当日下跌1.60%,而10年期美国国债收益率飙升至4.26%,创下7月以来的最高水平,挑战美联储2024年第四季度多次降息的预期。
Adding further strain to investor sentiment ahead of the US Presidential Election, recent polls indicate Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by a narrow 1.7-point margin.
最近的民意调查显示,副总统卡马拉·哈里斯以 1.7 个百分点的微弱优势领先前总统唐纳德·特朗普,这进一步加剧了美国总统大选前投资者情绪的压力。
However, betting platform Polymarket gives Trump a higher chance of victory, with a 59.7% probability compared to Harris’ 40.4%. A Trump presidency is expected to bring inflationary pressures, potentially leading to a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance.
然而,博彩平台Polymarket给特朗普带来了更高的获胜机会,其获胜概率为59.7%,而哈里斯的获胜概率为40.4%。特朗普当选总统预计将带来通胀压力,可能导致美联储立场更加加强硬。
While this may dampen demand for riskier assets, including Bitcoin, Trump’s crypto-friendly policies could bolster longer-term demand for the digital asset.
虽然这可能会抑制对包括比特币在内的高风险资产的需求,但特朗普的加密货币友好政策可能会提振对数字资产的长期需求。
Despite the macroeconomic uncertainties, Bitcoin rebounded from the $65,000 support level, driven by renewed inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, particularly BlackRock’s IBIT. This follows a previous day of outflows, which saw $79.1 million flow out of the fund amid concerns that Bitcoin’s rally might be losing momentum.
尽管宏观经济存在不确定性,但在现货比特币 ETF(尤其是贝莱德 IBIT)重新流入的推动下,比特币从 65,000 美元的支撑位反弹。此前一天出现资金流出,由于担心比特币的上涨可能失去动力,该基金流出了 7910 万美元。
The 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $192.31 million on Wednesday, with BlackRock’s IBIT contributing the lion’s share of $317.47 million. This marks the fourth time in six trading days that the fund has attracted over $300 million in inflows, bringing its total net inflows to over $23 billion as of Oct. 21.
周三,12只现货比特币ETF录得净流入1.9231亿美元,其中贝莱德的IBIT贡献了最大份额,为3.1747亿美元。这标志着该基金在六个交易日内第四次吸引超过 3 亿美元的资金流入,使其截至 10 月 21 日的净流入总额超过 230 亿美元。
Grayscale’s Bitcoin Minit Trust also contributed to the positive sentiment, recording $4.71 million in inflows, while other ETF products, including ARKB, BITB, and VanEck, saw collective outflows of $129.8 million, reflecting a more cautious stance from some market participants.
Grayscale 的比特币 Minit Trust 也推动了积极情绪,录得 471 万美元的流入,而包括 ARKB、BITB 和 VanEck 在内的其他 ETF 产品集体流出 1.298 亿美元,反映出一些市场参与者更加谨慎的立场。
From a technical perspective, despite Wednesday’s price dip, Bitcoin remains above key technical levels, including the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, reinforcing bullish signals.
从技术角度来看,尽管周三价格下跌,但比特币仍高于关键技术水平,包括 50 天和 200 天指数移动平均线,强化了看涨信号。
A potential breakout above the $69,000 resistance level and the Oct. 21 high of $69,402 could pave the way for a move toward the psychological $70,000 mark. Should Bitcoin successfully breach $70,000, bulls may attempt to challenge the all-time high of $73,808.
突破 69,000 美元阻力位和 10 月 21 日高点 69,402 美元可能为迈向 70,000 美元心理关口铺平道路。如果比特币成功突破 70,000 美元,多头可能会尝试挑战 73,808 美元的历史高点。
However, a drop below $66,500 could reignite bearish momentum, bringing the critical $65,000 support level back into focus. A further decline below $65,000 may open the door for a deeper correction, with $64,000 as the next key support.
然而,跌破 66,500 美元可能会重新点燃看跌势头,使 65,000 美元的关键支撑位重新成为焦点。如果进一步跌破 65,000 美元,可能会为进一步回调打开大门,64,000 美元将成为下一个关键支撑位。
With a 14-day Relative Strength Index reading of 60, Bitcoin has the potential to reach $70,000 before approaching overbought conditions.
14 天相对强弱指数读数为 60,比特币在接近超买状况之前有可能达到 70,000 美元。
At press time Bitcoin (BTC) was up 0.5%, exchanging hands at $67,345.
截至发稿时,比特币 (BTC) 上涨 0.5%,交易价格为 67,345 美元。
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