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交易员周二将美联储连续第二次降息 50 个基点的可能性推高至 61%。
Bitcoin (BTC) price action aimed for more than a one-month high on Tuesday as U.S. afternoon trading hours began. Meanwhile, the tailwind of what is turning out to be a nearly global monetary easing cycle continued to propel crypto markets upward.
周二,随着美国下午交易时间的开始,比特币(BTC)的价格走势瞄准了一个多月高点。与此同时,几乎全球货币宽松周期的顺风继续推动加密货币市场上涨。
In the past 24 hours, BTC price rose nearly 2% to $64,300 at press time. The last time the price was above $65,000 was during the first week of August.
截至发稿,过去 24 小时内,BTC 价格上涨近 2%,至 64,300 美元。上一次价格超过 65,000 美元是在 8 月的第一周。
China joined nearly all other major global economies in easing monetary policy overnight to counter a slowdown in the economy. The news caused the Shanghai Composite to rise by more than 4%, but it only had a small and brief impact on the price of bitcoin.
中国与几乎所有其他全球主要经济体一起在一夜之间放松了货币政策,以应对经济放缓。该消息导致上证综指上涨超过4%,但对比特币价格仅产生了小而短暂的影响。
After the Conference Board reported a sharp decline in consumer confidence in September, with its headline index falling to 98.7 from 105.6 — the steepest monthly decline since August 2021 — prices actually fell below $63,000 in the morning hours in the U.S. According to CME FedWatch, the news raised expectations of the U.S. Federal Reserve cutting its benchmark interest rate by another 50 basis points at its November meeting to 61% from 50% a day earlier.
世界大型企业联合会 (Conference Board) 报告 9 月份消费者信心大幅下降,总体指数从 105.6 跌至 98.7(这是 2021 年 8 月以来的最大月度跌幅)后,美国早间价格实际上跌破 63,000 美元。这一消息引发了人们对美联储在 11 月会议上将基准利率从前一天的 50% 再下调 50 个基点至 61% 的预期。
Shortly after, the most recent figures showed a substantial increase in the U.S. M2 money supply in August. The combination of easier China and U.S. monetary policies and rising money supply appeared to be the catalyst for bitcoin's sustained rise throughout afternoon trading. Gold also benefited from the news, rising 1.4% to yet another record high of $2,690 per ounce.
不久之后,最新数据显示8月份美国M2货币供应量大幅增加。中国和美国宽松的货币政策以及货币供应量的增加似乎是比特币整个下午交易持续上涨的催化剂。黄金也受益于这一消息,上涨 1.4%,创下每盎司 2,690 美元的历史新高。
Bitcoin is now higher by more than 10% from week-ago levels with today's advance, but it's hard to say there's been an upside breakout when the price remains below the level of just a few weeks ago.
随着今天的上涨,比特币目前较一周前的水平上涨了 10% 以上,但当价格仍低于几周前的水平时,很难说出现了上行突破。
"Very psychologically difficult to flip from looking to trim on pops during chop to letting your winners ride," wrote well-followed analyst Will Clemente. "A confirmed change in market structure above $65,000 on BTC is the threshold for risk on and switching this bias in my opinion."
备受关注的分析师威尔·克莱门特(Will Clemente)写道:“从心理上来说,从在切球过程中修剪流行球到让你的胜利者骑行是非常困难的。” “在我看来,比特币市场结构的确认变化超过 65,000 美元是风险的门槛,也是转变这种偏见的门槛。”
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