比特币（BTC）的价格在过去24小时内的价格上涨了2％，从每日低点的79,059.43恢复到日内高点为83,737.45美元。这种波动强调了领先的加密货币对更广泛的市场力量的敏感性。

比特币在过去24小时内的价格上涨了2％，从每日低点的79,059.43恢复到日内高点83,737.45。这种波动强调了领先的加密货币对更广泛的市场力量的敏感性。

Bitcoin price rose 2% in the past 24 hours as it recovered from a 24-hour low of $79,059.43 to an intraday high of $83,737.45. This signaled the sensitivity of the leading cryptocurrency to broader market forces.

在过去的24小时内，比特币价格上涨了2％，因为它从79,059.43美元的24小时低点恢复到日内高点为83,737.45美元。这标志着主要的加密货币对更广泛的市场力量的敏感性。

According to Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s Head of Digital Assets Research, Bitcoin’s performance is closely linked to the Magnificent Seven tech stocks. In fact, when comparing volatility-adjusted returns, he says that Bitcoin ranks in the same league as Tesla (TSLA), Meta (META), and Apple (AAPL).

根据标准宪章的数字资产研究负责人杰夫·肯德里克（Geoff Kendrick）的说法，比特币的性能与宏伟的七种技术股票密切相关。实际上，在比较波动率调整后的回报时，他说比特币与特斯拉（TSLA），Meta（Meta）和Apple（AAPL）相同。

What’s Driving Bitcoin’s Price?

什么是驾驶比特币的价格？

Kendrick maintains that Bitcoin’s recent dip wasn’t due to any fundamental weakness. Instead, he attributes it to macroeconomic factors impacting global risk assets.

肯德里克（Kendrick）坚持认为，比特币最近的下降并不是由于任何根本的弱点。相反，他将其归因于影响全球风险资产的宏观经济因素。

He highlights two critical factors for Bitcoin’s price recovery. First, a rebound in high-growth tech stocks, like the Magnificent Seven, could indicate a positive shift for Bitcoin.

他强调了比特币价格恢复的两个关键因素。首先，像宏伟的七人一样，高增长技术股票的反弹可能表明比特币发生了积极的转变。

Second, further accumulation of Bitcoin, like the US government’s plan to create a Bitcoin reserve, could be a bullish catalyst. And if other countries follow suit, the demand for BTC would increase again.

其次，比特币的进一步积累，例如美国政府创建比特币储备的计划，可能是看涨的催化剂。如果其他国家效仿，对BTC的需求将再次增加。

Fed Policy: A Major Wildcard

美联储政策：主要的通配符

A crucial short-term factor influencing Bitcoin’s price is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on March 19, and the market is almost certain (97%) that rates will remain at 4.50%-4.75%. This decision could have a significant impact on Bitcoin’s price.

联邦储备的利率政策是影响比特币价格的关键因素。联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）于3月19日开会，市场几乎确定（97％），利率将保持4.50％-4.75％。这个决定可能会对比特币的价格产生重大影响。

If the Fed hints at future rate cuts, it could benefit Bitcoin by signaling a return of investor confidence and a “risk-on” environment.

如果美联储提示未来的税率削减，则可以通过向投资者的信心回报和“风险启用”环境的回报来使比特币受益。

Kendrick adds that if the odds of a May rate cut increase from 50% to 75%, then we could see a 15%-20% move in BTC from current levels.

肯德里克（Kendrick）补充说，如果可能降低的几率从50％降低到75％，那么我们可以看到BTC从当前水平上移动15％-20％。

Key Price Levels to Watch

关键的价格水平要观看

The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently at $87,388, is a key resistance level that Bitcoin must clear to regain bullish momentum.

目前为87,388美元的20天指数移动平均线（EMA）是比特币必须清除的关键阻力水平，才能重新获得看涨的势头。

However, crypto market analyst Ali Martinez highlights on-chain data from Standard Chartered, showing strong support at $79,270 and a deeper support zone at $69,450. If Bitcoin price slips below $76,500, it could retest these lower levels.

但是，加密市场分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）强调了来自标准包机的链链数据，显示出79,270美元的强劲支持，更深层次的支持区为69,450美元。如果比特币价格低于$ 76,500，则可以重新确定这些较低的水平。

Despite the short-term uncertainty, Kendrick remains optimistic in his long-term outlook. He predicts that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by the end of 2025.

尽管短期不确定性，肯德里克（Kendrick）的长期前景仍然乐观。他预测，到2025年底，比特币将达到200,000美元。