比特币 (BTC) 价格准备突破，主导地位飙升至 60% 以上

比特币周二上涨至 73,600 美元，突破 70,000 美元左右的阻力位。尽管出现了这次反弹，Cubic Analytics 创始人 Caleb Franzen 认为比特币仍在为突破做准备。

Bitcoin price soared to $73,600 on Tuesday, finally breaching the resistance around $70,000. Despite this rally, Caleb Franzen, founder of Cubic Analytics, believes that BTC is still preparing for a breakout.

周二，比特币价格飙升至 73,600 美元，最终突破 70,000 美元附近的阻力位。尽管出现了这次反弹，Cubic Analytics 创始人 Caleb Franzen 认为 BTC 仍在为突破做准备。

Speaking on the Thinking Crypto podcast, Franzen highlighted the recent BTC price action as encouraging in the short term and a sign of an upcoming bull run. He compared the lack of a Bitcoin breakout to the situation in the stock market, where the NASDAQ 100 is close to reaching new all-time highs.

Franzen 在 Thinking Crypto 播客上发表讲话时强调，最近的 BTC 价格走势在短期内令人鼓舞，也是即将到来的牛市的迹象。他将比特币缺乏突破的情况与股市的情况进行了比较，纳斯达克 100 指数接近创下历史新高。

“If both Bitcoin and the NASDAQ follow through and break out like we expect, I think we'll see a huge follow-through to the upside.”

“如果比特币和纳斯达克都像我们预期的那样跟进并突破，我认为我们将看到巨大的后续上涨。”

According to Franzen, BTC is set to reach at least $175,000 in the current bull cycle. He expressed optimism in both the crypto and stock markets, where Bitcoin has outperformed the latter since the beginning of 2024. In fact, Franzen noted that only a few digital assets, such as Solana and Sui, have matched or exceeded Bitcoin’s gains this year.

Franzen 表示，在当前的牛市周期中，BTC 的价格将至少达到 175,000 美元。他对加密货币和股票市场都表示乐观，自 2024 年初以来，比特币的表现优于后者。事实上，Franzen 指出，今年只有 Solana 和 Sui 等少数数字资产的涨幅达到或超过了比特币的涨幅。

It is also worth noting that Bitcoin’s dominance climbed above 60% this week for the first time since April 2021. This serves to highlight BTC's recovery as a dominant instrument among risk asset investors and reinforces its leadership in the cryptocurrency industry, especially when considering its relative haven status compared to altcoins.

还值得注意的是，比特币的主导地位本周自 2021 年 4 月以来首次攀升至 60% 以上。这突显了 BTC 作为风险资产投资者的主导工具的复苏，并巩固了其在加密货币行业的领导地位，特别是考虑到其相对与山寨币相比，避风港地位。

Macro Indicators Support a Bitcoin Bull Market

宏观指标支持比特币牛市

Franzen went on to identify macro indicators that support a Bitcoin bull market, such as the bullish performance of mainstream assets. He noted that around 35% of the S&P 500 constituents have reported earnings and that, by and large, companies are exceeding expectations and raising guidance.

弗兰岑接着确定了支持比特币牛市的宏观指标，例如主流资产的看涨表现。他指出，标准普尔 500 指数成分股中约 35% 的公司已报告盈利，总体而言，公司超出了预期并提高了指引。

“This is a good sign for asset prices, which are a function of future cash flows and interest rates. We expect future cash flows to continue rising, which suggests that asset prices will increase.”

“这对资产价格来说是一个好兆头，资产价格是未来现金流和利率的函数。我们预计未来现金流将继续上升，这表明资产价格将会上涨。”

Meanwhile, Bitcoin price pulled back after the recent rally and was trading at $69,051 at the time of writing, reflecting a 6.65% decline over the past three days, according to data from TradingView.

与此同时，根据 TradingView 的数据，比特币价格在最近的上涨后回落，截至撰写本文时交易价格为 69,051 美元，过去三天下跌了 6.65%。