特朗普就职前市场转为看涨，比特币 (BTC) 价格预测飙升至 13.8 万美元

比特币 (BTC) 价格在 2025 年将上涨 8.5%，在当选总统唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 于 1 月 20 日就职之前，整个加密货币市场都将变得看涨。

Bitcoin (BTC) price 1-month chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewAfter a bullish close above $100,000, multiple analysts shared their new all-time high targets for Bitcoin in the coming days.

比特币 (BTC) 价格 1 个月图表。资料来源：Cointelegraph/TradingView 在看涨收盘价突破 10 万美元之后，多位分析师分享了他们未来几天对比特币的新的历史最高目标。

Bitcoin price بالا رفته است 8.5% in 2025, with the collective crypto market turning bullish ahead of President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on Jan. 20.

比特币价格在 2025 年上涨了 8.5%，在当选总统唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 于 1 月 1 日就职典礼之前，加密货币市场集体转为看涨。 20.

With BTC breaking past $100,000 yet again, multiple analysts presented new all-time high targets for the largest crypto asset in the coming days.Could Bitcoin hit $138K in February?

随着 BTC 再次突破 10 万美元，多位分析师在未来几天为这一最大的加密资产提出了新的历史最高目标。比特币在 2 月份能否达到 13.8 万美元？

Bitcoin closed a daily candle above $100,000 for the first time on Dec. 8, but since then, it has been above the six-figure level for only six days. A daily close above $100,000 will be a pivotal turn, and Posty, a crypto trader, said that BTC’s current price action reflects its bullish rally from Q1, 2021.

12 月 8 日，比特币首次收盘突破 10 万美元，但此后，其价格突破六位数水平的时间仅六天。日收盘价突破 10 万美元将是一个关键转折，加密货币交易员 Posty 表示，BTC 目前的价格走势反映了其自 2021 年第一季度以来的看涨反弹。

After considering the laws of diminishing returns over a period of four years, the trader believed that if BTC continued to follow its previous cycle pattern, it would be valued at around $138,000 in February.

在考虑了四年期间收益递减规律后，该交易员认为，如果 BTC 继续遵循之前的周期模式，2 月份的估值将在 138,000 美元左右。

Meanwhile, Cryptochimpanz, a Bitcoin proponent, believed that BTC’s monthly chart illustrated a “nasty” setup from its previous bull run. The trader said,

与此同时，比特币支持者 Cryptochimpanz 认为，比特币的月度图表显示了上次牛市的“令人讨厌”的设置。该贸易商表示，

Bitcoin price percent supply in Profit by Axel Adler Jr. Source: X.comMoreover, Axel Adler Jr. highlighted that 90% of the total Bitcoin supply is currently in profit. The Bitcoin researcher explained that unless there is a “black swan” in the current cycle, BTC drawdowns could be minimal and emulate its 2017 bull run, rather than 2021, when China’s BTC mining ban momentarily halted the rally.

小阿克塞尔·阿德勒 (Axel Adler Jr.) 的比特币价格供应量占利润的百分比 来源：X.com 此外，小阿克塞尔·阿德勒 (Axel Adler Jr.) 强调，目前比特币总供应量的 90% 都处于盈利状态。这位比特币研究人员解释说，除非当前周期中出现“黑天鹅”，否则 BTC 的回撤可能会很小，并会效仿 2017 年的牛市，而不是 2021 年，当时中国的 BTC 采矿禁令暂时停止了涨势。

Bitcoin’s Coinbase premium has returned to a neutral index on Jan. 4. After a period of rigorous selling between Dec. 18 and Jan. 2, the premium now sits at a breakeven point, according to data on Wednesday.

比特币的 Coinbase 溢价已于 1 月 4 日恢复至中性指数。周三的数据显示，经过 12 月 18 日至 1 月 2 日一段时期的大幅抛售后，溢价目前处于盈亏平衡点。

IT Tech, an anonymous Bitcoin analyst on CryptoQuant, explained that the premium increasing back to a breakeven point shows that “sentiment by the US and institutional investors is back.”

CryptoQuant 的匿名比特币分析师 IT Tech 解释说，溢价回升至盈亏平衡点表明“美国和机构投资者的情绪又回来了”。

However, it is important to note that the Coinbase premium largely tracks US retail investor sentiment rather than institutional sentiment.

然而，值得注意的是，Coinbase 溢价主要追踪美国散户投资者的情绪，而不是机构情绪。

On the contrary, Cointelegraph earlier reported that overall Bitcoin retail investors' transaction volumes have dropped significantly since BTC reached $108,000 last month.The rolling 30-day change in retail-sized transaction volumes under $10,000 has dropped to lows last seen in September 2024. According to Darkfost, an onchain analyst, a lower variation indicates that retail interest has dropped significantly, which presents a good buying opportunity in the long term.

相反，Cointelegraph 此前报道称，自上个月 BTC 达到 108,000 美元以来，比特币散户投资者的整体交易量大幅下降。10,000 美元以下散户交易量的 30 天滚动变化已降至 2024 年 9 月的最低点。链上分析师 Darkfost 认为，较低的变化表明散户兴趣已大幅下降，从长远来看，这提供了良好的买入机会。

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin underwent a bullish break of structure (BOS) after it closed a daily candle above $97,000 last week. Its’ current break above $100,000 is a positive sign, but Crypto Scient, a markets trader, emphasized that $100,000 remained a key inflection point for Bitcoin. The trader said,

从技术角度来看，比特币上周收于 97,000 美元上方的日线蜡烛后，经历了看涨结构突破 (BOS)。目前比特币突破 10 万美元是一个积极信号，但市场交易员 Crypto Scient 强调，10 万美元仍然是比特币的关键拐点。该贸易商表示，

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

本文仅供一般信息参考，无意也不应被视为法律或投资建议。这里表达的观点、想法和意见仅代表作者个人观点，并不一定反映或代表Cointelegraph的观点和意见。