比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：新的 ATH 会在 11 月到来吗？

在强劲的市场情绪推动下，随着比特币飙升至 6.6 万美元以上，加密货币交易者正掀起一股兴奋的浪潮。

As Bitcoin approached the critical resistance at $67,000, crypto traders experienced a wave of excitement. This enthusiasm was largely driven by a strong market sentiment, with a particular focus on the gains being made by altcoins.

随着比特币接近 67,000 美元的关键阻力位，加密货币交易者经历了一波兴奋。这种热情很大程度上是由强劲的市场情绪驱动的，尤其是山寨币的收益。

According to data from Santiment, these gains were being fueled by profits rotating from Bitcoin's recent three-week rally. This activity was particularly evident in the altcoin market, where traders were seeking to capitalize on the price surges. However, this enthusiasm also carried an element of risk, as market sentiment approached a phase of high FOMO, which has historically signaled the arrival of local price tops.

根据 Santiment 的数据，这些涨幅是由比特币最近三周上涨带来的利润推动的。这种活动在山寨币市场尤其明显，交易者正在寻求利用价格飙升的机会。然而，这种热情也带来了风险，因为市场情绪接近“错失恐惧症”的高度阶段，这在历史上预示着当地价格顶部的到来。

The timing of these peaks, whether they occurred later that day, over the weekend, or in the coming weeks, depended largely on the reactions of whales or large investors at these price levels. According to Henrik Andersson, this surge of bullish activity was exciting, but it did not guarantee another buyable bottom of BTC at $50K or $60K unless global economic conditions worsened.

这些峰值的时间，无论是发生在当天晚些时候、周末还是未来几周，很大程度上取决于鲸鱼或大型投资者对这些价格水平的反应。 Henrik Andersson 表示，这种看涨活动的激增令人兴奋，但除非全球经济状况恶化，否则它并不能保证 BTC 再次触底 5 万美元或 6 万美元。

Another popular source, CryptoCon, added to the speculation, suggesting that new BTC ATHs could begin to be reached as early as November 2024. This analysis was based on the 2-week Ichimoku Cloud, a technical indicator that had previously signaled the timing of new highs in Bitcoin's previous market cycles.

另一个受欢迎的消息来源 CryptoCon 也加入了这一猜测，暗示新的 BTC ATH 最早可能会在 2024 年 11 月开始达到。该分析基于 2 周 Ichimoku Cloud，这是一项技术指标，此前曾预示过新的 BTC ATH 的出现时间。比特币之前市场周期的高点。

According to CryptoCon's analysis, a bullish cross after each mid-cycle red cloud in previous cycles marked the beginning of new ATHs. They noted that the current market trajectory was ahead of previous cycles, which have never seen an ATH before November 28th in Bitcoin’s “Blue Year” cycle. As expected, the message was clear, and eyes stayed glued to November for what could be another historic moment for the crypto giant.

根据 CryptoCon 的分析，之前周期中每个周期中红云之后的看涨交叉标志着新 ATH 的开始。他们指出，当前的市场轨迹领先于之前的周期，在比特币“蓝色年”周期的 11 月 28 日之前从未出现过 ATH。正如预期的那样，信息很明确，人们的目光一直集中在 11 月，这可能是这家加密巨头的另一个历史性时刻。