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过去一周,比特币一直难以维持在 70,000 美元大关之上的势头,尽管上周早些时候曾触及 71,000 美元。
Bitcoin’s [BTC] market trajectory remains a focal point for investors and analysts alike, especially in light of recent market fluctuations.
比特币的市场轨迹仍然是投资者和分析师关注的焦点,特别是考虑到最近的市场波动。
Over the past week, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain its momentum above the $70,000 mark. Although it touched $71,000 earlier last week, it retreated afterward and was trading at $68,122 at press time.
过去一周,比特币一直难以维持在 70,000 美元大关上方的势头。尽管上周早些时候触及 71,000 美元,但随后回落,截至发稿时交易价格为 68,122 美元。
This marks a decline of 2.4% over the past seven days, though there has been a modest recovery of 0.6% in the last 24 hours.
这标志着过去 7 天下降了 2.4%,尽管过去 24 小时内小幅回升了 0.6%。
Prominent wealth management firm Bernstein has issued a bullish outlook on the potential growth of Bitcoin and Ethereum [ETH] exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
著名财富管理公司 Bernstein 对比特币和以太坊 [ETH] 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的潜在增长发表了看涨展望。
According to a recent research report by Bernstein analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra, the market for crypto ETFs could expand to a substantial $450 billion based on projected cryptocurrency prices.
根据 Bernstein 分析师 Gautam Chhugani 和 Mahika Sapra 最近的一份研究报告,根据预计的加密货币价格,加密 ETF 市场可能会扩大到 4500 亿美元。
They forecasted an influx of over $100 billion into crypto ETFs in the next 18 to 24 months, with a significant year-end price target of $90,000 for Bitcoin, and an ambitious cycle high of $150,000 by 2025.
他们预测,未来 18 至 24 个月内,将有超过 1000 亿美元涌入加密 ETF,比特币的年底价格目标为 90,000 美元,到 2025 年将达到 150,000 美元的雄心勃勃的周期高点。
Further analysis from The Birb Nest trading firm provided a technical perspective, underscoring bullish indicators in the Bitcoin market.
Birb Nest 交易公司的进一步分析提供了技术视角,强调了比特币市场的看涨指标。
Their study noted that the 50-week and 200-week simple moving averages (SMAs) stand at $43,950 and $35,358, respectively, providing strong market support levels that fuel investor optimism.
他们的研究指出,50 周和 200 周简单移动平均线 (SMA) 分别位于 43,950 美元和 35,358 美元,提供了强劲的市场支撑位,激发了投资者的乐观情绪。
Additionally, the correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 index is moderately positive at 0.36, suggesting a favorable outlook for Bitcoin in correlation with broader financial markets.
此外,与标准普尔 500 指数的相关系数为 0.36,呈适度正相关,这表明比特币与更广泛的金融市场的相关性前景良好。
Moreover, the Bitcoin Production Cost (BPRO) and the 200-day SMA provide significant trend support at $62,580 and $53,516, respectively.
此外,比特币生产成本(BPRO)和 200 天 SMA 分别提供了重要的趋势支撑,即 62,580 美元和 53,516 美元。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), at 59 at press time, pointed to growing buying interest, although the Momentum index is relatively stagnant at 49.
截至发稿时,相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 59,表明购买兴趣不断增长,尽管动量指数相对停滞于 49。
While the market’s Fear & Greed Index indicates a sentiment of “greed” at 74, The Birb Nest advises caution to mitigate risks associated with potential market overextensions.
尽管市场的恐惧与贪婪指数显示“贪婪”情绪为 74,但 The Birb Nest 建议谨慎行事,以减轻与潜在市场过度扩张相关的风险。
Renowned crypto analyst Willy Woo contributed additional insights into Bitcoin’s recent market behavior.
著名加密货币分析师 Willy Woo 对比特币近期的市场行为提供了更多见解。
He highlighted the demand from spot Bitcoin ETFs, notably with recent shifts in market dominance from Grayscale to BlackRock, has significantly outpaced the supply of newly mined Bitcoins.
他强调了现货比特币 ETF 的需求,特别是最近市场主导地位从灰度转向贝莱德,已大大超过了新开采的比特币的供应。
Woo also observed increased demand in the futures market, especially from retail traders, which has not yet reached levels that might indicate excessive speculative interest or fear of missing out (FOMO).
Woo 还观察到期货市场的需求增加,尤其是来自零售交易商的需求,但尚未达到可能表明过度投机兴趣或担心错过机会 (FOMO) 的水平。
Concurrently, there has been notable Bitcoin accumulation by whales, suggesting a potential supply shock that could exert upward pressure on prices in the near future.
与此同时,鲸鱼大量积累比特币,这表明潜在的供应冲击可能会在不久的将来对价格造成上行压力。
However, not all Bitcoin metrics present an optimistic picture.
然而,并非所有比特币指标都呈现出乐观的景象。
Data from Glassnode revealed a significant decline in the number of receiving addresses, suggesting either a reduction in transaction activity or a consolidation of funds into fewer addresses.
Glassnode 的数据显示,接收地址数量显着下降,这表明交易活动减少或资金整合到更少的地址中。
Is your portfolio green? Check out the BTC Profit Calculator
您的投资组合是绿色的吗?查看 BTC 利润计算器
Despite these concerns, AMBCrypto recently reported that the $66.200 to $66.700 range contains a cluster of liquidation levels, suggesting that Bitcoin may temporarily dip into this region.
尽管存在这些担忧,AMBCrypto 最近报告称,66.200 美元至 66.700 美元的区间包含一系列清算水平,表明比特币可能会暂时跌入该区域。
Conversely, liquidity at $67.800—which has already been tested—could provide the necessary momentum to push Bitcoin’s price back towards the $71.200 resistance level.
相反,67.800 美元的流动性(已经经过测试)可能会提供必要的动力,将比特币的价格推回 71.200 美元的阻力位。
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