2025 年比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：专家预计 BTC 将触及 25 万美元，特朗普旨在让美国成为“地球加密之都”

在实现了期待已久的 100,000 美元目标后，前方的道路看起来充满不确定性。分析师意见不一。一些人预计比特币到年底将飙升至 20 万美元

As Bitcoin finally crossed the anticipated $100,000 mark, analysts are divided on what lies ahead. Some expect a skyrocketing trajectory, while others highlight regulatory uncertainties. A CNBC survey revealed several experts backing the bullish case. But beyond the headlines, three major developments could define the crypto landscape in the months to come.

随着比特币最终突破预期的 10 万美元大关，分析师对未来的走势存在分歧。一些人预计会出现飙升，而另一些人则强调监管的不确定性。 CNBC 的一项调查显示，几位专家支持看涨观点。但除了头条新闻之外，三项重大发展可能会定义未来几个月的加密货币格局。

Experts like Tom Lee and Bitwise Asset Management foresee significant bitcoin price increases by 2025. Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors’ co-founder, anticipates bitcoin hitting $250,000 in 2025, attributing the rise to spot bitcoin ETFs and shifts in U.S. political dynamics.

Tom Lee 和 Bitwise Asset Management 等专家预计，到 2025 年，比特币价格将大幅上涨。Fundstrat Global Advisors 联合创始人 Tom Lee 预计，比特币将在 2025 年达到 25 万美元，这归因于现货比特币 ETF 的上涨和美国政治动态的变化。

Bitwise Asset Management estimates bitcoin could climb to $200,000 by 2025, driven by institutional investments, regulatory developments, and the supply squeeze from bitcoin halving. However, the firm warns that challenges like government sales or unmet market expectations may temper these predictions.

Bitwise Asset Management 估计，在机构投资、监管发展以及比特币减半造成的供应紧张的推动下，到 2025 年，比特币价格可能会攀升至 20 万美元。然而，该公司警告说，政府销售或未满足市场预期等挑战可能会影响这些预测。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $97,124, marking a -4.24% fall in the last 24 hours, according to Brave New Coin’s Bitcoin Liquid Index. After the slow week of price flirting below the $100,000 mark, Bitcoin showed significant momentum, breaking the mark before falling again early Wednesday.

根据 Brave New Coin 的比特币流动性指数，截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 97,124 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌了 -4.24%。在经历了价格跌破 10 万美元关口的缓慢一周后，比特币显示出显着的势头，在周三早些时候再次下跌之前突破了这一关口。

Trump Aims to Make U.S. “Crypto Capital of the Planet”

特朗普的目标是让美国成为“地球加密货币之都”

Donald Trump’s return to the White House is set to reshape the future of cryptocurrencies in the United States. Trump campaigned to turn the U.S. into the “crypto capital of the planet,” and his administration is already making moves to fulfill that pledge. Key appointments have been made, signaling a significant policy shift.

唐纳德·特朗普重返白宫将重塑美国加密货币的未来。特朗普竞选时希望将美国变成“地球的加密之都”，他的政府已经在采取行动履行这一承诺。重要任命的完成，标志着政策的重大转变。

Paul Atkins, the new head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), is a notable crypto advocate. As a former commissioner and consultant for blockchain firms, Atkins is expected to take a lenient approach toward crypto regulations. This starkly contrasts the previous SEC leadership under Gary Gensler, who aggressively pursued enforcement actions against key players like Coinbase.

美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 新任主席保罗·阿特金斯 (Paul Atkins) 是一位著名的加密货币倡导者。作为区块链公司的前专员和顾问，阿特金斯预计将对加密货币监管采取宽松的态度​​。这与加里·根斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 领导下的前 SEC 领导层形成鲜明对比，后者积极对 Coinbase 等关键参与者采取执法行动。

Adding to the optimism, Trump introduced David Sacks, a prominent venture capitalist, as the nation’s first crypto and artificial intelligence czar. With Congress now under Republican control and leaders like Rep. French Hill supporting policies favorable to crypto and AI, the political winds appear to be blowing in Bitcoin’s favor.

特朗普还任命著名风险投资家戴维·萨克斯(David Sacks)为美国第一位加密货币和人工智能沙皇，这让人们更加乐观。由于国会现在由共和党控制，而且众议员弗伦奇希尔(French Hill)等领导人支持有利于加密货币和人工智能的政策，政治风向似乎正在向有利于比特币的方向吹来。

Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Plan of $19 Billion Stockpile — Critics Warn

特朗普的 190 亿美元比特币储备计划——批评者警告

The most ambitious idea on the table comes directly from Trump himself. He proposed creating a strategic national stockpile of Bitcoin, starting with the roughly 200,000 tokens the government already holds from criminal seizures. At current prices, that stash is worth over $19 billion.

摆在桌面上的最雄心勃勃的想法直接来自特朗普本人。他提议建立一个国家战略比特币储备，从政府从犯罪扣押中已经持有的大约 20 万枚代币开始。按目前价格计算，这些藏品价值超过 190 亿美元。

The concept is bold: a Bitcoin reserve, similar to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, to bolster the U.S. economy during financial crises. Supporters like Sen. Cynthia Lummis have gone even further, suggesting the government should purchase 200,000 Bitcoins annually for five years, ultimately holding one million tokens. Advocates believe such a fund could reduce the national debt and tie the U.S. strategically to Bitcoin’s growth.

这个概念很大胆：比特币储备，类似于战略石油储备，可以在金融危机期间提振美国经济。参议员 Cynthia Lummis 等支持者甚至走得更远，建议政府应在五年内每年购买 20 万枚比特币，最终持有 100 万枚代币。支持者认为，这样的基金可以减少国家债务，并将美国与比特币的增长战略性地联系起来。

But critics are pushing back hard. Many argue that Bitcoin’s infamous volatility makes it a risky asset for a government to hold. Carol Alexander, a professor at the University of Sussex, compared the idea to a soccer game without a referee, warning that relaxed regulations could benefit professional traders at the expense of smaller investors.

但批评者正在大力反击。许多人认为，比特币臭名昭著的波动性使其成为政府持有的风险资产。萨塞克斯大学教授卡罗尔·亚历山大（Carol Alexander）将这一想法与一场没有裁判的足球比赛进行了比较，并警告称，放松监管可能会让专业交易者受益，而牺牲小投资者的利益。