比特币（BTC）价格预测：加密之王会继续其上涨轨迹还是面临暂时回调？

比特币经历了一个平静的周末，在周三突破这一里程碑并创下新高后，继续保持在 10 万美元大关之上的势头。

Bitcoin price analysis for the weekend shows little movement as BTC trades sideways above the $100,000 mark. The world’s largest cryptocurrency continues to consolidate after a rapid ascent last week, setting new all-time highs and sparking excitement in the crypto market.

周末的比特币价格分析显示，比特币在 10 万美元大关上方横盘整理，几乎没有变动。全球最大的加密货币在上周快速上涨后继续盘整，创下历史新高，并引发加密市场的兴奋。

As Bitcoin consolidates, a closer look at the market reveals some interesting signals. CryptoQuant analysis highlights a strong preference for put options among institutional traders, which could indicate an upcoming market correction.

随着比特币的整合，仔细观察市场会发现一些有趣的信号。 CryptoQuant 分析凸显了机构交易者对看跌期权的强烈偏好，这可能预示着即将到来的市场调整。

Despite the quiet weekend, offering a moment of calm for traders, the underlying market signals suggest that this tranquility may be short-lived. As Bitcoin hovers near its all-time highs, many are watching to see whether the upward trajectory will continue or if the price will pull back temporarily.

尽管周末平静，为交易者提供了片刻的平静，但潜在的市场信号表明，这种平静可能是短暂的。随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，许多人都在关注上涨轨迹是否会持续，或者价格是否会暂时回落。

Either way, the scene is set for an exciting week ahead, with key market metrics indicating more activity and potential fireworks in the coming days. Stay tuned as Bitcoin’s next move could determine the narrative for the broader cryptocurrency market.

无论哪种方式，未来的一周都将是激动人心的，关键市场指标表明未来几天将出现更多活动和潜在的火花。请继续关注，因为比特币的下一步走势可能会决定更广泛的加密货币市场的叙述。

Bitcoin Open Interest: Calls Stacking Up

比特币未平仓合约：看涨期权不断增加

Bitcoin has been trending up since late November, setting higher highs but failing to break out massively. The price action has been steady, with Bitcoin continuing to climb toward new levels. Despite the positive momentum, the market is waiting for a decisive move to push the price higher, and many traders are watching closely to see if Bitcoin can break above its all-time highs (ATH).

自11月底以来，比特币一直呈上涨趋势，创下更高的高点，但未能大规模突破。价格走势一直稳定，比特币继续攀升至新水平。尽管势头良好，但市场仍在等待推动价格走高的决定性举措，许多交易者正在密切关注比特币是否能突破历史高点（ATH）。

CryptoQuant analysis recently shared key insights on X, highlighting an interesting development in Bitcoin’s market structure. According to the analysis, BTC stacked put positions have reached multi-year highs, which could indicate an upcoming brewing storm.

CryptoQuant 分析最近分享了有关 X 的重要见解，强调了比特币市场结构的有趣发展。根据分析，BTC 的看跌期权头寸已达到多年高点，这可能预示着一场即将酝酿的风暴。

In the analysis, we can see a chart that shows rising activity in put options, which are often used to hedge against a market downturn. This type of market behavior tends to precede massive price movements, especially when leveraged positions are liquidated.

在分析中，我们可以看到一张图表，显示看跌期权的活动不断增加，这些期权通常用于对冲市场低迷。这种类型的市场行为往往先于大规模的价格变动，特别是当杠杆头寸被清算时。

As Bitcoin continues to push up, the market is walking a fine line. If Bitcoin fails to break above its ATH and continues to trade within the current range, there is a significant risk of a retrace. A correction could follow, especially if high-leverage positions start to unwind. With the growing open interest in put options, this adds to the uncertainty.

随着比特币继续上涨，市场正在谨慎行事。如果比特币未能突破其最高点并继续在当前区间内交易，则存在很大的回调风险。随后可能会出现调整，特别是如果高杠杆头寸开始平仓的话。随着看跌期权的未平仓合约不断增加，这增加了不确定性。

BTC Testing Liquidity In Price Discovery

BTC 在价格发现中测试流动性

Bitcoin is trading at $101,750 after being stuck below the $102,000 mark for days. While the price has remained resilient, it has struggled to break through key resistance levels. For the bulls to maintain their momentum, the price needs to decisively break above $103,600. A strong push past this level would signal a continuation of the uptrend and potentially lead to new highs.

比特币在连续几天低于 102,000 美元大关后，目前交易价格为 101,750 美元。尽管价格保持弹性，但仍难以突破关键阻力位。为了保持多头的势头，价格需要果断突破 103,600 美元。强劲突破该水平将标志着上升趋势的延续，并可能创下新高。

However, if BTC fails to break above $103,600, it will likely retest lower demand levels. The next significant support zone to watch is around $95,500. A failure to clear $103,600 would indicate that the bears are starting to gain control, and BTC could face a deeper correction as traders begin to sell into weakness.

然而，如果 BTC 未能突破 103,600 美元，它可能会重新测试较低的需求水平。下一个值得关注的重要支撑区域是 95,500 美元左右。如果未能突破 103,600 美元，则表明空头开始获得控制权，随着交易员开始逢低抛售，比特币可能面临更深层次的调整。

In the coming days, traders will be closely watching for any signs of a breakout or breakdown. A decisive move above $103,600 could trigger a rally, but if BTC falters and falls back toward $95,500, the market could experience increased volatility, and further downside may follow.

未来几天，交易者将密切关注任何突破或崩溃的迹象。突破 103,600 美元的决定性走势可能会引发反弹，但如果 BTC 摇摇欲坠并回落至 95,500 美元，市场可能会经历更大的波动，并可能进一步下跌。

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

精选图片来自 Dall-E，图表来自 TradingView